(H)
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
League Round 6
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC AFC FYLDE Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Martin Denis 15 2 17 Gk Shaiming Ma 16 0 16 Sw Fortunato Torres 7 2 9 Sw Juan Rodríguez 10 1 11 Df Aidan O'Neil 12 1 13 Df Aaron Hardy 11 0 11 Df Lennard Richter 10 2 12 Df Ryan Lasserre 7 2 9 Df Ben Lawrence 7 1 8 Df Jeff Hughes 3 -1 2 Mf Lewis Smith 13 1 14 Mf James Gallaher 7 2 9 Mf Luis Schmidt 7 2 9 Mf Wes Lambert 3 2 5 Mf Michael Möller 3 0 3 Fw Samuel Reid 10 1 11 Fw Hans Fischer 14 1 15 Fw Ellis Boddington 7 2 9 Fw John Coppell 16 2 18 Fw Jonas Baumann 7 2 9 Fw Cooper Smith 7 2 9 Fw Rodrigo Carvalho 3 2 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 9 33 26 42 ROSTER TOTALS 16 11 22 14 34 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 9 33 26 51 T O T A L S 16 14 26 14 34 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Martin Denis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.65 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.72 (no red card) Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.93 (no red card) Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.19 (no red card) Df Lennard Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.89 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.39 (no red card) Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.89 (no red card) Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.96 (no red card) Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.16 (no red card) Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.97 (no red card) Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.02 (no red card) Fw John Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.17 (no red card) Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.28 (no red card) ******* AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.29 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.35 (no red card) Sw Juan Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.06 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Juan Rodríguez new match skill level = 5 Juan Rodríguez new match total level = 6 Df Aaron Hardy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.42 (no red card) Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.2 (no red card) Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.9 (no red card) Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.17 (no red card) Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.25 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.62 (no red card) Fw Samuel Reid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.05 (no red card) Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.89 (no red card) Fw Jonas Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.74 (no red card) Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.94 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0 - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Martin Denis: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 68.72 (no injury) Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.0 (no injury) Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.25 (no injury) Df Lennard Richter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.26 (no injury) Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.75 (no injury) Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.52 (no injury) Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.03 (no injury) Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.17 (no injury) Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.72 (no injury) Fw John Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.44 (no injury) Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.96 (no injury) ******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0 - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 32.3 (no injury) Sw Juan Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.66 (no injury) Df Aaron Hardy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.6 (no injury) Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.91 (no injury) Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.4 (no injury) Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.55 (no injury) Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.55 (no injury) Fw Samuel Reid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.93 (no injury) Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.33 (no injury) Fw Jonas Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.0 (no injury) Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.88 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: John Coppell SL 16 - Defending Gk: Shaiming Ma SL 16 intRndPk = 52 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick) ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Aaron Hardy SL 11 - Defending Gk: Martin Denis SL 15 intRndPk = 47 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Harrogate Railway AFC 17 9 33 26 51 AFC Fylde 16 9 26 14 34 Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 25 (51 - 26); result rounded up Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 6 ((26 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 34) / 3; rounded up) Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 31 1: Attack for Mf Luis Schmidt Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Luis Schmidt Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Lewis Smith Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Michael Möller Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 44.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Lewis Smith Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Luis Schmidt Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 28.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 82.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw John Coppell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 77.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw John Coppell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 86.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 12: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 66.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw John Coppell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 11.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw John Coppell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 2.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw John Coppell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw John Coppell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw John Coppell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw John Coppell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw John Coppell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw John Coppell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 27: Attack for Fw John Coppell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 57.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 29: Attack for Fw John Coppell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 22.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 30: Attack for Fw John Coppell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 83.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 31: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) ******* AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- AFC Fylde 16 9 26 14 34 Harrogate Railway AFC 17 9 33 26 51 AFC Fylde is Playing For A Draw! AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 1 (34 - 33) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 26) / 2; rounded up) AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 51) / 3; rounded up) AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Fw Jonas Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 4 - AFC FYLDE 0
Match Notes
Encouraged by his recent victory over Goole in a PK shootout, Al will be expecting to lose by a maximum of 2 goals today.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 02/16 - 2:02 AM
Well I-Man, sadly, Phil is mad at me and will probably go all out here today. Another L for the commish here...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/16 - 10:36 PM
I don't normally keep an eye on the division below, but will be watching this one.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 02/17 - 6:33 PM