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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           AFC FYLDE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mark Daugherty         16    2   18     Gk James MacLeod           4    2    6
Sw Declan Wilson          15    2   17     Df Aaron Hardy            11    1   12
Df Jannick Schmitz        13    2   15     Df Ryan Lasserre           9    2   11
Df Oliver Brown           11    2   13     Df Jeff Hughes             4   -1    3
Df Barry Fortune-West      9    2   11     Mf Martín Paz             16    2   18
Mf Jeff Hunter            12    2   14     Mf Dominic Webster        16    2   18
Mf Diogo DaSilva          10    2   12     Mf James Gallaher          9    2   11
Fw Dennis Honeybun        14   -1   13     Mf Wes Lambert             4    2    6
Fw Luca König             13    1   14     Fw Ellis Boddington        9    2   11
Fw Thomas Reilly          10    1   11     Fw Jonas Baumann           9    2   11
Fw John Davis             10    2   12     Fw Rodrigo Carvalho        4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 39 26 50        ROSTER TOTALS       6  0 26 53 28    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 17 39 26 59         T O T A L S        6  0 33 53 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.92 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.16 (no red card)

Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.08 (no red card)

Df Oliver Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.97 (no red card)

Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.3 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.24 (no red card)

Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.24 (no red card)

Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.04 (no red card)

Fw Luca König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.51 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Reilly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.28 (no red card)

Fw John Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.74 (no red card)

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.54 (no red card)

Df Aaron Hardy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.74 (no red card)

Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.06 (no red card)

Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.01 (no red card)

Mf Martín Paz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.22 (no red card)

Mf Dominic Webster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.68 (no red card)

Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.03 (no red card)

Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.65 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.58 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.98 (no second yellow)

Fw Jonas Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.75 (no red card)

Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.68 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 61.58 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.37 (no injury) 
Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.1 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.0 (no injury) 
Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.71 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.87 (no injury) 
Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.79 (no injury) 
Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.2 (no injury) 
Fw Luca König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.96 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Reilly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.42 (no injury) 
Fw John Davis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.11 (no injury) 

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 60.51 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Hardy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.21 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.44 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.38 (no injury) 
Mf Martín Paz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.45 (no injury) 
Mf Dominic Webster: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.61 (no injury) 
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.89 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.39 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.79 (no injury) 
Fw Jonas Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.69 (no injury) 
Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.17 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Dennis Honeybun SL 14
   - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 4

     intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martín Paz SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mark Daugherty SL 16

     intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  17  39  26  59
  AFC Fylde                6   0  33  53  28

AFC Fylde is using Offside Trap!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 13 (59 - 33) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 53) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((39 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Df Jannick Schmitz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Barry Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 71.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Oliver Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Barry Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 84.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 53.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Thomas Reilly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 36.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Thomas Reilly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw John Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 32.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 42.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 2.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw John Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 20.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Thomas Reilly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 49.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 3.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Thomas Reilly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 36.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Thomas Reilly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 86.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                6   0  33  53  28
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  17  39  26  59

AFC Fylde is Playing For A Draw!
AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 39)
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 7 ((53 - 26) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 59) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 3  -  AFC FYLDE 0
 
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