(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S NOTTINGHAM FOREST LINCOLN CITY FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Charlie Cockayne 15 2 17 Gk Mousa Boffin 14 2 16 Sw Édouard Gning 14 2 16 Sw Bryan Wilkins 12 2 14 Df Laurence Clarke 16 2 18 Df William Baker 15 -1 14 Df Pathé Sané 14 2 16 Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug 16 2 18 Df Martin Persson 5 2 7 Df Goran Butina 12 2 14 Mf Freddie Cockham 15 2 17 Df Raphaël Troussier 10 2 12 Mf Derek Holmes 10 2 12 Df Percy Triggs 5 2 7 Fw Kian Clarke 16 2 18 Mf Weston Williamson 14 2 16 Fw Josh Watson 13 2 15 Mf Seo Tae-uk 12 2 14 Fw Ilija Caleta-Car 13 2 15 Fw Jay Hanny 16 2 18 Fw Paul Dumont 10 2 12 Fw Owen Jones 5 0 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 16 41 29 60 ROSTER TOTALS 16 14 65 30 23 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 16 41 29 69 T O T A L S 16 14 65 30 23 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.58 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.86 (no red card) Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.22 (no red card) Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.1 (no red card) Df Pathé Sané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.12 (no red card) Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.16 (no red card) Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.48 (no red card) Mf Derek Holmes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.71 (no red card) Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.71 (no red card) Fw Josh Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.72 (no red card) Fw Ilija Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.2 (no red card) Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.4 (no red card) ******* LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.39 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.89 (no red card) Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.43 (no red card) Df William Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.82 (no red card) Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.95 (no red card) Df Goran Butina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.22 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.71 (no second yellow) Df Raphaël Troussier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.92 (no red card) Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.16 (no red card) Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.22 (no red card) Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.1 (no red card) Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.65 (no red card) Fw Owen Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.65 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 50.08 (no injury) Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.33 (no injury) Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.56 (no injury) Df Pathé Sané: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.23 (no injury) Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.12 (no injury) Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.88 (no injury) Mf Derek Holmes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.48 (no injury) Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.17 (no injury) Fw Josh Watson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.34 (no injury) Fw Ilija Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.3 (no injury) Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.23 (no injury) ******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0 - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 29.77 (no injury) Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.26 (no injury) Df William Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.21 (no injury) Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.29 (no injury) Df Goran Butina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.69 (no injury) Df Raphaël Troussier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.26 (no injury) Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.61 (no injury) Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.35 (no injury) Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.37 (no injury) Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.66 (no injury) Fw Owen Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.57 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Laurence Clarke SL 16 - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 14 intRndPk = 28 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Jun-Yeong Chong-gug SL 16 - Defending Gk: Charlie Cockayne SL 15 intRndPk = 64 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Nottingham Forest 17 16 41 29 69 Lincoln City FC 16 14 65 30 23 Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 4 (69 - 65); result rounded up Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 30) / 2; rounded up) Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 6 ((41 - 23) / 3); result rounded up Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 10 1: Attack for Df Laurence Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 6.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Laurence Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df Pathé Sané Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 15.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Df Laurence Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Df Laurence Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Df Laurence Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 97.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Ilija Caleta-Car Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Ilija Caleta-Car Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) ******* LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Lincoln City FC 16 14 65 30 23 Nottingham Forest 17 16 41 29 69 Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 41) Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((30 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((65 - 69) / 3; rounded up) Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1 - LINCOLN CITY FC 0
Match Notes
Sorry Mike, dragged you down with us.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 03/30 - 6:20 PM
...and someday Steve you can call in that favo(u)r you just awarded to Dave Dohm today. Please remind him... 😎
Allan (Brentford FC) 04/01 - 12:20 AM