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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Leicester City FC
Hazel Hawker
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            LEICESTER CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Xavier Lambert          7    2    9     Gk Waylon Gómez            4    2    6
Sw Cristhian Dybala       13    2   15     Sw Lars Stenbeck           8    2   10
Df Shay Finnan             9    1   10     Df Vladimir Bürki          8    2   10
Df Toshihiro Nakamura      7    2    9     Df Michael Frost           4    2    6
Df Jacob Beynon            4    2    6     Mf Tiago Gomes             8    2   10
Df Abderrahim Hassan       2    2    4     Mf Ivan Rowles             4    2    6
Mf Jacek Frankowski        7    2    9     Fw Jefferson Aguilar      15    0   15
Mf Marcus Teulet           4    1    5     Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima     15    0   15
Fw Noah Zimmermann        15    2   17     Fw Gökhan Egli            12    0   12
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi       7    2    9     Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi      8    2   10
Fw Javier Gimenez          4    2    6     Fw Seydou Ba               4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9 15 29 14 32        ROSTER TOTALS       6 10 16 16 58    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  4  4  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 15 29 14 32         T O T A L S        6 10 20 20 58    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.4 (no red card)

Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.91 (no red card)

Df Shay Finnan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.55 (no red card)

Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.42 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.81 (no red card)

Df Abderrahim Hassan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.04 (no red card)

Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.03 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.74 (no red card)

Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.08 (no red card)

Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.88 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.25 (no second yellow)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Waylon Gómez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.16 (no red card)

Sw Lars Stenbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.37 (no red card)

Df Vladimir Bürki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.22 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      Vladimir Bürki new match skill level =  4
      Vladimir Bürki new match total level =  6

Df Michael Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.97 (no red card)

Mf Tiago Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.43 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Rowles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.71 (no red card)

Fw Jefferson Aguilar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.19 (no red card)

Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.6 (no red card)

Fw Gökhan Egli: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.74 (no red card)

Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.04 (no red card)

Fw Seydou Ba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.14 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 85.34 (no injury) 
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.72 (no injury) 
Df Shay Finnan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.6 (no injury) 
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.12 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.44 (no injury) 
Df Abderrahim Hassan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.15 (no injury) 
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.26 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.83 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.88 (no injury) 
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.53 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.86 (no injury) 

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Waylon Gómez: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.62 (no injury) 
Sw Lars Stenbeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.64 (no injury) 
Df Vladimir Bürki: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.65 (no injury) 
Df Michael Frost: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.79 (no injury) 
Mf Tiago Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.84 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.98 (no injury) 
Fw Jefferson Aguilar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.21 (no injury) 
Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.63 (no injury) 
Fw Gökhan Egli: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.72 (no injury) 
Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.29 (no injury) 
Fw Seydou Ba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.42 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Noah Zimmermann SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Waylon Gómez SL 4

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jefferson Aguilar SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 7

     intRndPk = 49
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          12  15  29  14  32
  Leicester City FC        6  10  16  20  58

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 16 (32 - 16); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 58) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 31.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 60.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 42.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 10.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 92.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 26.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 46.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leicester City FC        6  10  16  20  58
  Carlisle United          12  15  29  14  32

Leicester City FC Fw Attacks = 29 (58 - 29); result rounded up
Leicester City FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((20 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up
Leicester City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((16 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Leicester City FC Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Mf Tiago Gomes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 25.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Ivan Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ivan Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Seydou Ba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Gökhan Egli
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 9.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Gökhan Egli
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 71.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 10.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Gökhan Egli
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Gökhan Egli
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 2  -  LEICESTER CITY FC 1
 
Match Notes
Gosh, somehow got through despite Leicester's immense forward line. Commiserations, Hazel.
Dave (Carlisle United) 03/02 - 11:58 PM
 
 
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