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Bristol City FC
Roger Mendonça
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alberto Flores         15    2   17     Gk Marcos Cruz            15    2   17
Sw Reece Gregory          16    2   18     Df Geoffrey Pilkington    11    2   13
Df Mario Rojas            15    2   17     Df Nazariy Kozak           7    2    9
Df Marcus Bergman         14    2   16     Df Aaron MacKay           13    2   15
Mf Steven Simons          15    1   16     Df Stephan Johansen       10    2   12
Fw Tyler Page             12    2   14     Df Shay Given              9    2   11
Mf Isaac Semenyo          10    2   12     Mf Veselin Dudnyk         15    2   17
Fw Armand Songo'o         15    2   17     Mf Henrik Kristensen       9    2   11
Fw Jørn Nielsen           13    1   14     Fw Juan Carlos Parra      18    1   19
Fw Bryan Deshayes         14    2   16     Fw Justice Shorunmu       15    2   17
Fw Domingo Crespo         10    2   12     Fw Ichiro Sakai            9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 18 33 28 73        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 60 28 47    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  2  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 20 33 28 82         T O T A L S       20  0 60 28 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 36.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 84.89 (no red card)

Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.4 (no second yellow)

Df Mario Rojas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.51 (no red card)

Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.22 (no red card)

Mf Steven Simons: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.77 (no red card)

Fw Tyler Page: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.4 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.38 (no red card)

Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.1 (no red card)

Fw Jørn Nielsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.12 (no red card)

Fw Bryan Deshayes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.45 (no red card)

Fw Domingo Crespo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.48 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 92.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 15.09 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Pilkington: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.43 (no red card)

Df Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.3 (no red card)

Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.46 (no red card)

Df Stephan Johansen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.97 (no red card)

Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.48 (no red card)

Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.43 (no red card)

Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.38 (no red card)

Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.26 (no red card)

Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.78 (no red card)

Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.39 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 25.61 (no injury) 
Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 40.68 (no injury) 
Df Mario Rojas: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 85.37 (no injury) 
Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.28 (no injury) 
Mf Steven Simons: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.71 (no injury) 
Fw Tyler Page: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 22.69 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.97 (no injury) 
Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 86.32 (no injury) 
Fw Jørn Nielsen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 28.28 (no injury) 
Fw Bryan Deshayes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.33 (no injury) 
Fw Domingo Crespo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.48 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 86.94 (no injury) 
Df Geoffrey Pilkington: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 36.78 (no injury) 
Df Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 24.94 (no injury) 
Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.11 (no injury) 
Df Stephan Johansen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 32.11 (no injury) 
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 81.92 (no injury) 
Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 53.66 (no injury) 
Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 8.9 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 58.9 (no injury) 
Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.05 (no injury) 
Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 99.95 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mario Rojas SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Juan Carlos Parra SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          20  20  33  28  82
  Lewes FC                 20   0  60  28  47

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 11 (82 - 60) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 92.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Domingo Crespo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 89.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Domingo Crespo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 51.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Bryan Deshayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 60.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Bryan Deshayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 49.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Bryan Deshayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Bryan Deshayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 26.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Bryan Deshayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 20   0  60  28  47
  Bristol City FC          20  20  33  28  82

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 14 (47 - 33); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((60 - 82) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 69 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 51.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 2  -  LEWES FC 0
 
Match Notes
Final session to a brutal season for the Rooks
Dave (Lewes FC) 03/29 - 12:31 PM
Roger - congratulations on back to back league championships. Once is tough; two in a row is incredible. 🍻
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/30 - 6:59 PM
Many thanks Brian. I think we’re still the plucky underdogs, and sneaked under the radar while the big boys were focused on each other
Roger (Bristol City FC) 03/30 - 10:47 PM
Unlucky Dave, not sure I deserved a win today, but very grateful I don’t have to watch the Brentford game from between my fingers now
Roger (Bristol City FC) 03/30 - 10:48 PM
Congratulations Roger on the 1st Division Title!!

Also, great effort here DD to try to help your friend Al...
Allan (Brentford FC) 04/01 - 12:11 AM
Congrats Roger
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 04/02 - 9:28 AM
Cheers Carl
Roger (Bristol City FC) 04/03 - 8:08 PM
 
 
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