(H)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Ko Endo 2 2 4 Gk Ogenyi Kolawole 10 2 12 Sw Théo Billard 16 2 18 Sw Clifton Compton 7 2 9 Df Michael Addo 13 2 15 Df John MacDonald 13 0 13 Df Niklas Köhler 12 2 14 Df Joei Ikedia 12 1 13 Df Óscar Cespedes 8 2 10 Df Hugo Rabiot 7 2 9 Df Eric Aidoo 8 2 10 Mf Daniel Kelly 13 1 14 Mf Raouf Salem 8 2 10 Mf Dominic Robinson 12 2 14 Mf Rigobert Mahamat 8 2 10 Fw Nenad Kovtun 14 2 16 Fw Elliot Wilkins 17 2 19 Fw Syam Arfaoui 14 2 16 Fw Khalilou Konaté 13 2 15 Fw Charles Sweeney 13 1 14 Fw Hideaki Endo 12 2 14 Fw Hayden Kerr 9 2 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 4 18 49 20 48 ROSTER TOTALS 12 9 35 28 57 0 3 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 4 21 49 20 57 T O T A L S 12 9 35 28 57 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 3 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Ko Endo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.01 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.86 (no red card) Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 64.21 (no red card) Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 54.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 62.03 (no red card) Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 64.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 34.24 (no red card) Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 92.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 4.11 (no red card) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 99.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 28.32 (no red card) Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 41.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 60.06 (no red card) Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 3.15 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 11.74 (no second yellow) Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 90.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 58.48 (no red card) Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 53.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 39.05 (no red card) Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 68.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 71.21 (no red card) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Ogenyi Kolawole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.39 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.24 (no red card) Sw Clifton Compton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.97 (no red card) Df John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.6 (no red card) Df Joei Ikedia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.39 (no red card) Df Hugo Rabiot: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.14 (no red card) Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.59 (no red card) Mf Dominic Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.56 (no red card) Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.81 (no red card) Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.91 (no red card) Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.78 (no red card) Fw Hayden Kerr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.72 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 3 - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Ko Endo: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 65.41 (no injury) Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.52 (no injury) Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.34 (no injury) Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.16 (no injury) Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.73 (no injury) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.74 (no injury) Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.66 (no injury) Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.83 (no injury) Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.72 (no injury) Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.71 (no injury) Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.0 (no injury) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 3 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75% - Gk chance of injury = 2.37% Gk Ogenyi Kolawole: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 83.85 (no injury) Sw Clifton Compton: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 46.69 (no injury) Df John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 40.26 (no injury) Df Joei Ikedia: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 58.57 (no injury) Df Hugo Rabiot: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 16.68 (no injury) Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 16.11 (no injury) Mf Dominic Robinson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 75.96 (no injury) Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 89.05 (no injury) Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 38.4 (no injury) Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 41.06 (no injury) Fw Hayden Kerr: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 97.92 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 17 - Defending Gk: Ogenyi Kolawole SL 10 intRndPk = 90 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Nenad Kovtun SL 14 - Defending Gk: Ko Endo SL 2 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 92 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brighton & Hove Albion 4 21 49 20 57 Plymouth Argyle FC 12 9 35 28 57 Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 22 (57 - 35); result rounded up Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 28) / 2; rounded up) Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 57) / 3; rounded up) Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 22 1: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 15.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 14.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 50.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 34.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 39.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 85.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 19: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 55.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 90.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Plymouth Argyle FC 12 9 35 28 57 Brighton & Hove Albion 4 21 49 20 57 Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 8 (57 - 49); result rounded up Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((28 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 57) / 3; rounded up) Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 12 1: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 77.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Fw Hayden Kerr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 34.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2 - PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 2
Match Notes
This is likely going to hurt. A lot.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/11 - 5:54 PM
It will... For me. We don't do well away from home.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/16 - 2:17 AM
No losses at home…
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/16 - 10:13 PM
Penalty kicks have ruined some recent chances at wins. ☹️
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/16 - 10:16 PM
That was a big gamble with the SL4 GK. A point is a point though!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/17 - 3:35 AM