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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
FA Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Niklas Herrmann        16    2   18     Gk Marcos Cruz            14    2   16
Df Robert Harrison        13    0   13     Sw Geoffrey Pilkington    13    2   15
Df Jeff Stewart           12    0   12     Df Aaron MacKay           13    1   14
Mf Erik Weber             13   -1   12     Df André Bukari           10    1   11
Mf Connor Patel           12    0   12     Df Stephan Johansen       10    0   10
Mf Jonatan López          11    1   12     Df Shay Given              7    2    9
Fw Gabriel Bacca          20    1   21     Mf Veselin Dudnyk         13    2   15
Fw Liam Cleverley         12    0   12     Mf Júlio Fernandes         8    2   10
Fw Francisco Viana        10    1   11     Fw Juan Carlos Parra      15    0   15
Fw Alfonso Mesén          10    1   11     Fw Taylor Stevenson       13    2   15
Fw Laise Campbell          8    2   10     Fw Justice Shorunmu       12    1   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 25 36 65        ROSTER TOTALS      16 15 44 25 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  7  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21  0 25 52 65         T O T A L S       19 15 51 25 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.88 (no red card)

Df Robert Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.26 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.67 (no red card)

Mf Erik Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.64 (no second yellow)

Mf Connor Patel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.71 (no red card)

Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.67 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.83 (no red card)

Fw Liam Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.01 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.99 (no second yellow)

Fw Francisco Viana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.65 (no red card)

Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.86 (no red card)

Fw Laise Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.88 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 62.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 85.4 (no red card)

Sw Geoffrey Pilkington: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.67 (no red card)

Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.01 (no red card)

Df André Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.91 (no red card)

Df Stephan Johansen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.84 (no red card)

Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.21 (no red card)

Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.95 (no red card)

Mf Júlio Fernandes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.64 (no red card)

Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.5 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.06 (no red card)

Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.28 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 86.09 (no injury) 
Df Robert Harrison: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.09 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.47 (no injury) 
Mf Erik Weber: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.7 (no injury) 
Mf Connor Patel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.89 (no injury) 
Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.17 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.88 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Cleverley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.75 (no injury) 
Fw Francisco Viana: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.88 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.3 (no injury) 
Fw Laise Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.23 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 57.46 (no injury) 
Sw Geoffrey Pilkington: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.07 (no injury) 
Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.06 (no injury) 
Df André Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.98 (no injury) 
Df Stephan Johansen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.99 (no injury) 
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.08 (no injury) 
Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.8 (no injury) 
Mf Júlio Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.03 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.69 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.66 (no injury) 
Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.18 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gabriel Bacca SL 20
   - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Juan Carlos Parra SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Herrmann SL 16

     intRndPk = 46
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          21   0  25  52  65
  Lewes FC                 19  15  51  25  43

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 14 (65 - 51); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 14 ((52 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 43) / 5;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 76.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 56.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Connor Patel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 17.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 6.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Francisco Viana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 11.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Francisco Viana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Francisco Viana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Francisco Viana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Laise Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 89.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 19  15  51  25  43
  Chesterfield FC          21   0  25  52  65

Chesterfield FC is using Offside Trap!
Lewes FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 5 (43 - 25) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 52) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 7.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 55.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 13.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 58.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 1  -  LEWES FC 0
 
Match Notes
In what is, surprisingly, only a 3 game session for Lewes...
Ian (Preston North End FC) 02/19 - 5:22 PM
Why do we always play on the road?
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/19 - 6:28 PM
It's not often my prediction is in favour of the away team.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 02/23 - 4:14 PM
Need a lot of help today
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/24 - 3:19 PM
10 GPP is tough to overcome when on the road……lol
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/24 - 7:13 PM
Even a blind squirrel finds a nut once in awhile.
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 02/25 - 4:05 AM
 
 
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