Session 10 orders deadline in 31 hours and 17 minutes
If your team was NMR this season please see the rules for NMR forgiveness (Section 14) and email the commish instructions BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
If an age V or higher player would retire at end of season you can convert him to an age I BRB BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
Compo is a kind soul and wants to remind you to use ALL REMAINING GPP this session. They do not carry over...
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Friday, March 29th, 2024 - 10:42:59 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Smahi Regragui         16    2   18     Gk Alonso Lopez           15    2   17
Sw Ilija Livaja           13    2   15     Sw Glen Clarke            15    2   17
Df Oribe Vega             15    2   17     Df Kenzie Fraser          13    2   15
Df Abdul Otu               8    2   10     Df Manuel Ortiz           11    2   13
Fw Angus McKay            13    2   15     Df Archie Rowe            13    2   15
Mf Miguel López           13    2   15     Df Vincent Hamidou         8    2   10
Mf Leif Andersen           8    2   10     Mf Claes Östberg          14    2   16
Fw Owen Bennett           17    2   19     Mf Troy Juric             12    2   14
Fw Heorhiy Kozak           8    2   10     Fw Kenzie McDonald        13    2   15
Fw Eduardo Luna            8    2   10     Fw Rónald Aguilera         8    2   10
Fw Šime Sucic              4    2    6     Fw Roman Radomski          8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 27 25 60        ROSTER TOTALS      17 17 53 30 35    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 16 27 25 69         T O T A L S       20 17 53 30 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.85 (no red card)

Sw Ilija Livaja: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.21 (no red card)

Df Oribe Vega: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.55 (no red card)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.08 (no red card)

Fw Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.28 (no red card)

Mf Miguel López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.57 (no red card)

Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.94 (no red card)

Fw Owen Bennett: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.1 (no red card)

Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.47 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.96 (no red card)

Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.25 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 17.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 52.23 (no red card)

Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.59 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.96 (no red card)

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.58 (no red card)

Df Archie Rowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.52 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.09 (no red card)

Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.05 (no red card)

Mf Troy Juric: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.02 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.55 (no second yellow)

Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.31 (no red card)

Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.08 (no red card)

Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.15 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 85.95 (no injury) 
Sw Ilija Livaja: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 46.87 (no injury) 
Df Oribe Vega: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 61.49 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 20.68 (no injury) 
Fw Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 90.61 (no injury) 
Mf Miguel López: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.14 (no injury) 
Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 87.5 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Bennett: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.34 (no injury) 
Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 40.44 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 62.49 (no injury) 
Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 5.9 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 97.98 (no injury) 
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 43.66 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 29.96 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.9 (no injury) 
Df Archie Rowe: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 29.39 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 26.86 (no injury) 
Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.84 (no injury) 
Mf Troy Juric: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 6.98 (no injury) 
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.0 (no injury) 
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 16.47 (no injury) 
Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 39.61 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Owen Bennett SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Claes Östberg SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Smahi Regragui SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     21  16  27  25  69
  Southend United          20  17  53  30  35

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 16 (69 - 53); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Angus McKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Angus McKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Angus McKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          20  17  53  30  35
  Preston North End FC     21  16  27  25  69

Southend United Fw Attacks = 8 (35 - 27); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 3 ((30 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((53 - 69) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Claes Östberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Troy Juric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Troy Juric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 74.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 0  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
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