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FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER                    ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Frank Stephens         15    2   17     Gk Andrés Ramos            7    2    9
Sw Jermaine Burroughs      9    2   11     Sw Declan Wilson          13    2   15
Df Bailey Dowson          11    1   12     Df Jannick Schmitz        13    2   15
Df Agustín Delgado         8    1    9     Df Matty Parsons          11    2   13
Mf Jermaine Clemence       9    2   11     Df Barry Fortune-West      7   -1    6
Df Gerry Ward              7    2    9     Df Liam Conner             3    2    5
Mf Mason Whiteside         7    2    9     Mf Donald Brown            7    2    9
Mf Joel Richards           3    2    5     Mf Kai Jones               3    2    5
Fw Lawrence Clark         11    2   13     Mf Esteban Gallet          3    2    5
Fw Kieran Cole             8    2   10     Fw Kai Burke               7    2    9
Fw Baron Marshall          7    2    9     Fw Moritz Schultze         3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 11 30 25 32        ROSTER TOTALS       9 15 39 19 14    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 11 30 25 41         T O T A L S        9 18 43 19 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.04 (no red card)

Sw Jermaine Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.12 (no red card)

Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.94 (no red card)

Df Agustín Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.09 (no red card)

Mf Jermaine Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.01 (no red card)

Df Gerry Ward: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.11 (no red card)

Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.78 (no red card)

Mf Joel Richards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.52 (no red card)

Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.18 (no red card)

Fw Kieran Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.68 (no red card)

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.53 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.57 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.16 (no red card)

Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.83 (no red card)

Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.77 (no red card)

Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.03 (no red card)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.03 (no red card)

Mf Donald Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.73 (no red card)

Mf Kai Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.75 (no red card)

Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.0 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.02 (no red card)

Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.72 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 36.45 (no injury) 
Sw Jermaine Burroughs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.35 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.33 (no injury) 
Df Agustín Delgado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.77 (no injury) 
Mf Jermaine Clemence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.16 (no injury) 
Df Gerry Ward: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.52 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.51 (no injury) 
Mf Joel Richards: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.96 (no injury) 
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.82 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.29 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.64 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 86.1 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.97 (no injury) 
Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.62 (no injury) 
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.68 (no injury) 
Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.08 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.9 (no injury) 
Mf Donald Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.61 (no injury) 
Mf Kai Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.65 (no injury) 
Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.37 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.93 (no injury) 
Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.5 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bailey Dowson SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 7

     intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jannick Schmitz SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Frank Stephens SL 15

     intRndPk = 64
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  17  11  30  25  41
  Ilkeston Town FC         9  18  43  19  14

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (41 - 43)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 3 ((25 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 6 ((30 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Bailey Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Bailey Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 56.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Agustín Delgado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Bailey Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Gerry Ward
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Bailey Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Jermaine Clemence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Jermaine Clemence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Mason Whiteside
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         9  18  43  19  14
  FC United of Manchester  17  11  30  25  41

Ilkeston Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 30)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((43 - 41) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Matty Parsons
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 1  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Bugger! I knew there was another shot chance...
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 02/24 - 8:27 PM
Only got 2 past the sweeper, and lucked one past the App Gk
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/27 - 11:22 PM
 
 
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