(H)
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
League Round 7
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S LINCOLN CITY FC NOTTINGHAM FOREST Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Finn Lehmann 12 2 14 Gk Kurt Östman 7 1 8 Sw Bryan Wilkins 12 0 12 Sw Thiago Boniek 3 2 5 Df William Baker 14 1 15 Df Laurence Clarke 13 2 15 Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug 16 1 17 Df Pathé Sané 14 2 16 Mf Weston Williamson 12 1 13 Df Harley Mason 10 2 12 Mf Mustapha Kettani 10 2 12 Df Kazimierz Szczesny 6 -1 5 Mf Aliou Sow 7 2 9 Mf Freddie Cockham 13 2 15 Fw Jay Hanny 15 2 17 Mf Johnny Rieder 7 2 9 Fw Marcel M'Boma 13 2 15 Mf Noah Martinez 3 2 5 Fw Sérgio da Rocha 11 2 13 Fw Paul Dumont 7 2 9 Fw Vieira Mario 7 2 9 Fw Atef Omar 3 2 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 12 32 34 54 ROSTER TOTALS 8 5 48 29 14 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0 ======================================================================= 14 12 32 43 54 T O T A L S 8 8 52 29 14 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Finn Lehmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.79 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.39 (no red card) Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.1 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.71 (no second yellow) Df William Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.75 (no red card) Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.01 (no red card) Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.5 (no red card) Mf Mustapha Kettani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.3 (no red card) Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.84 (no red card) Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.81 (no red card) Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.88 (no red card) Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.07 (no red card) Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.33 (no red card) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.12 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.08 (no red card) Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.98 (no red card) Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.62 (no red card) Df Pathé Sané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.74 (no red card) Df Harley Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.89 (no red card) Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.16 (no red card) Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.52 (no red card) Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.82 (no red card) Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.97 (no red card) Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.38 (no red card) Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.12 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.68 (no second yellow) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0 - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Finn Lehmann: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 26.71 (no injury) Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.85 (no injury) Df William Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.67 (no injury) Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.28 (no injury) Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.17 (no injury) Mf Mustapha Kettani: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.93 (no injury) Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.73 (no injury) Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.79 (no injury) Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.93 (no injury) Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.8 (no injury) Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.61 (no injury) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 50.42 (no injury) Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.11 (no injury) Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.31 (no injury) Df Pathé Sané: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.14 (no injury) Df Harley Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.34 (no injury) Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.07 (no injury) Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.07 (no injury) Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.81 (no injury) Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.82 (no injury) Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.16 (no injury) Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.19 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Jun-Yeong Chong-gug SL 16 - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 7 intRndPk = 20 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick) ******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Pathé Sané SL 14 - Defending Gk: Finn Lehmann SL 12 intRndPk = 85 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Lincoln City FC 14 12 32 43 54 Nottingham Forest 8 8 52 29 14 Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 2 (54 - 52); result rounded up Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((43 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 6 ((32 - 14) / 3); result rounded up Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 15 1: Attack for Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df William Baker Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 2.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Df William Baker Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Df William Baker Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Df William Baker Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Mf Mustapha Kettani Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 22.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 0.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Nottingham Forest 8 8 52 29 14 Lincoln City FC 14 12 32 43 54 Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw! Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 32) Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 43) / 2; rounded up) Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((52 - 54) / 3; rounded up) Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E LINCOLN CITY FC 0 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
Match Notes
NOT off slow in league play, but never underestimate Ramblin’ Roy.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 02/17 - 8:00 PM
Oh, haha, my brain was in the distant past, Simmerin’ Steve at the helm here now.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 02/17 - 8:01 PM
Watch out for "Simmerin' Steve" in this matchup!
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/24 - 5:24 PM
Sorry, Mike, that was harsh
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/24 - 8:09 PM