(H)
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
Bristol City FC
Roger Mendonça
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S LEWES FC BRISTOL CITY FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Marcos Cruz 14 2 16 Gk Alberto Flores 14 2 16 Sw Nazariy Kozak 7 2 9 Sw Reece Gregory 16 2 18 Df Aaron MacKay 13 1 14 Df Marcus Bergman 13 2 15 Df Veselin Dudnyk 11 2 13 Df Mario Rojas 11 2 13 Mf Dries Onana 11 1 12 Df Cadwaladr Lewis 7 2 9 Mf Henrik Kristensen 7 2 9 Mf Tyler Page 13 2 15 Fw Juan Carlos Parra 15 0 15 Mf Steven Simons 11 2 13 Fw Taylor Stevenson 13 2 15 Mf Isaac Semenyo 7 2 9 Fw Justice Shorunmu 12 1 13 Fw John Jackson 12 2 14 Fw Sven De Bruyne 10 2 12 Mf Bryan Deshayes 12 2 14 Fw Ichiro Sakai 7 2 9 Fw Hwangbo Min-sung 3 2 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 9 27 21 64 ROSTER TOTALS 16 18 37 51 19 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 19 9 27 24 70 T O T A L S 19 18 37 51 19 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 87.19 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 15.33 (no red card) Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.99 (no red card) Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.81 (no red card) Df Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.6 (no red card) Mf Dries Onana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.63 (no red card) Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.11 (no red card) Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.18 (no red card) Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.85 (no red card) Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.19 (no red card) Fw Sven De Bruyne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.05 (no red card) Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.54 (no red card) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 81.57 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 89.1 (no red card) Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.68 (no red card) Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.86 (no red card) Df Mario Rojas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.78 (no red card) Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.65 (no red card) Mf Tyler Page: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.58 (no red card) Mf Steven Simons: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.89 (no red card) Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.5 (no red card) Fw John Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.74 (no red card) Mf Bryan Deshayes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.86 (no red card) Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.73 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1 - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 54.35 (no injury) Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 67.49 (no injury) Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.51 (no injury) Df Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 48.21 (no injury) Mf Dries Onana: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 28.11 (no injury) Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.4 (no injury) Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.8 (no injury) Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 20.02 (no injury) Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 54.78 (no injury) Fw Sven De Bruyne: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 48.34 (no injury) Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.07 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Ichiro Sakai is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. ******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1 - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 64.14 (no injury) Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 66.31 (no injury) Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 11.41 (no injury) Df Mario Rojas: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 34.0 (no injury) Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.86 (no injury) Mf Tyler Page: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.5 (no injury) Mf Steven Simons: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 99.75 (no injury) Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.31 (no injury) Fw John Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 1.83 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 John Jackson is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Mf Bryan Deshayes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 73.67 (no injury) Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 95.66 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Juan Carlos Parra SL 15 - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 14 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick) ******* LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Marcus Bergman SL 13 - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 14 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Lewes FC 19 9 27 24 70 Bristol City FC 19 18 37 51 19 Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 33 (70 - 37); result rounded up Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 51) / 2; rounded up) Lewes FC Df Attacks = 3 ((27 - 19) / 3); result rounded up Lewes FC Total Attacks = 36 1: Attack for Df Veselin Dudnyk Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 13.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Aaron MacKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df Aaron MacKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 23.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 23.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 19.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 24.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 60.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 25.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 27.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 32: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 89.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 33: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 27.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 34: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 35: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 36: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Bristol City FC 19 18 37 51 19 Lewes FC 19 9 27 24 70 Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 27) Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 14 ((51 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 70) / 3; rounded up) Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 14 1: Attack for Mf Tyler Page Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Tyler Page Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Steven Simons Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Steven Simons Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 0.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Bryan Deshayes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 66.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Mf Steven Simons Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 20.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Mf Tyler Page Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Mf Bryan Deshayes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Mf Tyler Page Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Mf Isaac Semenyo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 14.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Mf Tyler Page Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 50.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Mf Bryan Deshayes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Mf Isaac Semenyo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 52.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Mf Isaac Semenyo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E LEWES FC 1 - BRISTOL CITY FC 0
Match Notes
You can do this Dave
Ian (Preston North End FC) 02/19 - 5:21 PM
not this season unfortunately
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/19 - 6:27 PM
You know things are bad for the Evil Empire when Ian has to say supportive things to Dave...
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/24 - 5:28 PM
Much needed win here
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/24 - 7:36 PM
Called that all wrong, well played Dave
Roger (Bristol City FC) 02/24 - 9:40 PM