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Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC                         AFC WIMBLEDON

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk José Fita              16    2   18     Gk Kenzie Ross            18    2   20
Sw Joshua Burroughs       16    0   16     Df Riley O'Brien          13    2   15
Df Maximillian Beerman    14    2   16     Df Lee Robertson          14    1   15
Df Harry Thwaite          13    2   15     Df Kian Doyle             13    1   14
Mf Giles Dixon            11    2   13     Df Harry Johnson          13    2   15
Mf Bernd Kaiser            9    2   11     Df Oscar Hall             16    2   18
Fw Ruben Diez             16    2   18     Mf Aarron Shepherd        14    1   15
Fw Tobias Walter          15    1   16     Mf Archie Blair           12    0   12
Fw Dong-Sun  Jang         17    2   19     Fw Bradley McCarthy       16    2   18
Fw Wayne Ellis            11    2   13     Fw Paul Ellis             15    2   17
Fw Freddie Rees           10    2   12     Fw Josh MacDonald         13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 16 31 24 78        ROSTER TOTALS      20  0 77 27 50    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  4  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 16 31 28 83         T O T A L S       21  0 77 27 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk José Fita: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.25 (no red card)

Sw Joshua Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.97 (no red card)

Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.74 (no red card)

Df Harry Thwaite: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.03 (no red card)

Mf Giles Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.34 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.16 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.67 (no red card)

Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.48 (no red card)

Fw Dong-Sun  Jang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.0 (no red card)

Fw Wayne Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.36 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.74 (no red card)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 63.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 10.59 (no red card)

Df Riley O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.82 (no red card)

Df Lee Robertson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.32 (no red card)

Df Kian Doyle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.14 (no red card)

Df Harry Johnson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.58 (no red card)

Df Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.15 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.73 (no red card)

Mf Archie Blair: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.25 (no red card)

Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.57 (no red card)

Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.15 (no red card)

Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.94 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk José Fita: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 85.95 (no injury) 
Sw Joshua Burroughs: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.03 (no injury) 
Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.23 (no injury) 
Df Harry Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.22 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Dixon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.83 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Kaiser: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.03 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.37 (no injury) 
Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.55 (no injury) 
Fw Dong-Sun  Jang: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.49 (no injury) 
Fw Wayne Ellis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.61 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.54 (no injury) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 1.94 (no injury) 
Df Riley O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.87 (no injury) 
Df Lee Robertson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.27 (no injury) 
Df Kian Doyle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.03 (no injury) 
Df Harry Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.31 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.32 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Oscar Hall is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Oscar Hall new match skill level =  8
      Oscar Hall new match total level =  10
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.55 (no injury) 
Mf Archie Blair: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.07 (no injury) 
Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.54 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.6 (no injury) 
Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.41 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Dong-Sun  Jang SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 18

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bradley McCarthy SL 16
   - Defending Gk: José Fita SL 16

     intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       21  16  31  28  83
  AFC Wimbledon            21   0  69  27  50

Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 14 (83 - 69); result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Mf Bernd Kaiser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 13.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 92.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Wayne Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 62.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 35.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Wayne Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 40.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 34.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Wayne Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 67.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Wayne Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 82.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Wayne Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Dong-Sun  Jang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Dong-Sun  Jang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 77.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            21   0  69  27  50
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       21  16  31  28  83

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 19 (50 - 31); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((69 - 83) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 3.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 72.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 92.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 8.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 15.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 65.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 1  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 1
 
Match Notes
Must win against the best all time
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 03/29 - 12:14 PM
 
 
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