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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tyler Carter-Vickers   10    2   12     Gk Hélder Queiroz         14    1   15
Sw John Taylor            11    1   12     Sw Frank Barnes            8    2   10
Df Santiago Castillo      13    1   14     Df Juan-Carlos Pique      11    2   13
Df Osvaldo Raphinha       11    1   12     Df Dayot Fouché           11    2   13
Df Bailey Stevens          9    2   11     Df Policarpo Caniggia     10    2   12
Mf Jaromir Tokar          13    0   13     Df Noh Jin-chuel           9    2   11
Mf Ian Tejeda             12    2   14     Mf Paulo Varao            10    2   12
Mf Charles McDermott      10    2   12     Mf Mason McDermott        10    2   12
Fw Noah Clark              5    2    7     Mf Frank Wheeler           8    2   10
Fw Ryu Haraguchi          14    2   16     Fw Alex Dean              11    2   13
Fw Craig Alexander         9    0    9     Fw Imed Boumnijel          9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 12 37 39 32        ROSTER TOTALS      15 10 49 34 24    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 12 37 41 39         T O T A L S       15 10 49 34 24    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tyler Carter-Vickers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.0 (no red card)

Sw John Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.95 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.37 (no red card)

Df Osvaldo Raphinha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.38 (no red card)

Df Bailey Stevens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.6 (no red card)

Mf Jaromir Tokar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.79 (no second yellow)

Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.77 (no red card)

Mf Charles McDermott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.62 (no red card)

Fw Noah Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.98 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.4 (no red card)

Fw Craig Alexander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.25 (no red card)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hélder Queiroz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.67 (no red card)

Sw Frank Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.95 (no red card)

Df Juan-Carlos Pique: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.03 (no red card)

Df Dayot Fouché: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.92 (no red card)

Df Policarpo Caniggia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.14 (no red card)

Df Noh Jin-chuel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.4 (no red card)

Mf Paulo Varao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.43 (no red card)

Mf Mason McDermott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.59 (no red card)

Mf Frank Wheeler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.48 (no red card)

Fw Alex Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.91 (no red card)

Fw Imed Boumnijel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.17 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Tyler Carter-Vickers: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 26.24 (no injury) 
Sw John Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.65 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.2 (no injury) 
Df Osvaldo Raphinha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.53 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Stevens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.33 (no injury) 
Mf Jaromir Tokar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.18 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.03 (no injury) 
Mf Charles McDermott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.68 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.52 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.34 (no injury) 
Fw Craig Alexander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.72 (no injury) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hélder Queiroz: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 37.56 (no injury) 
Sw Frank Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.42 (no injury) 
Df Juan-Carlos Pique: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.56 (no injury) 
Df Dayot Fouché: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.71 (no injury) 
Df Policarpo Caniggia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.09 (no injury) 
Df Noh Jin-chuel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.0 (no injury) 
Mf Paulo Varao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.1 (no injury) 
Mf Mason McDermott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.5 (no injury) 
Mf Frank Wheeler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.92 (no injury) 
Fw Alex Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.7 (no injury) 
Fw Imed Boumnijel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.82 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ryu Haraguchi SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Hélder Queiroz SL 14

     intRndPk = 92
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Juan-Carlos Pique SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Tyler Carter-Vickers SL 10

     intRndPk = 64
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  12  37  41  39
  Northampton Town FC      15  10  49  34  24

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (39 - 49)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((41 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 5 ((37 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Osvaldo Raphinha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Bailey Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Osvaldo Raphinha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 52.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Bailey Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Charles McDermott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Charles McDermott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      15  10  49  34  24
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  12  37  41  39

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 37)
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((49 - 39) / 3); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Noh Jin-chuel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Policarpo Caniggia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 47.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Juan-Carlos Pique
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Policarpo Caniggia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0  -  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
This one is usually close but Northampton do chin us from time to time.
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/25 - 11:14 AM
Neither side entertained the crowd and a draw seems fair
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/03 - 9:38 AM
 
 
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