(H)
Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
Southend United
Colin Scott
AP Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC SOUTHEND UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Thomas Anderson 14 1 15 Gk Alonso Lopez 13 2 15
Sw Mitsuo Soma 12 2 14 Sw Glen Clarke 14 2 16
Df Mohammed Cherkaoui 13 1 14 Df Kenzie Fraser 13 2 15
Df Gabriel Correia 13 0 13 Df Archie Rowe 13 2 15
Df Mamoru Morishima 10 0 10 Df Vincent Hamidou 7 1 8
Mf Božo Rebic 10 1 11 Mf Claes Östberg 14 2 16
Mf Agustin Duarte 9 0 9 Mf Troy Juric 12 2 14
Mf Kyle Hughes 9 0 9 Fw Kenzie McDonald 13 2 15
Fw Curtis Carr 15 1 16 Fw Cássio Lemos 12 2 14
Fw Matty Barrett 14 0 14 Fw Seny Sonko 11 2 13
Fw Marouane Peeters 7 2 9 Fw Rónald Aguilera 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 14 37 29 39 ROSTER TOTALS 15 16 38 30 51
0 0 0 0 4 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 4 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 14 37 29 56 T O T A L S 18 16 38 30 51
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 4
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.4 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.66 (no red card)
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 13.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 39.07 (no red card)
Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 38.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 94.59 (no red card)
Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 24.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 20.24 (no red card)
Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 28.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 44.83 (no red card)
Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 48.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 28.52 (no red card)
Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 63.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 39.5 (no red card)
Mf Kyle Hughes: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 11.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 32.18 (no red card)
Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 32.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 55.59 (no red card)
Fw Matty Barrett: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 53.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 25.78 (no red card)
Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 2.89 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 51.04 (no second yellow)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 12.76 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 33.72 (no red card)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.16 (no red card)
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.18 (no red card)
Df Archie Rowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.13 (no red card)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.19 (no red card)
Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.12 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.05 (no second yellow)
Mf Troy Juric: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.19 (no red card)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.06 (no red card)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.08 (no red card)
Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.11 (no red card)
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.83 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 4
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 73.27 (no injury)
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 29.06 (no injury)
Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 1.5 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Mohammed Cherkaoui is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 18.56 (no injury)
Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 4.05 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Mamoru Morishima is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 20.56 (no injury)
Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 16.29 (no injury)
Mf Kyle Hughes: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 99.8 (no injury)
Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 16.94 (no injury)
Fw Matty Barrett: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 98.11 (no injury)
Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 64.36 (no injury)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 4
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 4.54 (no injury)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 43.58 (no injury)
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 94.68 (no injury)
Df Archie Rowe: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 13.56 (no injury)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 45.66 (no injury)
Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 29.06 (no injury)
Mf Troy Juric: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 56.85 (no injury)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 60.1 (no injury)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 96.44 (no injury)
Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 37.17 (no injury)
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 61.2 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Curtis Carr SL 15
- Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Claes Östberg SL 14
- Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 72 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Oldham Athletic AFC 15 14 37 29 56
Southend United 18 16 38 30 51
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 18 (56 - 38); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 51) / 3; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 25.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 12.28 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 18 16 38 30 51
Oldham Athletic AFC 15 14 37 29 56
Southend United Fw Attacks = 14 (51 - 37); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 1 ((30 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 56) / 3; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 15
1: Attack for Mf Troy Juric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 5.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 41.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 17.96 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 3 - SOUTHEND UNITED 1
Match Notes
It is an important game. Good luck Colin.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 02/24 - 7:33 AM
Very unlucky there. Good luck in the next round Pierre.
Colin (Southend United) 02/24 - 7:32 PM
Thanks Colin. It was an equal game looking at the stats.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 03/02 - 9:58 AM