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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Finlay Palmer          16    2   18     Gk Joshua Samed           15    2   17
Sw Bryn Gough             10    2   12     Sw Tommy McGree            9    2   11
Df Bassirou Mbaye         15    2   17     Df Santiago Castillo      15    2   17
Df Joei Ikedia            12    2   14     Df Gabriel Lind           13    2   15
Df Mohamadou Sy            5    2    7     Df Sion Davey              9    2   11
Mf Tatsuo Itakura         15    1   16     Mf Ian Tejeda             15    2   17
Mf Jorge Perez             9    0    9     Mf Jaromir Tokar          13    2   15
Fw Syam Arfaoui           15    2   17     Mf Stefan Boniek           9    2   11
Fw Charles Sweeney        15    1   16     Fw Ryu Haraguchi          15    2   17
Fw Nenad Kovtun           14    2   16     Fw Damien Sanchez         15    2   17
Fw Luis Calvo             16    0   16     Fw Elias Schmidt          10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 12 38 25 65        ROSTER TOTALS      17 11 43 43 46    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  1  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 13 38 25 74         T O T A L S       17 14 43 43 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.46 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.44 (no red card)

Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.51 (no red card)

Df Joei Ikedia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.2 (no red card)

Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.21 (no red card)

Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.03 (no red card)

Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.6 (no red card)

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.74 (no red card)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.53 (no red card)

Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.98 (no red card)

Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.23 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.69 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.72 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.84 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.49 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.21 (no red card)

Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.25 (no red card)

Mf Jaromir Tokar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.61 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.8 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.87 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.83 (no red card)

Fw Elias Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.11 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 35.57 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.24 (no injury) 
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.41 (no injury) 
Df Joei Ikedia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.84 (no injury) 
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.21 (no injury) 
Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.38 (no injury) 
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.32 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.0 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.29 (no injury) 
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.41 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.75 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 3.44 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.61 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.7 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.98 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.63 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.52 (no injury) 
Mf Jaromir Tokar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.32 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.55 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.41 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.35 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.08 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis Calvo SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 15

     intRndPk = 19
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Santiago Castillo SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 16

     intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       21  13  38  25  74
  Crewe Alexandra FC       17  14  43  43  46

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 31 (74 - 43); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 77.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 81.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 5.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 86.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       17  14  43  43  46
  Plymouth Argyle FC       21  13  38  25  74

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 8 (46 - 38); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((43 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 74) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 11.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 0.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Jaromir Tokar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 17.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 92.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Elias Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 34.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Elias Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Elias Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 2  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1
 
Match Notes
We need points here or we are doomed
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/24 - 11:15 AM
Everyone wants points against me... I say, take it easy on me and go find your points in your other match! Please?
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/30 - 2:54 PM
Doomed before we started this game
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/30 - 8:02 PM
Congratulations on taking the D2 title Rob. Look forward to crossing swords again next season
Roger (Bristol City FC) 03/31 - 7:34 AM
This one got a little too close. but, we controlled our destiny and we made it ours. Congrats boys!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 04/01 - 5:02 PM
 
 
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