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Thursday, April 25th, 2024 - 01:16:36 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Shaiming Ma            13    0   13     Gk Jay Hussain            13    0   13
Sw Juan Rodríguez         10    0   10     Df Luca Lorimar           13    0   13
Df Ollie Hanny            12    0   12     Df James Long              8    0    8
Df Aaron Hardy            11    0   11     Df Thomas McIntyre         5    2    7
Df Rayan Blanc            10    0   10     Mf Noah Young             13    0   13
Mf Martín Paz             13    0   13     Mf William Carney         10    0   10
Mf Dominic Webster        13    0   13     Mf Cristiano Fernandes     8    0    8
Mf Roger Harewood         10    0   10     Mf Owen Roberts            5    2    7
Fw Stian Sørensen         13    0   13     Mf Lewis Coppell           2    2    4
Fw Joe Cleverley          16    0   16     Fw Kenneth Anderson       10    0   10
Fw Samuel Reid            10    0   10     Fw Agustin Martínez        5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 10 33 36 39        ROSTER TOTALS      13  0 28 42 17    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 10 42 36 39         T O T A L S       13  0 28 42 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.81 (no red card)

Sw Juan Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.87 (no red card)

Df Ollie Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.08 (no red card)

Df Aaron Hardy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.53 (no red card)

Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.78 (no red card)

Mf Martín Paz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.18 (no red card)

Mf Dominic Webster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.99 (no red card)

Mf Roger Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.72 (no red card)

Fw Stian Sørensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.44 (no red card)

Fw Joe Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.11 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Reid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.19 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.58 (no red card)

Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.86 (no red card)

Df James Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.26 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.18 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.77 (no second yellow)

Mf Noah Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.79 (no red card)

Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.17 (no red card)

Mf Cristiano Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.73 (no red card)

Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.83 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.6 (no red card)

Fw Kenneth Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.03 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.92 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 28.91 (no injury) 
Sw Juan Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.22 (no injury) 
Df Ollie Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.39 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Hardy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.09 (no injury) 
Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.71 (no injury) 
Mf Martín Paz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.68 (no injury) 
Mf Dominic Webster: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.29 (no injury) 
Mf Roger Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.51 (no injury) 
Fw Stian Sørensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.95 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.6 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Reid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.58 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 96.65 (no injury) 
Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.72 (no injury) 
Df James Long: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.14 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.25 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.87 (no injury) 
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.64 (no injury) 
Mf Cristiano Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.26 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.32 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.34 (no injury) 
Fw Kenneth Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.37 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.19 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joe Cleverley SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 13

     intRndPk = 27
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luca Lorimar SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Shaiming Ma SL 13

     intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                13  10  42  36  39
  Swindon Supermarine FC   13   0  28  42  17

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 11 (39 - 28); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 9 ((42 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Aaron Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Aaron Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 71.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Ollie Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 17.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Ollie Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 78.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Ollie Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 61.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Ollie Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 10.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Aaron Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 70.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Df Rayan Blanc
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Df Ollie Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 8.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 95.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Samuel Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Samuel Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 43.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 97.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 5.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 83.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 59 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 50 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   13   0  28  42  17
  AFC Fylde                13  10  42  36  39

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 42)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((42 - 36) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 39) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 6  -  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Someone will be lawyering up in this match...
🚑
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/08 - 12:08 AM
This match must be bringing back bad memories for Mr McIntosh. Original MSWL Olmec league is gone but not forgotten!
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 01/26 - 11:21 PM
Wow...not sure what John did to offend Phil? Did Phylde really need that injury time 6th goal? 😎
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/28 - 2:34 AM
 
 
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