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Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHASETOWN FC                               TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Canute Thorsen         14    0   14     Gk Coll McAdam             6    2    8
Sw David Gardner          13    0   13     Sw Trevor Wallace          7    2    9
Df Harley Hanny           10    0   10     Df Algenon Webster        12    2   14
Df Tivadar Lengyel        14    0   14     Df Leo Bergström          11    2   13
Df Arno Christiaens       13    0   13     Df Luke Crowley            3    2    5
Df Martin Navarro         10    0   10     Mf Malte Axelsson         13    2   15
Mf Luis Guerrero          13    0   13     Mf Mateo Philippe         11    2   13
Mf Mika Schmidt           11    0   11     Mf Ross Hughes            11    2   13
Mf Aaron Jackson           8    0    8     Mf Kunio Yamamoto          3    2    5
Mf Ryan Clemence          12    0   12     Fw Patrick Reid           13    2   15
Fw Julius Evensen         14    0   14     Fw Matais Juarez           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 13 47 44 14        ROSTER TOTALS       8  9 32 46 20    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  2  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  6  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 13 47 50 17         T O T A L S       10 11 39 46 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Canute Thorsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.8 (no red card)

Sw David Gardner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.74 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.99 (no second yellow)

Df Harley Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.14 (no red card)

Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.47 (no red card)

Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.94 (no red card)

Df Martin Navarro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.04 (no second yellow)

Mf Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.65 (no red card)

Mf Mika Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.37 (no red card)

Mf Aaron Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.42 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.36 (no red card)

Fw Julius Evensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.09 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Coll McAdam: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 19.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 62.36 (no red card)

Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 74.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 16.53 (no red card)

Df Algenon Webster: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 58.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 82.66 (no red card)

Df Leo Bergström: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 1.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 67.86 (no second yellow)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 31.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 79.52 (no red card)

Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 52.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 17.7 (no red card)

Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 41.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 39.64 (no red card)

Mf Ross Hughes: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 53.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 11.61 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 81.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 20.51 (no red card)

Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 23.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 37.48 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 1.88 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 50.5 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Canute Thorsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.94 (no injury) 
Sw David Gardner: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 29.56 (no injury) 
Df Harley Hanny: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 17.13 (no injury) 
Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 26.48 (no injury) 
Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 40.04 (no injury) 
Df Martin Navarro: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 57.9 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 61.85 (no injury) 
Mf Mika Schmidt: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 1.24 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Mika Schmidt is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Aaron Jackson: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 13.1 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Clemence: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 43.59 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Evensen: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 3.29 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Julius Evensen is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Julius Evensen new match skill level =  7
      Julius Evensen new match total level =  7

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Coll McAdam: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 71.82 (no injury) 
Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.43 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Trevor Wallace is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Trevor Wallace new match skill level =  4
      Trevor Wallace new match total level =  6
Df Algenon Webster: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 96.89 (no injury) 
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 20.29 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 43.54 (no injury) 
Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 5.26 (no injury) 
Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 20.63 (no injury) 
Mf Ross Hughes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 87.96 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 7.04 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 20.62 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.32 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Tivadar Lengyel SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Coll McAdam SL 6

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Malte Axelsson SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Canute Thorsen SL 14

     intRndPk = 31
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             14  13  47  50  10
  Tonbridge Angels         10   8  39  46  20

Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 0 (10 - 39)
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((50 - 46) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 9 ((47 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Arno Christiaens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Tivadar Lengyel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Tivadar Lengyel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Tivadar Lengyel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 43.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Arno Christiaens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 84.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Martin Navarro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Tivadar Lengyel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Harley Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 67.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Df Arno Christiaens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Ryan Clemence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 31.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         10   8  39  46  20
  Chasetown FC             14  13  47  50  10

Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 47)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((46 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 5 ((39 - 10) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Leo Bergström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 99.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Leo Bergström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Algenon Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 49.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Leo Bergström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Algenon Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHASETOWN FC 2  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1
 
Match Notes
A visit to top of the table Chasetown. Don’t fancy our chances!
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/15 - 4:18 PM
Don't think we'll be top of the table for long...
Paul (Chasetown FC) 02/17 - 10:31 AM
Lucky to win this, tactics all wrong...
Paul (Chasetown FC) 02/17 - 8:13 PM
You deserved it more than me Paul. Though May have sneaked a draw.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/22 - 11:07 PM
 
 
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