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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Reuben Lennon          16    1   17     Gk Riccardo Di matteo     15    2   17
Sw Bradley Perry           4    2    6     Sw Saul Aquino             7    2    9
Df Exequiel Curbelo        8    2   10     Df Alain Fauché           13    1   14
Df Óscar Cespedes          7    2    9     Df Victor Bach             7    2    9
Df Eric Aidoo              7    2    9     Df Walter McGree           4    2    6
Df Jaap De wit             4    2    6     Mf Eduardo Da silva        7    2    9
Mf Raouf Salem             7    2    9     Mf Federico Machado        4    2    6
Mf Rigobert Mahamat        7    2    9     Fw Matty Begum            15    2   17
Mf Yuriy Taran             4    2    6     Fw Edgar Jimenez           7    2    9
Fw Ian Lee                11    2   13     Fw Hakim Aboukhlal         4    2    6
Fw Takao Soma              4    2    6     Fw Valerio Paredes         4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  6 34 24 19        ROSTER TOTALS      17  9 29 15 38    
       0  2  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  1  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  8 34 24 19         T O T A L S       20  9 30 15 38    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.74 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 88.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 81.45 (no red card)

Df Exequiel Curbelo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.68 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 3.82 (no second yellow)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 14.64 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 85.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 67.81 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.97 (no red card)

Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 54.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 92.74 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 82.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 44.7 (no red card)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 35.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.79 (no red card)

Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 58.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.82 (no red card)

Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 96.45 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.75 (no red card)

Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.92 (no red card)

Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.0 (no red card)

Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.98 (no red card)

Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.13 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.79 (no second yellow)

Mf Eduardo Da silva: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.0 (no red card)

Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.3 (no red card)

Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.91 (no red card)

Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.03 (no red card)

Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.97 (no red card)

Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.62 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 77.45 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 38.38 (no injury) 
Df Exequiel Curbelo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 8.57 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 7.18 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 67.07 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 59.91 (no injury) 
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 65.09 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 68.22 (no injury) 
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 8.44 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 82.63 (no injury) 
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 43.51 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 31.82 (no injury) 
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 13.28 (no injury) 
Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 40.13 (no injury) 
Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 81.98 (no injury) 
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 86.6 (no injury) 
Mf Eduardo Da silva: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 1.02 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Eduardo Da silva is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Eduardo Da silva new match skill level =  4
      Eduardo Da silva new match total level =  6
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 0.56 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Federico Machado is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 29.18 (no injury) 
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 37.7 (no injury) 
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 91.54 (no injury) 
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 98.47 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ian Lee SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Matty Begum SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Reuben Lennon SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   17   8  34  24  19
  Watford                  20   9  30  12  38

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 30)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 6 ((24 - 12) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 8.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 41.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 96.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  20   9  30  12  38
  Brighton & Hove Albion   17   8  34  24  19

Watford Fw Attacks = 4 (38 - 34); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((12 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 4 ((30 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Alain Fauché
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Alain Fauché
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Alain Fauché
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Victor Bach
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 63.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1  -  WATFORD 0
 
Match Notes
A very level history, but I do not feel good about this one. I believe James' non-youth players will outperform ours. Or maybe not. Let's find out Saturday afternoon.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 02/29 - 1:54 PM
Could have gone either way, we just got the luck today.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/02 - 9:34 PM
Very important win for BHA in this match!! A great chance to give the Youth more playing time!!
Abe (Leeds United) 03/04 - 12:55 PM
 
 
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