(N)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dara Hays 13 0 13 Gk Thomas Anderson 13 0 13
Sw Lewis Russell 11 0 11 Sw Mitsuo Soma 11 1 12
Df Owen Sansom 12 0 12 Df Gabriel Correia 13 0 13
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 11 0 11 Df Ichiro Oh 5 2 7
Df Jamie Aitken 10 0 10 Df Andrew Scott 4 1 5
Df Michael Shilton 6 1 7 Mf Agustin Duarte 9 0 9
Df Toshihiro Nakamura 5 2 7 Mf Kristijan Karacic 5 2 7
Mf Jacek Frankowski 5 2 7 Mf Vibeke Skov 2 2 4
Mf Noah Zimmermann 13 0 13 Fw Matty Barrett 14 0 14
Fw Ellis Dury 11 0 11 Fw Wladimir Groen 2 2 4
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 5 2 7 Fw Jakub Fabianski 2 2 4
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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13 11 47 20 18 ROSTER TOTALS 13 12 25 20 22
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 3 3 3 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 7 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
13 11 54 20 18 T O T A L S 13 15 28 23 22
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.52 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.1 (no red card)
Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.7 (no red card)
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.37 (no red card)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.54 (no red card)
Df Jamie Aitken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.63 (no red card)
Df Michael Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.23 (no red card)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.13 (no red card)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.32 (no red card)
Mf Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.96 (no red card)
Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.49 (no red card)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.37 (no red card)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 9
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.05 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.44 (no red card)
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 73.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 27.12 (no red card)
Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 65.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 77.66 (no red card)
Df Ichiro Oh: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 84.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 58.59 (no red card)
Df Andrew Scott: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 54.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 72.28 (no red card)
Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 80.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 10.75 (no red card)
Mf Kristijan Karacic: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 81.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 71.74 (no red card)
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 46.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 49.71 (no red card)
Fw Matty Barrett: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 10.02 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 54.37 (no second yellow)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 32.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 10.18 (no red card)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 39.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 57.89 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 9
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 9.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 4.62%
Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 4.62% | Random number = 18.24 (no injury)
Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 91.2 (no injury)
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 84.32 (no injury)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 70.46 (no injury)
Df Jamie Aitken: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 77.91 (no injury)
Df Michael Shilton: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 86.74 (no injury)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 39.8 (no injury)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 76.36 (no injury)
Mf Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 58.69 (no injury)
Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 32.41 (no injury)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 43.39 (no injury)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 9
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 85.38 (no injury)
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 66.44 (no injury)
Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 42.99 (no injury)
Df Ichiro Oh: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 82.25 (no injury)
Df Andrew Scott: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 61.8 (no injury)
Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 67.88 (no injury)
Mf Kristijan Karacic: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 61.35 (no injury)
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 12.41 (no injury)
Fw Matty Barrett: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 83.54 (no injury)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 28.21 (no injury)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 36.54 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 9; (9 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Noah Zimmermann SL 13
- Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Matty Barrett SL 14
- Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 13
intRndPk = 19
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 13 11 54 20 18
Oldham Athletic AFC 13 15 28 23 22
Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 28)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 23) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 6 ((54 - 22) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Df Jamie Aitken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Jamie Aitken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 58.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Jamie Aitken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Michael Shilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Oldham Athletic AFC 13 15 28 23 22
Carlisle United 13 11 54 20 18
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 54)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((23 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((28 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Df Gabriel Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Gabriel Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 55.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Gabriel Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Andrew Scott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Agustin Duarte
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Vibeke Skov
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 69.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 0 - OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1
Match Notes
Lucky to win this.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 02/10 - 2:32 PM