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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
FA Cup Semifinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Sion Watkins           17    2   19     Gk Finlay Palmer          16    2   18
Sw Anton Jurman           13    1   14     Sw Bryn Gough              9    2   11
Df Dragan Jedjav          17    2   19     Df Bassirou Mbaye         14    2   16
Df Tobias Damish          13    2   15     Df Leonardo Marino        13    0   13
Df Theo Abrahamsson       12    2   14     Df John MacDonald         13    0   13
Mf Cédric Kamga           13    2   15     Mf Tatsuo Itakura         14    1   15
Mf Simon Shaw             12    2   14     Mf Daniel Kelly           13    1   14
Mf Geert De Ketelaere      9    2   11     Fw Nenad Kovtun           14    2   16
Fw Michael Lagerbäck      14    2   16     Fw Syam Arfaoui           14    2   16
Fw Jack Williams          13    2   15     Fw Charles Sweeney        13    1   14
Fw Róger Issahaku         17    2   19     Fw Luis Calvo             16    0   16

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19 14 48 40 50        ROSTER TOTALS      18 11 42 29 62    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      22 14 48 40 50         T O T A L S       21 14 42 29 62    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.13 (no red card)

Sw Anton Jurman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.97 (no red card)

Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.81 (no red card)

Df Tobias Damish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.38 (no red card)

Df Theo Abrahamsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.71 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.68 (no red card)

Mf Simon Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.6 (no red card)

Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.17 (no red card)

Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.61 (no red card)

Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.75 (no red card)

Fw Róger Issahaku: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.74 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.7 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.96 (no red card)

Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.78 (no red card)

Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.25 (no red card)

Df John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.33 (no red card)

Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.37 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.45 (no red card)

Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.05 (no red card)

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.79 (no red card)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.88 (no red card)

Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.91 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 42.25 (no injury) 
Sw Anton Jurman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.34 (no injury) 
Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.6 (no injury) 
Df Tobias Damish: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.58 (no injury) 
Df Theo Abrahamsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.09 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.31 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.51 (no injury) 
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.1 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.8 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.68 (no injury) 
Fw Róger Issahaku: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.46 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 6.97 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.28 (no injury) 
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.73 (no injury) 
Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.84 (no injury) 
Df John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.69 (no injury) 
Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.11 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.88 (no injury) 
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.09 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.24 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.03 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.61 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Dragan Jedjav SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 16

     intRndPk = 75
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis Calvo SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Sion Watkins SL 17

     intRndPk = 40
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             22  14  48  40  50
  Plymouth Argyle FC       21  14  42  29  62

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 8 (50 - 42); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((40 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((48 - 62) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Mf Cédric Kamga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Geert De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Cédric Kamga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 71.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Geert De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Simon Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Geert De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 8.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 21.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 92.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 1.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       21  14  42  29  62
  Brentford FC             22  14  48  40  50

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 14 (62 - 48); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 37.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 6.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 26.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 31.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 22.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 1  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Uh oh, looks like another PK loss for our lads...
Allan (Brentford FC) 03/12 - 10:41 PM
That works for me. Verbal agreements are binding, Al. There are plenty of lawyers in the league that can validate that.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/16 - 2:18 AM
I don't think there was a meeting of the minds.
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 03/17 - 12:27 AM
Looks like we are the four goal underdogs next round.
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 03/17 - 12:27 AM
UGH! This match was actually fair! I have nothing to really complain about (aside from the score of course).
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/17 - 3:38 AM
Well done, Al. Good luck!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/17 - 3:38 AM
Check with Compo then Rob, he'll provide a comprehensive list of items to complain about for you (for a fee). 😎
Allan (Brentford FC) 03/17 - 4:21 PM
Seriously though, good match sir. We were lucky to win.
Allan (Brentford FC) 03/17 - 4:21 PM
 
 
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