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Thursday, March 28th, 2024 - 03:29:04 PM (gmt)
 
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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hyun Tae-yong          15    2   17     Gk Riccardo Di matteo     15    2   17
Sw Luca Cole              15    0   15     Sw Saul Aquino             8    2   10
Df Zak Smalls             14    1   15     Df Alain Fauché           13    1   14
Df Alessio Rinaldi        11    1   12     Df Victor Bach             8    2   10
Df Boško Shpak             8    2   10     Df Walter McGree           4    2    6
Mf Albert Ohrel           13    2   15     Mf Hirving Borgetti       15    2   17
Mf Hélder Carvalho         9    2   11     Mf Fernando Ramos         10    2   12
Mf Rudi Bella-Kotchap      9    2   11     Fw Matty Begum            16    2   18
Fw Filipe Alves           14    0   14     Fw Julien De Boeck        15    2   17
Fw Ngor Drame              8    2   10     Fw Jimmy Wells            13    1   14
Fw Peter Goossens          4    2    6     Fw Edgar Jimenez           8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 37 37 30        ROSTER TOTALS      17 10 30 29 59    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       1  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 15 37 37 39         T O T A L S       17 10 30 29 59    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 69.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 81.75 (no red card)

Sw Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.75 (no red card)

Df Zak Smalls: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.97 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.94 (no second yellow)

Df Alessio Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.94 (no red card)

Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.63 (no red card)

Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.27 (no red card)

Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.82 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.1 (no second yellow)

Mf Rudi Bella-Kotchap: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.97 (no red card)

Fw Filipe Alves: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.76 (no red card)

Fw Ngor Drame: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.54 (no red card)

Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.83 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.28 (no second yellow)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.65 (no red card)

Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.73 (no red card)

Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.97 (no red card)

Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.69 (no red card)

Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.62 (no red card)

Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.33 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.81 (no red card)

Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.97 (no red card)

Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.98 (no red card)

Fw Jimmy Wells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.87 (no red card)

Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 9.52 (no injury) 
Sw Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.88 (no injury) 
Df Zak Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.45 (no injury) 
Df Alessio Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.31 (no injury) 
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.05 (no injury) 
Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.58 (no injury) 
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.62 (no injury) 
Mf Rudi Bella-Kotchap: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.43 (no injury) 
Fw Filipe Alves: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.53 (no injury) 
Fw Ngor Drame: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.0 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.31 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 99.74 (no injury) 
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.89 (no injury) 
Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.54 (no injury) 
Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.11 (no injury) 
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.69 (no injury) 
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.46 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.77 (no injury) 
Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.6 (no injury) 
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.1 (no injury) 
Fw Jimmy Wells: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.08 (no injury) 
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.9 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Zak Smalls SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 15

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Matty Begum SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             19  15  37  37  39
  Watford                  17  10  30  29  59

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 9 (39 - 30); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((37 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Rudi Bella-Kotchap
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 60.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Rudi Bella-Kotchap
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Rudi Bella-Kotchap
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 77.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 34.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Ngor Drame
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 61.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  17  10  30  29  59
  Port Vale FC             19  15  37  37  39

Watford Fw Attacks = 22 (59 - 37); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 42.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 41.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 7.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 46.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 0  -  WATFORD 0
 
Match Notes
+52 goal difference between us so far.
John (Port Vale FC) 03/11 - 9:51 PM
so of course we play to a scoreless draw.
John (Port Vale FC) 03/16 - 6:04 PM
 
 
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