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Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          LEEDS UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Charlie Cockayne       15    2   17     Gk Tadhg Boyle            16    0   16
Sw Édouard Gning          11    2   13     Sw Edoardo Martini        13    1   14
Df Laurence Clarke        13    2   15     Df Keith Wilson           13    0   13
Df Pathé Sané             14    2   16     Df Yozhef Shapoval        12    2   14
Df Kazimierz Szczesny      6   -1    5     Df Servando Verón          7    0    7
Mf Freddie Cockham        13    2   15     Mf Tom Hammond            13    1   14
Mf Johnny Rieder           7    2    9     Mf Etienne Waseige         7    2    9
Fw Kian Clarke            15    2   17     Fw Christophe Thuram      13    1   14
Fw Josh Watson            13    1   14     Fw Daniel Becker          14    0   14
Fw Yakubu Abdullahi        9    2   11     Fw Mbark Sabiri            7    2    9
Fw Paul Dumont             7    2    9     Fw Geon-u Seung-woo        7   -1    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 13 36 24 51        ROSTER TOTALS      16 14 34 23 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 13 36 24 60         T O T A L S       16 14 34 23 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.77 (no red card)

Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.41 (no red card)

Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.26 (no red card)

Df Pathé Sané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.58 (no red card)

Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.47 (no red card)

Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.1 (no red card)

Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.51 (no red card)

Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.58 (no red card)

Fw Josh Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.75 (no red card)

Fw Yakubu Abdullahi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.47 (no red card)

Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.81 (no red card)

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tadhg Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.3 (no red card)

Sw Edoardo Martini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.29 (no red card)

Df Keith Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.07 (no red card)

Df Yozhef Shapoval: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.85 (no red card)

Df Servando Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.03 (no red card)

Mf Tom Hammond: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.13 (no second yellow)

Mf Etienne Waseige: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.39 (no second yellow)

Fw Christophe Thuram: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.95 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Becker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.14 (no red card)

Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.61 (no red card)

Fw Geon-u Seung-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.46 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 70.11 (no injury) 
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.38 (no injury) 
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.82 (no injury) 
Df Pathé Sané: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.31 (no injury) 
Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.58 (no injury) 
Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.27 (no injury) 
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.45 (no injury) 
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.83 (no injury) 
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.27 (no injury) 
Fw Yakubu Abdullahi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.0 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.11 (no injury) 

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Tadhg Boyle: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 8.13 (no injury) 
Sw Edoardo Martini: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.17 (no injury) 
Df Keith Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.24 (no injury) 
Df Yozhef Shapoval: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.19 (no injury) 
Df Servando Verón: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.51 (no injury) 
Mf Tom Hammond: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.42 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Waseige: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.09 (no injury) 
Fw Christophe Thuram: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.36 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Becker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.67 (no injury) 
Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.44 (no injury) 
Fw Geon-u Seung-woo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.32 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kian Clarke SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Tadhg Boyle SL 16

     intRndPk = 59
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Daniel Becker SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Charlie Cockayne SL 15

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        17  13  36  24  60
  Leeds United             16  14  34  23  43

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 26 (60 - 34); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 1 ((24 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Mf Freddie Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 43.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 82.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 93.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 31.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 75.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 6.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 82.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 91.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 65.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             16  14  34  23  43
  Nottingham Forest        17  13  36  24  60

Leeds United Fw Attacks = 7 (43 - 36); result rounded up
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Leeds United Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Leeds United Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 9.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Daniel Becker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 84.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Daniel Becker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Daniel Becker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Geon-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 4  -  LEEDS UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
It has always been tricky playing this team!!
Abe (Leeds United) 02/21 - 2:07 AM
Another loss here!!
Abe (Leeds United) 02/24 - 8:31 PM
 
 
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