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Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Thomas Anderson        14    1   15     Gk Wayne Carroll          16    2   18
Sw Mitsuo Soma            12    2   14     Df Freddie Harris         13    2   15
Df Mohammed Cherkaoui     13    1   14     Df Radoslaw Kaminski       7    2    9
Df Gabriel Correia        13    0   13     Df Martin Rodríguez        3    2    5
Df Mamoru Morishima       10    0   10     Mf Melvin Carmona         13    2   15
Mf Božo Rebic             10    1   11     Mf Yahia El idrissi       11    2   13
Mf Agustin Duarte          9    0    9     Mf Luiz Santos             9    2   11
Mf Kristijan Karacic       7    2    9     Mf Tomasz Lewandowski      7    2    9
Fw Curtis Carr            15    1   16     Fw José Sánchez           10    2   12
Fw Matty Barrett          14    0   14     Fw Dafydd Chapman          7    2    9
Fw Marouane Peeters        7    2    9     Fw Dario Sucic             3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 14 37 29 39        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 29 48 26    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 14 37 29 48         T O T A L S       18  0 29 48 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.14 (no red card)

Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.51 (no red card)

Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.83 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.45 (no red card)

Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.4 (no red card)

Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.4 (no second yellow)

Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.34 (no red card)

Mf Kristijan Karacic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.09 (no red card)

Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.57 (no red card)

Fw Matty Barrett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.26 (no red card)

Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.44 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.99 (no red card)

Df Freddie Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.81 (no red card)

Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.08 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.81 (no second yellow)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.41 (no red card)

Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.52 (no red card)

Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.33 (no red card)

Mf Luiz Santos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.87 (no red card)

Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.76 (no red card)

Fw José Sánchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.95 (no red card)

Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.69 (no red card)

Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.89 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 29.21 (no injury) 
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.95 (no injury) 
Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.04 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.34 (no injury) 
Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.37 (no injury) 
Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.19 (no injury) 
Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.03 (no injury) 
Mf Kristijan Karacic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.85 (no injury) 
Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.53 (no injury) 
Fw Matty Barrett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.61 (no injury) 
Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.97 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 29.85 (no injury) 
Df Freddie Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.74 (no injury) 
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.52 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.23 (no injury) 
Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.18 (no injury) 
Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.11 (no injury) 
Mf Luiz Santos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.61 (no injury) 
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.69 (no injury) 
Fw José Sánchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.55 (no injury) 
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.77 (no injury) 
Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Curtis Carr SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Wayne Carroll SL 16

     intRndPk = 45
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Freddie Harris SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 14

     intRndPk = 56
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      15  14  37  29  48
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    18   0  29  48  26

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 10 (48 - 29) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 48) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((37 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Df Mamoru Morishima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 1.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Gabriel Correia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 65.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Mamoru Morishima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 5.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Mohammed Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 35.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 82.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    18   0  29  48  26
  Oldham Athletic AFC      15  14  37  29  48

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 37)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 10 ((48 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 48) / 5;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Yahia El idrissi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Melvin Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Luiz Santos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Melvin Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Luiz Santos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 96.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 57.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Luiz Santos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Melvin Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 2  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1
 
Match Notes
A home game against Weston. We could go for a win.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 02/24 - 7:33 AM
It was a close one.... But we will meet again in the AP Cup semi final.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 03/02 - 9:57 AM
 
 
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