(H)
Boston United
Rob Peterson
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
League Round 7
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BOSTON UNITED FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Morgan James 14 2 16 Gk Denis Martin 7 2 9
Df Julian Koch 13 0 13 Sw Jermaine Burroughs 9 2 11
Df Fabio Dalla Cort 10 2 12 Df Agustín Delgado 8 1 9
Df Sebastian Castillo 7 2 9 Df Steven Gascoigne 7 2 9
Mf Claudio Ferrari 13 1 14 Df Melvin Bergman 3 2 5
Mf Ryan Watson 12 -2 10 Mf Jermaine Clemence 9 2 11
Mf Rob Fuller 10 0 10 Mf Mason Whiteside 7 2 9
Mf Damien Monin 7 2 9 Mf Cristobal Benitez 3 2 5
Mf Jack Quinn 6 2 8 Fw Kieran Cole 8 2 10
Fw Shay Holland 11 0 11 Fw Baron Marshall 7 2 9
Fw Jaime Carmona 7 2 9 Fw Ben Byrne 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 0 34 51 20 ROSTER TOTALS 9 11 23 25 24
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 5 2 0
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16 0 34 60 20 T O T A L S 9 11 28 27 24
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Morgan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.29 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.06 (no red card)
Df Julian Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.45 (no red card)
Df Fabio Dalla Cort: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.25 (no red card)
Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.02 (no red card)
Mf Claudio Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.17 (no red card)
Mf Ryan Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.06 (no red card)
Mf Rob Fuller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.37 (no red card)
Mf Damien Monin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.77 (no red card)
Mf Jack Quinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.95 (no red card)
Fw Shay Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.2 (no red card)
Fw Jaime Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.24 (no red card)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.7 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.26 (no red card)
Sw Jermaine Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.63 (no red card)
Df Agustín Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.27 (no red card)
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.14 (no red card)
Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.8 (no red card)
Mf Jermaine Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.35 (no red card)
Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.62 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.58 (no second yellow)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.53 (no red card)
Fw Kieran Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.6 (no red card)
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.39 (no red card)
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.45 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Boston United Team Hardness = 0
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Morgan James: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 54.42 (no injury)
Df Julian Koch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.94 (no injury)
Df Fabio Dalla Cort: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.91 (no injury)
Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.68 (no injury)
Mf Claudio Ferrari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.02 (no injury)
Mf Ryan Watson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.4 (no injury)
Mf Rob Fuller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.89 (no injury)
Mf Damien Monin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.71 (no injury)
Mf Jack Quinn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.54 (no injury)
Fw Shay Holland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.43 (no injury)
Fw Jaime Carmona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.12 (no injury)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- Boston United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 95.25 (no injury)
Sw Jermaine Burroughs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.32 (no injury)
Df Agustín Delgado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.43 (no injury)
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.79 (no injury)
Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.11 (no injury)
Mf Jermaine Clemence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.45 (no injury)
Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.29 (no injury)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.34 (no injury)
Fw Kieran Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.63 (no injury)
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.88 (no injury)
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.33 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Julian Koch SL 13
- Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 7
intRndPk = 36
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
******* BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jermaine Clemence SL 9
- Defending Gk: Morgan James SL 14
intRndPk = 42
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Boston United 16 0 34 60 20
FC United of Manchester 9 11 28 27 24
Boston United Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 28)
Boston United Mf Attacks = 17 ((60 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Boston United Df Attacks = 2 ((34 - 24) / 5); result rounded up
Boston United Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Df Fabio Dalla Cort
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 92.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Sebastian Castillo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Rob Fuller
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Rob Fuller
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Jack Quinn
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 59.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Damien Monin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Ryan Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Mf Rob Fuller
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 39.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Ryan Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Claudio Ferrari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Ryan Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Ryan Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Damien Monin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Mf Ryan Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Ryan Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Mf Claudio Ferrari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 27.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Mf Damien Monin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Mf Claudio Ferrari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Mf Rob Fuller
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
FC United of Manchester 9 11 28 27 24
Boston United 16 0 34 60 20
Boston United is using Offside Trap!
FC United of Manchester is Playing For A Draw!
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 34)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 60) / 2; rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 2 ((28 - 20) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 37.64 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BOSTON UNITED 1 - FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0
Match Notes
Calculating the odds that Rob will say, “I think I’ll go all-in on the other two road matches and just play the youth here, at home, vs my old friend Kevin.” Interestingly close to Sheffield’s current Premier League title odds, if I did the math(s) right
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/20 - 10:56 PM
Old friends deserve the utmost respect, and that respect comes with the strongest of lineups.
Rob (Boston United) 02/23 - 8:39 PM
Old friends, old friends. Sat on their park bench like bookends. They lie to each other about lineups, and their tactics, for the big match of the old friends.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 02/24 - 4:45 PM
Hmmm....
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/24 - 11:19 PM
Yeah, our youth team vs. his 60 Mf lineup. Happy we kept it to 1! We went all-in on the QF matches instead
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/27 - 11:24 PM
I did say we were going to play a strong lineup... I think a 60 MF rating qualifies.
Rob (Boston United) 03/02 - 1:53 AM
1 goal is a bit crazy. I feel fortunate and unlucky at the same time.
Rob (Boston United) 03/02 - 1:54 AM