(H)
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S LUTON TOWN FC BEDFORD TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Dylan Foster 15 2 17 Gk Gianluca De Luca 15 2 17 Sw Jason Meyer 12 2 14 Df Niklas Schneider 13 2 15 Df Fabian Schulz 15 0 15 Df Theo Crowley 10 1 11 Df Harvey Marshall 10 2 12 Df Leonardo Vargas 10 2 12 Df Robin Ostrander 6 2 8 Df Darren Hanny 6 2 8 Mf Harrison McBrayne 11 2 13 Df Francisco Vera 3 2 5 Mf Jung Hee Kwon 11 1 12 Mf Stefan Jensen 18 2 20 Mf Vincent Lecoeur 8 2 10 Mf John Anderson 10 2 12 Fw Kerecsen Deák 12 1 13 Mf Ronan Brown 10 2 12 Fw Charlie Boyle 10 2 12 Mf Jeff Shilton 3 2 5 Fw Howard Dennis 8 2 10 Fw Jed Monkhouse 13 1 14 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 14 35 35 35 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 51 49 14 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 14 35 39 40 T O T A L S 19 0 51 49 17 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.53 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.03 (no red card) Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.29 (no red card) Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.34 (no red card) Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.56 (no red card) Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.85 (no red card) Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.0 (no red card) Mf Jung Hee Kwon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.38 (no red card) Mf Vincent Lecoeur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.24 (no red card) Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.17 (no red card) Fw Charlie Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.45 (no red card) Fw Howard Dennis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.06 (no red card) ******* BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.68 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.13 (no red card) Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.71 (no red card) Df Theo Crowley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.06 (no red card) Df Leonardo Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.34 (no red card) Df Darren Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.01 (no red card) Df Francisco Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.19 (no red card) Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.94 (no red card) Mf John Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.33 (no red card) Mf Ronan Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.33 (no red card) Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.31 (no red card) Fw Jed Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.27 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 83.53 (no injury) Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.91 (no injury) Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.01 (no injury) Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.79 (no injury) Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.76 (no injury) Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.33 (no injury) Mf Jung Hee Kwon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.66 (no injury) Mf Vincent Lecoeur: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.31 (no injury) Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.37 (no injury) Fw Charlie Boyle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.8 (no injury) Fw Howard Dennis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.66 (no injury) ******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 91.1 (no injury) Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.54 (no injury) Df Theo Crowley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.43 (no injury) Df Leonardo Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.62 (no injury) Df Darren Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.17 (no injury) Df Francisco Vera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.02 (no injury) Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.89 (no injury) Mf John Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.82 (no injury) Mf Ronan Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.29 (no injury) Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.03 (no injury) Fw Jed Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.03 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Fabian Schulz SL 15 - Defending Gk: Gianluca De Luca SL 15 intRndPk = 73 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick) ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Stefan Jensen SL 18 - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 15 intRndPk = 25 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Luton Town FC 17 14 35 39 40 Bedford Town FC 19 0 51 49 17 Bedford Town FC is using Offside Trap! Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (40 - 51) Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((39 - 49) / 2; rounded up) Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 6 ((35 - 17) / 3); result rounded up Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 6 1: Attack for Df Harvey Marshall Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bedford Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 13.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Fabian Schulz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bedford Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 41.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Fabian Schulz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bedford Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Df Fabian Schulz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bedford Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bedford Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 48.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Df Fabian Schulz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bedford Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 1.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Bedford Town FC 19 0 51 49 17 Luton Town FC 17 14 35 39 40 Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 35) Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((49 - 39) / 2) ; result rounded up Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((51 - 40) / 5); result rounded up Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 8 1: Attack for Df Darren Hanny Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Darren Hanny Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 86.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Df Niklas Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf John Anderson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Mf Ronan Brown Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E LUTON TOWN FC 0 - BEDFORD TOWN FC 2
Match Notes
Welcome, Simon!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 02/17 - 6:16 PM
Nice tactics and nice road win, Compo!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 02/17 - 8:06 PM
Let’s hope for a win here against a mighty manager
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 02/17 - 8:13 PM
My 16s girls played Luton today and lost so can we change our fortune
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 02/17 - 8:13 PM
That’s a sweet win, nice steak dinner thanks Mike
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 02/17 - 8:14 PM
Red wine not bad either 😉
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 02/17 - 8:14 PM
Gianluca de Luca does his job today for Compo.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/17 - 10:19 PM