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York City FC
James Tucker
 
Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

YORK CITY FC                               CHASETOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Leo Dury               16    2   18     Gk Niklas Kaiser           7    2    9
Sw Arran Wood             11    0   11     Sw David Gardner          13    0   13
Df Eirik Strand            7    2    9     Df Harley Hanny           10    0   10
Df Joshua Smith            3    2    5     Df Arno Christiaens       13    0   13
Mf Billy Garcia           11    1   12     Df Martin Navarro         10    0   10
Mf Alvarez  Jiménez        7    2    9     Df Alexander Kerr          7    0    7
Fw Tom Beerman            15    2   17     Df Luis Guerrero          11    0   11
Fw David Sundberg         13    2   15     Mf Aaron Jackson           8   -1    7
Fw Tom Parry              13    2   15     Mf Leor Chadad             7    2    9
Fw Juan Acosta             7    2    9     Mf Tom Werner              7    1    8
Fw Reece Fortune-West      3    2    5     Fw Julius Evensen         14   -2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 11 14 21 61        ROSTER TOTALS       9 13 51 24 12    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  1  3  0    
=======================================================================
      18 14 23 21 61         T O T A L S        9 16 52 27 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leo Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.42 (no red card)

Sw Arran Wood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.67 (no red card)

Df Eirik Strand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.56 (no red card)

Df Joshua Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.72 (no red card)

Mf Billy Garcia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.71 (no red card)

Mf Alvarez  Jiménez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.53 (no red card)

Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.97 (no red card)

Fw David Sundberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.2 (no red card)

Fw Tom Parry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.47 (no red card)

Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.97 (no red card)

Fw Reece Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.68 (no red card)

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.28 (no red card)

Sw David Gardner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.0 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.49 (no second yellow)

Df Harley Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.65 (no red card)

Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.09 (no red card)

Df Martin Navarro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.81 (no red card)

Df Alexander Kerr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.86 (no red card)

Df Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.41 (no red card)

Mf Aaron Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.67 (no red card)

Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.6 (no red card)

Mf Tom Werner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.93 (no red card)

Fw Julius Evensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.71 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Leo Dury: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 61.77 (no injury) 
Sw Arran Wood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.18 (no injury) 
Df Eirik Strand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.63 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.77 (no injury) 
Mf Billy Garcia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.23 (no injury) 
Mf Alvarez  Jiménez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.26 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.16 (no injury) 
Fw David Sundberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.4 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Parry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.53 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.95 (no injury) 
Fw Reece Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.57 (no injury) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 46.64 (no injury) 
Sw David Gardner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.58 (no injury) 
Df Harley Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.92 (no injury) 
Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.65 (no injury) 
Df Martin Navarro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.2 (no injury) 
Df Alexander Kerr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.43 (no injury) 
Df Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.94 (no injury) 
Mf Aaron Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.87 (no injury) 
Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.11 (no injury) 
Mf Tom Werner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.21 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Evensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.32 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tom Beerman SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Kaiser SL 7

     intRndPk = 39
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Julius Evensen SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Leo Dury SL 16

     intRndPk = 45
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             18  14  23  21  61
  Chasetown FC             9  16  52  27  13

York City FC Fw Attacks = 9 (61 - 52); result rounded up
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 4 ((23 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
York City FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Joshua Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Joshua Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Eirik Strand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Joshua Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             9  16  52  27  13
  York City FC             18  14  23  21  61

Chasetown FC is Playing For A Draw!
Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 23)
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((27 - 21) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((52 - 61) / 3;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
YORK CITY FC 0  -  CHASETOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Way back in season 8 when we last won at York, and a 7 game losing streak now....the signs are bad
Paul (Chasetown FC) 02/24 - 10:41 AM
Glad to get a point from this one
Paul (Chasetown FC) 03/02 - 11:37 AM
 
 
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