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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Niklas Herrmann        14    1   15     Gk Finlay Palmer          13    1   14
Sw Éder Astorga           10    0   10     Sw Bryn Gough              6    2    8
Df Robert Harrison        13    0   13     Df John MacDonald         13    0   13
Df Jeff Stewart           10    0   10     Df Bassirou Mbaye         11    0   11
Mf Erik Weber             13    0   13     Df Nestor Omlin            6    2    8
Mf Connor Patel           12    0   12     Mf Dominic Robinson       12    0   12
Mf Brecht De vos           6    2    8     Mf Oscar Bremer            2    2    4
Fw Gabriel Bacca          18    1   19     Fw Charles Sweeney        13    0   13
Fw Liam Cleverley         12    0   12     Fw Luis Calvo             16    0   16
Fw Alfonso Mesén          10    1   11     Fw Syam Arfaoui           11    0   11
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho     6    2    8     Fw Si-Won Min-woo          6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 10 23 33 50        ROSTER TOTALS      14  8 32 16 48    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 10 32 33 50         T O T A L S       14  8 32 16 48    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.4 (no red card)

Sw Éder Astorga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.58 (no red card)

Df Robert Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.91 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.07 (no red card)

Mf Erik Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.12 (no red card)

Mf Connor Patel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.55 (no red card)

Mf Brecht De vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.08 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.92 (no red card)

Fw Liam Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.23 (no red card)

Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.56 (no second yellow)

Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.25 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.01 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.05 (no red card)

Df John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.84 (no red card)

Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.67 (no red card)

Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.99 (no red card)

Mf Dominic Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.56 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.69 (no red card)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.27 (no red card)

Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.72 (no red card)

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.2 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.33 (no second yellow)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.02 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.47 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 83.98 (no injury) 
Sw Éder Astorga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.09 (no injury) 
Df Robert Harrison: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.57 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.77 (no injury) 
Mf Erik Weber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.85 (no injury) 
Mf Connor Patel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.04 (no injury) 
Mf Brecht De vos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.79 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.03 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.57 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.53 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.06 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 55.27 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.84 (no injury) 
Df John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.88 (no injury) 
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.1 (no injury) 
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.84 (no injury) 
Mf Dominic Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.06 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.56 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.87 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.69 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.8 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.03 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gabriel Bacca SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 13

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis Calvo SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Herrmann SL 14

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          15  10  32  33  50
  Plymouth Argyle FC       14   8  32  16  48

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 18 (50 - 32); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((33 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 48) / 3;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Mf Connor Patel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 94.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 62.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Connor Patel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Connor Patel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Brecht De vos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Brecht De vos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 18.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 33.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 96.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 11.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 28.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 56.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       14   8  32  16  48
  Chesterfield FC          15  10  32  33  50

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 16 (48 - 32); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 42.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 30.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 86.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 2  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1
 
Match Notes
Kick off of league play. If we're going to get back up to D1, it's got to start here and now.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 02/03 - 1:58 AM
Not the result we were looking for, but it was close. Closer than we probably deserved.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 02/10 - 4:40 PM
 
 
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