Session 10 orders deadline in 30 hours and 10 minutes
If your team was NMR this season please see the rules for NMR forgiveness (Section 14) and email the commish instructions BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
If an age V or higher player would retire at end of season you can convert him to an age I BRB BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
Compo is a kind soul and wants to remind you to use ALL REMAINING GPP this session. They do not carry over...
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Friday, March 29th, 2024 - 11:49:47 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ko Endo                 2    2    4     Gk Ogenyi Kolawole        10    2   12
Sw Théo Billard           16    2   18     Sw Clifton Compton         7    2    9
Df Michael Addo           13    2   15     Df John MacDonald         13    0   13
Df Niklas Köhler          12    2   14     Df Joei Ikedia            12    1   13
Df Óscar Cespedes          8    2   10     Df Hugo Rabiot             7    2    9
Df Eric Aidoo              8    2   10     Mf Daniel Kelly           13    1   14
Mf Raouf Salem             8    2   10     Mf Dominic Robinson       12    2   14
Mf Rigobert Mahamat        8    2   10     Fw Nenad Kovtun           14    2   16
Fw Elliot Wilkins         17    2   19     Fw Syam Arfaoui           14    2   16
Fw Khalilou Konaté        13    2   15     Fw Charles Sweeney        13    1   14
Fw Hideaki Endo           12    2   14     Fw Hayden Kerr             9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       4 18 49 20 48        ROSTER TOTALS      12  9 35 28 57    
       0  3  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       4 21 49 20 57         T O T A L S       12  9 35 28 57    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ko Endo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.86 (no red card)

Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 64.21 (no red card)

Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 54.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 62.03 (no red card)

Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 64.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 34.24 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 92.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 4.11 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 99.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 28.32 (no red card)

Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 41.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 60.06 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 3.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 11.74 (no second yellow)

Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 90.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 58.48 (no red card)

Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 53.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 39.05 (no red card)

Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 68.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 71.21 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ogenyi Kolawole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.24 (no red card)

Sw Clifton Compton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.97 (no red card)

Df John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.6 (no red card)

Df Joei Ikedia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.39 (no red card)

Df Hugo Rabiot: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.14 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.59 (no red card)

Mf Dominic Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.56 (no red card)

Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.81 (no red card)

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.91 (no red card)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.78 (no red card)

Fw Hayden Kerr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.72 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 3
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Ko Endo: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 65.41 (no injury) 
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.52 (no injury) 
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.34 (no injury) 
Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.16 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.73 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.74 (no injury) 
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.66 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.83 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.72 (no injury) 
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.71 (no injury) 
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.0 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Ogenyi Kolawole: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 83.85 (no injury) 
Sw Clifton Compton: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 46.69 (no injury) 
Df John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 40.26 (no injury) 
Df Joei Ikedia: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 58.57 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Rabiot: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 16.68 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 16.11 (no injury) 
Mf Dominic Robinson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 75.96 (no injury) 
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 89.05 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 38.4 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 41.06 (no injury) 
Fw Hayden Kerr: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 97.92 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Ogenyi Kolawole SL 10

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Nenad Kovtun SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ko Endo SL 2

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 92 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   4  21  49  20  57
  Plymouth Argyle FC       12   9  35  28  57

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 22 (57 - 35); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 15.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 14.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 50.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 34.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 39.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 85.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 55.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 90.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       12   9  35  28  57
  Brighton & Hove Albion   4  21  49  20  57

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 8 (57 - 49); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((28 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 77.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Hayden Kerr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 34.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 2
 
Match Notes
This is likely going to hurt. A lot.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/11 - 5:54 PM
It will... For me. We don't do well away from home.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/16 - 2:17 AM
No losses at home…
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/16 - 10:13 PM
Penalty kicks have ruined some recent chances at wins. ☹️
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/16 - 10:16 PM
That was a big gamble with the SL4 GK. A point is a point though!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/17 - 3:35 AM
 
 
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