If your team was NMR this season please see the rules for NMR forgiveness (Section 14) and email the commish instructions BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
If an age V or higher player would retire at end of season you can convert him to an age I BRB BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
Compo is a kind soul and wants to remind you to use ALL REMAINING GPP this session. They do not carry over...
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Thursday, March 28th, 2024 - 11:23:41 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC                        CHESTERFIELD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Giles Kelly            10    1   11     Gk Niklas Herrmann        14    1   15
Sw Rafael Corona          10    1   11     Sw Ibou Sene               6    2    8
Df Paul Muir              13    1   14     Df Sam Wood               10    0   10
Df Lewis Welbeck           8    1    9     Df Edilberto Moreno        6    2    8
Df Erik Richter            5    2    7     Df Amalio Zanetti          2    2    4
Mf Jochem Pasveer         10    2   12     Mf Jonatan López          10    0   10
Mf Shigeo Makino           5    2    7     Mf Brecht De vos           6    2    8
Fw Jonas Weber            13    1   14     Mf Edwin O'Kelly           2    2    4
Fw Oscar Peña             10    1   11     Fw Francisco Viana        10    0   10
Fw Jose Alvarez            5    2    7     Fw Gabriel Fernandinho     6    2    8
Fw Greg Rashford           5    2    7     Fw Alberto Mina            2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 11 30 19 39        ROSTER TOTALS      15  8 22 22 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  3  4  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 11 30 19 48         T O T A L S       15 11 26 22 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Giles Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.33 (no red card)

Sw Rafael Corona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.26 (no red card)

Df Paul Muir: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.61 (no red card)

Df Lewis Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.35 (no red card)

Df Erik Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.0 (no red card)

Mf Jochem Pasveer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.83 (no red card)

Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.31 (no red card)

Fw Jonas Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.27 (no red card)

Fw Oscar Peña: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.79 (no red card)

Fw Jose Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.08 (no red card)

Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.2 (no red card)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 7
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.1 (no red card)

Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 91.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 81.1 (no red card)

Df Sam Wood: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 52.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 12.42 (no red card)

Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 38.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 74.21 (no red card)

Df Amalio Zanetti: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 29.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 19.97 (no red card)

Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 20.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 66.83 (no red card)

Mf Brecht De vos: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 90.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 63.44 (no red card)

Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 22.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 67.94 (no red card)

Fw Francisco Viana: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 44.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 8.35 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 29.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 59.79 (no red card)

Fw Alberto Mina: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 31.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 13.06 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 7
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.87%
Gk Giles Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.87% | Random number = 4.57 (no injury) 
Sw Rafael Corona: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 5.75 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Rafael Corona loses 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Rafael Corona new match skill level =  5
      Rafael Corona new match total level =  6
Df Paul Muir: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 13.95 (no injury) 
Df Lewis Welbeck: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 80.91 (no injury) 
Df Erik Richter: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 74.25 (no injury) 
Mf Jochem Pasveer: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 24.58 (no injury) 
Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 5.68 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Shigeo Makino loses 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Shigeo Makino new match skill level =  3
      Shigeo Makino new match total level =  5
Fw Jonas Weber: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 37.36 (no injury) 
Fw Oscar Peña: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 51.54 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Alvarez: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 80.67 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 7.39 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Greg Rashford loses 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Greg Rashford new match skill level =  3
      Greg Rashford new match total level =  5

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 7
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 82.08 (no injury) 
Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 4.77 (no injury) 
Df Sam Wood: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 2.04 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Sam Wood is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Sam Wood new match skill level =  5
      Sam Wood new match total level =  5
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 23.02 (no injury) 
Df Amalio Zanetti: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 3.21 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Amalio Zanetti is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 45.14 (no injury) 
Mf Brecht De vos: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 2.33 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Brecht De vos is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Brecht De vos new match skill level =  3
      Brecht De vos new match total level =  5
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 49.49 (no injury) 
Fw Francisco Viana: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 29.45 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 16.19 (no injury) 
Fw Alberto Mina: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 61.51 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 7; (7 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Paul Muir SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Herrmann SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 46 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 23 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 87 (pk blocked)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 55 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jonatan López SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Giles Kelly SL 10

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      11   6  30  17  46
  Chesterfield FC          15  11  21  19  22

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 25 (46 - 21); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 19) / 2;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((30 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Df Lewis Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Erik Richter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 63.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Erik Richter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 59.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Jose Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 42.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 20.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Jose Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Jose Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Jose Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 1.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 20.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 64.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Jose Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          15  11  21  19  22
  Northampton Town FC      11   6  30  17  46

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 30)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((19 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 37.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 3  -  CHESTERFIELD FC 0
 
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