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Tuesday, March 19th, 2024 - 02:33:16 AM (gmt)
 
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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               LINCOLN CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Sion Watkins           17    1   18     Gk Finn Lehmann           12    2   14
Sw Anton Jurman           13    2   15     Sw Jakob Petersen          7    2    9
Df Dragan Jedjav          16    1   17     Df Raphaël Troussier      10    2   12
Df Theo Abrahamsson       12    2   14     Df Daniel Russell          8    2   10
Df Martyn Owen             7    2    9     Df Hans Murphy             7    2    9
Df Rasmus Antonsen         3    2    5     Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan        3    2    5
Mf Simon Shaw             12    2   14     Df Percy Triggs            3    2    5
Mf Geert De Ketelaere      7    2    9     Mf Aliou Sow               7    2    9
Fw Jack Williams          13    2   15     Mf Babou Kebe              3    2    5
Fw Róger Issahaku         17    2   19     Fw Vieira Mario            7    2    9
Fw Lilian Cazenave         7    2    9     Fw Owen Jones              3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 45 23 43        ROSTER TOTALS      14  9 41 14 14    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  4  3  0    
=======================================================================
      18 15 45 23 52         T O T A L S       14  9 45 17 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.53 (no red card)

Sw Anton Jurman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.55 (no red card)

Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.32 (no red card)

Df Theo Abrahamsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.31 (no red card)

Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.43 (no red card)

Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.74 (no red card)

Mf Simon Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.99 (no red card)

Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.36 (no red card)

Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.59 (no red card)

Fw Róger Issahaku: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.59 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.17 (no red card)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finn Lehmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.3 (no red card)

Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.3 (no red card)

Df Raphaël Troussier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.08 (no red card)

Df Daniel Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.89 (no red card)

Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.94 (no red card)

Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.17 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.22 (no second yellow)

Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.74 (no red card)

Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.54 (no red card)

Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.07 (no red card)

Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.69 (no red card)

Fw Owen Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.44 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 24.25 (no injury) 
Sw Anton Jurman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.37 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Anton Jurman is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Anton Jurman new match skill level =  7
      Anton Jurman new match total level =  9
Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.46 (no injury) 
Df Theo Abrahamsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.92 (no injury) 
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.54 (no injury) 
Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.37 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.26 (no injury) 
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.7 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.68 (no injury) 
Fw Róger Issahaku: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.13 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.88 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Lilian Cazenave is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Finn Lehmann: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 98.21 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.49 (no injury) 
Df Raphaël Troussier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.55 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Raphaël Troussier is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Daniel Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.53 (no injury) 
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.73 (no injury) 
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.75 (no injury) 
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.27 (no injury) 
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.72 (no injury) 
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.79 (no injury) 
Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.5 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.69 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Róger Issahaku SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Finn Lehmann SL 12

     intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Raphaël Troussier SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Sion Watkins SL 17

     intRndPk = 52
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             18   9  45  23  52
  Lincoln City FC          14   9  45  17  14

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 7 (52 - 45); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((23 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 11 ((45 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Theo Abrahamsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 90.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Theo Abrahamsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 16.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 60.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Theo Abrahamsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 83.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Df Theo Abrahamsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Geert De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Geert De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Geert De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          14   9  45  17  14
  Brentford FC             18   9  45  23  52

Lincoln City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 45)
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 2  -  LINCOLN CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
BRE sitting right above us in the standings, can we flip the script here?
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 02/17 - 7:59 PM
We are 4 goal underdogs at home against Mr. Cabral today...
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/24 - 5:27 PM
Fortunate to get a win today.
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/24 - 10:20 PM
 
 
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