Session 10 Coaches Poll deadline in 9 hours and 3 minutes
If your team was NMR this season please see the rules for NMR forgiveness (Section 14) and email the commish instructions BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
If an age V or higher player would retire at end of season you can convert him to an age I BRB BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
Compo is a kind soul and wants to remind you to use ALL REMAINING GPP this session. They do not carry over...
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Thursday, March 28th, 2024 - 08:56:25 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dara Hays              13    2   15     Gk Joshua Samed           14    1   15
Sw Cristhian Dybala       12    2   14     Sw Tommy McGree            7    2    9
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck   13    1   14     Df Gabriel Lind           13    2   15
Df Owen Sansom            12    1   13     Df Juraj Corluka          11    1   12
Df Jamie Aitken           10    1   11     Df Sion Davey              7    2    9
Mf Duško Kolomyets        13    1   14     Mf Jaromir Tokar          13    0   13
Mf Ben Ince               13    1   14     Mf Ian Tejeda             12    2   14
Fw Noah Zimmermann        15    1   16     Mf Stefan Boniek           7    2    9
Fw Salem Bejaoui          12    1   13     Fw Damien Sanchez         15    2   17
Fw Ellis Dury             11    0   11     Fw Elias Schmidt          10    1   11
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi       7    2    9     Fw Joel Zamora             7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 14 38 28 49        ROSTER TOTALS      15  9 36 36 37    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 14 38 30 56         T O T A L S       18  9 36 36 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.73 (no red card)

Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.63 (no red card)

Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.41 (no red card)

Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.17 (no red card)

Df Jamie Aitken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.96 (no red card)

Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.26 (no red card)

Mf Ben Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.28 (no red card)

Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.89 (no red card)

Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.11 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.7 (no red card)

Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.0 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.21 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.03 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.46 (no red card)

Df Juraj Corluka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.43 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.98 (no red card)

Mf Jaromir Tokar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.14 (no red card)

Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.01 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.09 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.44 (no red card)

Fw Elias Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.39 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.77 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 85.09 (no injury) 
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.42 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.17 (no injury) 
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.31 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Aitken: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.31 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Jamie Aitken is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jamie Aitken new match skill level =  5
      Jamie Aitken new match total level =  6
Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.08 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.7 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.38 (no injury) 
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.4 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.97 (no injury) 
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.7 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 96.42 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.67 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.19 (no injury) 
Df Juraj Corluka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.49 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.35 (no injury) 
Mf Jaromir Tokar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.44 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.79 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.13 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Stefan Boniek is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Stefan Boniek new match skill level =  4
      Stefan Boniek new match total level =  6
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.08 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.67 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.91 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Noah Zimmermann SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 14

     intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Damien Sanchez SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 13

     intRndPk = 86
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          15  14  33  30  56
  Crewe Alexandra FC       18   9  36  33  37

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 20 (56 - 36); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 20.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 29.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       18   9  36  33  37
  Carlisle United          15  14  33  30  56

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 4 (37 - 33); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((33 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Jaromir Tokar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Jaromir Tokar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Elias Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Elias Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 31.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 1  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
 
Match Notes
Carlisle top the table, so this could be tricky
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/18 - 3:39 PM
It's been a long time since we last beat Crewe in a League match though.
Dave (Carlisle United) 02/24 - 10:43 AM
And it will be a long time before you have to say that again. I doff my cap sir. Well deserved.
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/24 - 7:12 PM
Cheers Carl. The injury takes a bit of gloss off the result though.
Dave (Carlisle United) 02/25 - 12:14 AM
 
 
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