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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               TRANMERE ROVERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Sion Watkins           16    1   17     Gk Maciej Piechniczek     14    2   16
Sw Anton Jurman           13    2   15     Sw Algernon Rooney        13    2   15
Df Dragan Jedjav          14    1   15     Df Cristian Boga          12    2   14
Df Tobias Damish          10    2   12     Df Júlio Casemiro         10    2   12
Df Harris MacDonald       10    2   12     Mf Sebastiaan Koning      10    2   12
Df Martyn Owen             6    2    8     Mf Jean Pruvost            8    1    9
Mf Simon Shaw             12    2   14     Fw Tim Scholz             14    2   16
Mf Geert De Ketelaere      6    2    8     Fw Hugo Larcher           16    2   18
Fw Jack Williams          13    2   15     Fw Sebastian Zielinski    10    2   12
Fw Róger Issahaku         17    2   19     Fw Mark Duffy              9    1   10
Fw Cooper Slater          11    2   13     Fw Robbie Murphy           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 47 22 47        ROSTER TOTALS      16 15 26 21 61    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 47 31 47         T O T A L S       18 15 26 21 61    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.96 (no red card)

Sw Anton Jurman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.0 (no red card)

Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.18 (no red card)

Df Tobias Damish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.73 (no red card)

Df Harris MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.77 (no red card)

Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.49 (no red card)

Mf Simon Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.52 (no red card)

Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.0 (no red card)

Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.81 (no red card)

Fw Róger Issahaku: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.26 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Slater: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.32 (no red card)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 79.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 23.61 (no red card)

Sw Algernon Rooney: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 54.82 (no red card)

Df Cristian Boga: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 95.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 25.87 (no red card)

Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 34.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 93.32 (no red card)

Mf Sebastiaan Koning: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.12 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.5 (no second yellow)

Mf Jean Pruvost: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.65 (no red card)

Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.51 (no red card)

Fw Hugo Larcher: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 46.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 38.48 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.87 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.49 (no second yellow)

Fw Mark Duffy: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 26.72 (no red card)

Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 64.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 16.92 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 53.62 (no injury) 
Sw Anton Jurman: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.91 (no injury) 
Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.68 (no injury) 
Df Tobias Damish: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 65.57 (no injury) 
Df Harris MacDonald: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.69 (no injury) 
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 18.86 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Shaw: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.01 (no injury) 
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 89.64 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.97 (no injury) 
Fw Róger Issahaku: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.07 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Slater: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.06 (no injury) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 2
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 98.16 (no injury) 
Sw Algernon Rooney: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 78.54 (no injury) 
Df Cristian Boga: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 78.72 (no injury) 
Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 34.56 (no injury) 
Mf Sebastiaan Koning: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 77.39 (no injury) 
Mf Jean Pruvost: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.58 (no injury) 
Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 13.27 (no injury) 
Fw Hugo Larcher: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.87 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Hugo Larcher is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Hugo Larcher new match skill level =  8
      Hugo Larcher new match total level =  10
Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 6.32 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Duffy: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 73.4 (no injury) 
Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 83.8 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Róger Issahaku SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Maciej Piechniczek SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 30 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tim Scholz SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Sion Watkins SL 16

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             17  15  47  31  47
  Tranmere Rovers          18  15  26  21  53

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 21 (47 - 26); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((31 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Mf Simon Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 16.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Simon Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Simon Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Simon Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Simon Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 52.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Cooper Slater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 41.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          18  15  26  21  53
  Brentford FC             17  15  47  31  47

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 6 (53 - 47); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Mark Duffy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Mark Duffy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Mark Duffy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 84.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Hugo Larcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 3  -  TRANMERE ROVERS 1
 
Match Notes
These games have a way of becoming a draw or a loss for us against the tough Mr. Atie. Thankful to get a win.
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/10 - 7:06 PM
 
 
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