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Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC                        SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Isa Etim               13    1   14     Gk Michel Vargas          11   -1   10
Sw Rafael Corona          11    0   11     Df Tony Ford              12    2   14
Df Paul Muir              13    2   15     Df Lucas Stuhr            11    2   13
Df Erik Richter            7    2    9     Df Enrique Masis           7    2    9
Mf Jack Maclaren          15    0   15     Df Miguel de la Cruz       3    2    5
Mf Shigeo Makino           7    1    8     Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene     13    2   15
Mf Clint Smith             3    2    5     Mf Jacob King             13    2   15
Fw Jonas Weber            13    2   15     Mf Mikkel Hedegaard        3    1    4
Fw Oscar Peña             11    2   13     Fw Michaël Van der heijden13    1   14
Fw Jose Alvarez            7    2    9     Fw Ollie Hart             14    2   16
Fw Greg Rashford           7    1    8     Fw Gerry Maclaren          7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 11 24 28 45        ROSTER TOTALS      10  0 41 34 39    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 11 24 28 54         T O T A L S       10  0 41 34 39    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Isa Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.92 (no red card)

Sw Rafael Corona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.21 (no red card)

Df Paul Muir: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.7 (no red card)

Df Erik Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.89 (no red card)

Mf Jack Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.63 (no red card)

Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.08 (no red card)

Mf Clint Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.98 (no red card)

Fw Jonas Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.28 (no red card)

Fw Oscar Peña: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.44 (no red card)

Fw Jose Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.46 (no red card)

Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.91 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Michel Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.73 (no red card)

Df Tony Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.27 (no red card)

Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.37 (no red card)

Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.35 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.51 (no red card)

Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.93 (no red card)

Mf Jacob King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.49 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.64 (no second yellow)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.25 (no red card)

Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.88 (no red card)

Fw Ollie Hart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.56 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.0 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Isa Etim: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 67.74 (no injury) 
Sw Rafael Corona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.25 (no injury) 
Df Paul Muir: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.62 (no injury) 
Df Erik Richter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.95 (no injury) 
Mf Jack Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.79 (no injury) 
Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.89 (no injury) 
Mf Clint Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.52 (no injury) 
Fw Jonas Weber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.61 (no injury) 
Fw Oscar Peña: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.94 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Alvarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.3 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.42 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Michel Vargas: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 3.22 (no injury) 
Df Tony Ford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.41 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.12 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.13 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.67 (no injury) 
Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.02 (no injury) 
Mf Jacob King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.32 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.72 (no injury) 
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.5 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie Hart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.82 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.09 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jack Maclaren SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Michel Vargas SL 11

     intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ollie Hart SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Isa Etim SL 13

     intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      14  11  24  28  54
  Swansea City AFC         10   0  41  34  39

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 13 (54 - 41); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 54.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 71.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 48.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 56.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Jose Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 89.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 70.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 63.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Jose Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Jose Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 81.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 65.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         10   0  41  34  39
  Northampton Town FC      14  11  24  28  54

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 15 (39 - 24); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 3 ((34 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 54) / 5;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Jacob King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Jacob King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 68.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 31.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 26.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 33.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 59.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 31.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 98.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 6  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 1
 
Match Notes
Oh oh that offside trap might work Roy
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 02/24 - 10:54 PM
Maybe
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 02/24 - 10:54 PM
But then again
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 02/24 - 10:55 PM
Is this the match where Compo tells us he was lucky?
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/24 - 11:20 PM
 
 
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