(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
League Round 4
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S NOTTINGHAM FOREST LEWES FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Charlie Cockayne 14 2 16 Gk Marcos Cruz 12 2 14 Sw Édouard Gning 9 2 11 Sw Geoffrey Pilkington 13 2 15 Df Pathé Sané 14 2 16 Df Aaron MacKay 13 0 13 Df Manuel Barnetta 9 2 11 Df André Bukari 10 0 10 Df Kazimierz Szczesny 6 2 8 Df Stephan Johansen 10 0 10 Mf Freddie Cockham 13 2 15 Fw Veselin Dudnyk 11 1 12 Mf Johnny Rieder 6 2 8 Mf Dries Onana 11 1 12 Fw Kian Clarke 13 2 15 Mf Henrik Kristensen 6 2 8 Fw Josh Watson 13 1 14 Fw Taylor Stevenson 13 1 14 Fw Yakubu Abdullahi 9 2 11 Fw Sven De Bruyne 10 1 11 Fw Paul Dumont 6 2 8 Fw Ichiro Sakai 6 2 8 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 11 35 23 48 ROSTER TOTALS 14 15 33 20 45 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 16 11 35 23 57 T O T A L S 15 15 33 20 45 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.2 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.11 (no red card) Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.52 (no red card) Df Pathé Sané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.65 (no red card) Df Manuel Barnetta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.0 (no red card) Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.83 (no red card) Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.6 (no red card) Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.78 (no red card) Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.69 (no red card) Fw Josh Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.02 (no red card) Fw Yakubu Abdullahi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.19 (no red card) Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.11 (no red card) ******* LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 18.92 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 97.91 (no red card) Sw Geoffrey Pilkington: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.47 (no red card) Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.87 (no red card) Df André Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.0 (no red card) Df Stephan Johansen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.86 (no red card) Fw Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.02 (no red card) Mf Dries Onana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.48 (no red card) Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.89 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.03 (no red card) Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.37 (no red card) Fw Sven De Bruyne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.67 (no red card) Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.66 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 4.33 (no injury) Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.33 (no injury) Df Pathé Sané: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.88 (no injury) Df Manuel Barnetta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.67 (no injury) Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.31 (no injury) Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.58 (no injury) Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.31 (no injury) Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.09 (no injury) Fw Josh Watson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.8 (no injury) Fw Yakubu Abdullahi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.0 (no injury) Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.93 (no injury) ******* LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1 - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 62.21 (no injury) Sw Geoffrey Pilkington: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.92 (no injury) Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.05 (no injury) Df André Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.04 (no injury) Df Stephan Johansen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.39 (no injury) Fw Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.97 (no injury) Mf Dries Onana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.74 (no injury) Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.03 (no injury) Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.34 (no injury) Fw Sven De Bruyne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.91 (no injury) Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.01 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Pathé Sané SL 14 - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Aaron MacKay SL 13 - Defending Gk: Charlie Cockayne SL 14 intRndPk = 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Nottingham Forest 16 11 35 23 57 Lewes FC 15 15 33 20 45 Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 24 (57 - 33); result rounded up Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 2 ((23 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 45) / 3; rounded up) Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 26 1: Attack for Mf Freddie Cockham Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 12.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Freddie Cockham Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 29.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 81.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 85.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 79.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 16: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 87.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 17: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 13.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Lewes FC 15 15 33 20 45 Nottingham Forest 16 11 35 23 57 Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 10 (45 - 35); result rounded up Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 23) / 2; rounded up) Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 57) / 3; rounded up) Lewes FC Total Attacks = 10 1: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Veselin Dudnyk Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 7.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Veselin Dudnyk Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E NOTTINGHAM FOREST 4 - LEWES FC 0
Match Notes
Lewes didn't stand a chance thanks to Olmec
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/10 - 8:54 PM