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Thursday, March 28th, 2024 - 04:07:55 PM (gmt)
 
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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Shaiming Ma            16    0   16     Gk Andrés Ramos            7    2    9
Sw Rhys Porter            10    2   12     Sw Bryan Shrimpton        12   -1   11
Df Ollie Hanny            12    0   12     Df Matty Parsons          10    2   12
Df Ryan Lasserre           7    2    9     Df Atle Svendsen          10    2   12
Mf Dominic Webster        16    1   17     Df Barry Fortune-West      7    2    9
Mf Martín Paz             13    1   14     Mf Diogo DaSilva          10    2   12
Mf James Gallaher          7    2    9     Mf Donald Brown            6    2    8
Fw Cristobal Ramos        14    1   15     Mf Kai Jones               3    2    5
Fw Stian Sørensen         13    1   14     Mf Esteban Gallet          3    2    5
Fw Joe Cleverley          16    1   17     Fw Kai Burke               7    2    9
Fw Ellis Boddington        7    2    9     Fw Moritz Schultze         3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 12 21 40 55        ROSTER TOTALS       9 11 33 30 14    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 12 30 40 55         T O T A L S        9 11 33 30 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.59 (no red card)

Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.22 (no red card)

Df Ollie Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.58 (no red card)

Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.98 (no red card)

Mf Dominic Webster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.9 (no red card)

Mf Martín Paz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.74 (no red card)

Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.78 (no red card)

Fw Cristobal Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.24 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.01 (no second yellow)

Fw Stian Sørensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.21 (no red card)

Fw Joe Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.86 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.29 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.02 (no red card)

Sw Bryan Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.43 (no red card)

Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.8 (no red card)

Df Atle Svendsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.1 (no red card)

Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.85 (no red card)

Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.91 (no red card)

Mf Donald Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.26 (no red card)

Mf Kai Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.31 (no red card)

Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.38 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.09 (no red card)

Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.4 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 65.67 (no injury) 
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.84 (no injury) 
Df Ollie Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.08 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.66 (no injury) 
Mf Dominic Webster: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.61 (no injury) 
Mf Martín Paz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.34 (no injury) 
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.03 (no injury) 
Fw Cristobal Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.43 (no injury) 
Fw Stian Sørensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.46 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.7 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.87 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 3.74 (no injury) 
Sw Bryan Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.55 (no injury) 
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.4 (no injury) 
Df Atle Svendsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.45 (no injury) 
Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.85 (no injury) 
Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.67 (no injury) 
Mf Donald Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.59 (no injury) 
Mf Kai Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.2 (no injury) 
Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.5 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.17 (no injury) 
Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.09 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Dominic Webster SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 7

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Matty Parsons SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Shaiming Ma SL 16

     intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                16  12  30  40  55
  Ilkeston Town FC         9  11  33  30  14

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 22 (55 - 33); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 5 ((40 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 6 ((30 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 33

1: Attack for Df Ollie Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 64.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Ollie Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Ollie Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 86.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 85.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Ollie Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 20.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 9.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 49.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 66.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 28.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 91.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 74.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 82.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 58 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 22.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
31: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         9  11  33  30  14
  AFC Fylde                16  12  30  40  55

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 30)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 7  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 0
 
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