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Friday, April 19th, 2024 - 02:03:42 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Boston United
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      BOSTON UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Martin Denis           15    2   17     Gk Morgan James           16    2   18
Sw Fortunato  Torres       9    2   11     Sw Noah Smalls             9    2   11
Df Aidan O'Neil           13    2   15     Df Julian Koch            15   -1   14
Df Benjamin Newton        13    2   15     Df Sebastian Castillo      9    2   11
Df Ben Lawrence            9    2   11     Df Florian König           4    2    6
Df Trevor Harewood         4    2    6     Mf Claudio Ferrari        14    1   15
Mf Juan Jose Carmona      14    2   16     Mf Damien Monin            8    2   10
Mf Luis Schmidt            9    2   11     Fw Carrington Wilkins     14    0   14
Fw Braulio  Salas         14    2   16     Fw Billy Moore            16    1   17
Fw Blair Munro            13    2   15     Fw Shay  Holland          11    1   12
Fw John Coppell           16    1   17     Fw Sebastian Colombo       9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 11 47 27 48        ROSTER TOTALS      18 11 31 25 54    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 11 47 27 57         T O T A L S       18 14 31 25 54    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Martin Denis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.94 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.98 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.56 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.87 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.87 (no red card)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.54 (no red card)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.85 (no red card)

Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.37 (no red card)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.97 (no red card)

Fw Blair Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.08 (no red card)

Fw John Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.04 (no red card)

*******  BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Morgan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.76 (no red card)

Sw Noah Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.35 (no red card)

Df Julian Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.25 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.25 (no red card)

Df Florian König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.24 (no red card)

Mf Claudio Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.94 (no red card)

Mf Damien Monin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.83 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.6 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.88 (no second yellow)

Fw Billy Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.61 (no red card)

Fw Shay  Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.69 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.41 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Martin Denis: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 46.58 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.99 (no injury) 
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.62 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.5 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.84 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.22 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.82 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.19 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.81 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Braulio  Salas is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Braulio  Salas new match skill level =  7
      Braulio  Salas new match total level =  9
Fw Blair Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.48 (no injury) 
Fw John Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.66 (no injury) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Morgan James: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 2.54 (no injury) 
Sw Noah Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.25 (no injury) 
Df Julian Koch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.66 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.43 (no injury) 
Df Florian König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.18 (no injury) 
Mf Claudio Ferrari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.02 (no injury) 
Mf Damien Monin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.55 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.13 (no injury) 
Fw Billy Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.76 (no injury) 
Fw Shay  Holland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.04 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.24 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: John Coppell SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Morgan James SL 16

     intRndPk = 100
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Billy Moore SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Martin Denis SL 15

     intRndPk = 100
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    20  11  47  27  50
  Boston United            18  14  31  25  54

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 19 (50 - 31); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Juan Jose Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 94.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 68.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 42.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 5.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Boston United            18  14  31  25  54
  Harrogate Railway AFC    20  11  47  27  50

Boston United Fw Attacks = 7 (54 - 47); result rounded up
Boston United Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Boston United Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Boston United Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Shay  Holland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 63.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 2  -  BOSTON UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Cheering for a Rob win as we're starting to get concerned we might be promoted.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/12 - 11:17 PM
Simple solution for that Al... play all your Youth.
Rob (Boston United) 03/16 - 3:44 PM
Darn you Rob...now it looks like we're going to have to play first division football next season. Still two sessions to lose 4 in a row though... 😎
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/17 - 4:26 PM
Well, if you wanted to lose that badly, maybe you shouldn't have gone to SL 20 in GK and played almost 60 FW line!
Rob (Boston United) 03/23 - 2:27 PM
 
 
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