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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Halifax Town AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           HALIFAX TOWN AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Diego Forlán           14    2   16     Gk Florian De Vos          7    2    9
Df Clifton Ali            13    2   15     Sw Abel Ríos              14    2   16
Df Leo Bergström          12    2   14     Mf Mark Shaw               9    2   11
Df Earl Kelly              7    2    9     Df Sean Parslow            8    2   10
Df Sean Callahan           3    2    5     Df Ben Roberts             8    2   10
Mf Malte Axelsson         13    2   15     Df Joseph Allison          7    2    9
Mf Barry Evans            16    2   18     Df George Brown            3    2    5
Mf Joe Barrett             7    2    9     Mf Michael Reilly         10    2   12
Mf Kunio Yamamoto          3    2    5     Mf Gareth Gascoigne        3    2    5
Fw Joe Evans              14    2   16     Fw Carrington Wood         9    1   10
Fw Patrick Reid           13    2   15     Fw Joe Lennon              7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 43 47 31        ROSTER TOTALS       9 16 34 28 19    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 43 47 40         T O T A L S       10 16 41 28 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 72.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 21.46 (no red card)

Df Clifton Ali: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.23 (no red card)

Df Leo Bergström: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 54.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.92 (no red card)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.36 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.09 (no red card)

Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 88.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 31.72 (no red card)

Mf Barry Evans: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 92.96 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.1 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 9.73 (no second yellow)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 47.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.61 (no red card)

Fw Joe Evans: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 69.18 (no red card)

Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.02 (no red card)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 92.02 (no red card)

Sw Abel Ríos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.14 (no red card)

Mf Mark Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.63 (no red card)

Df Sean Parslow: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.03 (no red card)

Df Ben Roberts: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.45 (no red card)

Df Joseph Allison: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.37 (no red card)

Df George Brown: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.58 (no red card)

Mf Michael Reilly: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.63 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.47 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Wood: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.81 (no red card)

Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.81 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 92.63 (no injury) 
Df Clifton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 15.95 (no injury) 
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 7.9 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 5.44 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 56.83 (no injury) 
Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 47.41 (no injury) 
Mf Barry Evans: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 11.94 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 53.96 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 40.62 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Evans: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 55.89 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 58.9 (no injury) 

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 24.87 (no injury) 
Sw Abel Ríos: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 91.55 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Shaw: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 30.0 (no injury) 
Df Sean Parslow: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 95.51 (no injury) 
Df Ben Roberts: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 80.02 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Allison: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 39.23 (no injury) 
Df George Brown: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 21.27 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Reilly: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 94.74 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 39.46 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Wood: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 62.26 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 72.9 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Barry Evans SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Michael Reilly SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 62% | Random number = 92 (pk blocked)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         18   0  43  47  40
  Halifax Town AFC         10  16  41  28  19

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (40 - 41)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 10 ((47 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 5 ((43 - 19) / 5); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Clifton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Leo Bergström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Leo Bergström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Clifton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 15.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 46.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 25.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 94.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Halifax Town AFC         10  16  41  28  19
  Tonbridge Angels         18   0  43  47  40

Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
Halifax Town AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Halifax Town AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 43)
Halifax Town AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Halifax Town AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((41 - 40) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Ben Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 21.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1  -  HALIFAX TOWN AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Tonbridge away is a real hard encounter!
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 02/22 - 4:54 PM
Hopefully we can pick up some points at home and move away from the relegation zone.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/22 - 11:12 PM
Left it late but happy with all three points.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/29 - 11:31 PM
 
 
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