If your team was NMR this season please see the rules for NMR forgiveness (Section 14) and email the commish instructions BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
If an age V or higher player would retire at end of season you can convert him to an age I BRB BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
Compo is a kind soul and wants to remind you to use ALL REMAINING GPP this session. They do not carry over...
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Thursday, March 28th, 2024 - 06:40:28 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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UNITED!
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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Reuben Lennon          13    0   13     Gk Charlie Cockayne       12    0   12
Sw Théo Billard           13    0   13     Sw Édouard Gning           9    0    9
Df Niklas Köhler          12    0   12     Df Laurence Clarke        13    0   13
Df Patrick Kelly           7    0    7     Df Pathé Sané             14    0   14
Df Óscar Cespedes          5    2    7     Df Kazimierz Szczesny      5    2    7
Mf Ryan Brady             12    0   12     Mf Freddie Cockham        13    0   13
Mf Victor Araújo          10    0   10     Mf Johnny Rieder           5    2    7
Mf Baptiste Lefort         8    0    8     Fw Kian Clarke            13    0   13
Mf Raouf Salem             5    2    7     Fw Josh Watson            13    0   13
Fw Elliot Wilkins         15    0   15     Fw Jon Dahl Lund          11    0   11
Fw Ian Lee                11    0   11     Fw Paul Dumont             5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 13 26 37 26        ROSTER TOTALS      12  9 34 20 44    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 14 26 37 26         T O T A L S       12  9 34 20 44    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.02 (no red card)

Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.73 (no red card)

Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.49 (no red card)

Df Patrick Kelly: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.09 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.5 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.87 (no red card)

Mf Victor Araújo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.9 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Victor Araújo new match skill level =  5
      Victor Araújo new match total level =  5

Mf Baptiste Lefort: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.7 (no red card)

Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.3 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.97 (no red card)

Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.94 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.6 (no red card)

Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.77 (no red card)

Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.92 (no red card)

Df Pathé Sané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.41 (no red card)

Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.6 (no red card)

Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.65 (no red card)

Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.7 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.39 (no second yellow)

Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.73 (no red card)

Fw Josh Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.95 (no red card)

Fw Jon Dahl Lund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.35 (no red card)

Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.57 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 70.39 (no injury) 
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.73 (no injury) 
Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.76 (no injury) 
Df Patrick Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.21 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.08 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.47 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Araújo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.34 (no injury) 
Mf Baptiste Lefort: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.76 (no injury) 
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.22 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.13 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.54 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 43.98 (no injury) 
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.27 (no injury) 
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.14 (no injury) 
Df Pathé Sané: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.21 (no injury) 
Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.62 (no injury) 
Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.19 (no injury) 
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.4 (no injury) 
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.19 (no injury) 
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.67 (no injury) 
Fw Jon Dahl Lund: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.12 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Jon Dahl Lund is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.87 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Paul Dumont is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Paul Dumont new match skill level =  3
      Paul Dumont new match total level =  5
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Charlie Cockayne SL 12

     intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Pathé Sané SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Reuben Lennon SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   13  14  26  32  26
  Nottingham Forest        12   9  34  20  42

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 34)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 6 ((32 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 11.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Baptiste Lefort
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        12   9  34  20  42
  Brighton & Hove Albion   13  14  26  32  26

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 16 (42 - 26); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 3 ((34 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Laurence Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Kazimierz Szczesny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Laurence Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 91.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 69.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 67.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 30.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2
 
Match Notes
Likely this will be another early exit from the AP Cup.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/22 - 8:12 PM
We were a little fortunate hwre
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 01/27 - 7:38 PM
As predicted.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/27 - 7:41 PM
 
 
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