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Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLTON TOWN FC                            SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Leon Dickson           10    0   10     Gk Jay Hussain            15    2   17
Sw Ryan James             11    0   11     Sw Dave Nguyen            11    2   13
Df Joshua Evans           12    0   12     Df Martin Kennedy         14    2   16
Df Marcelo Fernandez       6    2    8     Df Thomas McIntyre         7    2    9
Df Christopher Macbeth     3    2    5     Df Mason Shaw              3    2    5
Mf Vegard  Haugland        6    2    8     Mf Noah Young             13    1   14
Mf Giles Walsh             3    2    5     Mf William Carney         11    2   13
Mf Gast?n Franco           3    2    5     Mf Owen Roberts            7    2    9
Fw George Shaw            12    0   12     Mf Mons Nygård             6   -1    5
Fw Taylor Cockayne        11    0   11     Fw Agustin Martínez        7    2    9
Fw Alfred Forsberg         6    2    8     Fw Jermaine Bennett        3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 11 25 18 31        ROSTER TOTALS      17 13 30 41 14    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  4  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 11 25 22 36         T O T A L S       17 13 30 41 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leon Dickson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.3 (no red card)

Sw Ryan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.48 (no red card)

Df Joshua Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.14 (no red card)

Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.16 (no red card)

Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.9 (no red card)

Mf Vegard  Haugland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.56 (no red card)

Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.06 (no red card)

Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.1 (no red card)

Fw George Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.86 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.35 (no red card)

Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.89 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.51 (no red card)

Sw Dave Nguyen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.41 (no red card)

Df Martin Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.62 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.86 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.39 (no red card)

Mf Noah Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.5 (no red card)

Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.7 (no red card)

Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.79 (no red card)

Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.8 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.37 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.02 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Leon Dickson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.2 (no injury) 
Sw Ryan James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.54 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Evans: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.4 (no injury) 
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.63 (no injury) 
Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.79 (no injury) 
Mf Vegard  Haugland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.3 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.67 (no injury) 
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.89 (no injury) 
Fw George Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.47 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.02 (no injury) 
Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.47 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.4 (no injury) 
Sw Dave Nguyen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.32 (no injury) 
Df Martin Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.98 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.81 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.4 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.81 (no injury) 
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.0 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.04 (no injury) 
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.81 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.03 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.28 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joshua Evans SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 15

     intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martin Kennedy SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Leon Dickson SL 10

     intRndPk = 86
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          10  11  25  22  36
  Swindon Supermarine FC   17  13  30  41  14

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 6 (36 - 30); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((25 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Joshua Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Joshua Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Marcelo Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Joshua Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw George Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw George Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw George Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 96.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 34.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   17  13  30  41  14
  Carlton Town FC          10  11  25  22  36

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 25)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((41 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 89.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 69.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLTON TOWN FC 1  -  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 2
 
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