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Saturday, April 20th, 2024 - 06:15:25 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          AFC WIMBLEDON

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Euan Fleming           16    2   18     Gk Kenzie Ross            18    2   20
Sw Douglas Pereira        13    2   15     Df Kian Doyle             13    1   14
Df Benjamin Charlton      13    2   15     Df Harry Johnson          13    2   15
Df Morgan Barmby          17    2   19     Mf Oscar Hall             17    2   19
Df Ben Neuville           10    2   12     Mf Archie Blair           12    0   12
Df Ian Jackson             7    2    9     Mf Aarron Shepherd        10    2   12
Mf Eoghan Carroll         15    2   17     Mf Bradley McCarthy       11    2   13
Mf Leon Baumann           12    2   14     Fw Josh MacDonald         13    1   14
Mf Nicholas Clark         12    1   13     Fw Erik Lang              13    2   15
Fw Gordon Andrews         13    2   15     Fw Paul Ellis             12    2   14
Fw Francesco Rinaldi      10   -1    9     Fw Isaac Howells           7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 55 44 24        ROSTER TOTALS      20  0 29 56 52    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  6  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 15 58 50 24         T O T A L S       23  0 29 56 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 41.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 46.62 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.15 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.34 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.2 (no second yellow)

Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.91 (no red card)

Df Ben Neuville: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.91 (no red card)

Df Ian Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.84 (no red card)

Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.1 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.79 (no second yellow)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.28 (no red card)

Mf Nicholas Clark: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.57 (no red card)

Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.02 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Gordon Andrews new match skill level =  7
      Gordon Andrews new match total level =  9

Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.3 (no red card)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 27.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 0.98 (no red card)

Df Kian Doyle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.84 (no red card)

Df Harry Johnson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.02 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.31 (no red card)

Mf Archie Blair: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.59 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.61 (no red card)

Mf Bradley McCarthy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.05 (no red card)

Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.6 (no red card)

Fw Erik Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.0 (no red card)

Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.48 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.14 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 92.21 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 91.64 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 44.96 (no injury) 
Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 51.11 (no injury) 
Df Ben Neuville: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 11.99 (no injury) 
Df Ian Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 4.3 (no injury) 
Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 93.87 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 77.32 (no injury) 
Mf Nicholas Clark: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 5.15 (no injury) 
Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 73.29 (no injury) 
Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 66.99 (no injury) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 13.21 (no injury) 
Df Kian Doyle: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 40.56 (no injury) 
Df Harry Johnson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 77.67 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.75 (no injury) 
Mf Archie Blair: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 80.02 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 7.62 (no injury) 
Mf Bradley McCarthy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 38.21 (no injury) 
Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 75.36 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Lang: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 20.45 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 18.56 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 59.14 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Morgan Barmby SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 18

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oscar Hall SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 83 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        19  15  58  50  18
  AFC Wimbledon            23   0  29  56  52

AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 29)
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((50 - 56) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 2 ((58 - 52) / 3); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Morgan Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Morgan Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            23   0  29  56  52
  Welling United FC        19  15  58  50  18

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 0 (52 - 58)
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 3 ((56 - 50) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 3 ((29 - 18) / 5); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Kian Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Harry Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Kian Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 0  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 1
 
Match Notes
Up against the undefeated and best top 11…….we will be lucky to get anything here
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 02/11 - 3:02 PM
This game could decided the next league champion
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 02/16 - 2:02 AM
Don't believe the hype (quoting Chuck D)
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/16 - 8:42 PM
It's just a noob who stumbled into the big leagues - vs the clearly best squad currently
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/16 - 8:43 PM
Will Dave, like everyone else in the 1st Division apparently, just hand Eduard the keys to the 1st Division? Or might Dave throw in some GPP today?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/16 - 10:35 PM
No shots for anybody and got lucky with the PK
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 02/17 - 8:22 PM
 
 
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