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Tuesday, March 19th, 2024 - 09:05:06 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Charlie Cockayne       13    1   14     Gk Sion Watkins           15    1   16
Sw Hernán Mejias           8    0    8     Sw Ricardo Xavier          6    2    8
Df Harley Mason           10    0   10     Df Darijo Corluka         10    1   11
Df Manuel Barnetta         9    2   11     Df Martyn Owen             6    2    8
Df Kazimierz Szczesny      5    2    7     Df Rasmus Antonsen         2    2    4
Df Martin Persson          2    2    4     Mf Min Kyung  Song        10    1   11
Mf Antonee Coffman         8    1    9     Mf Geert De Ketelaere      6    2    8
Mf Johnny Rieder           5    2    7     Mf Alvaro Rodríguez        2    2    4
Fw Alberto Alves           9    1   10     Fw Jamie Sinclair         10    0   10
Fw William Duffy           9    0    9     Fw Lilian Cazenave         6    2    8
Fw Paul Dumont             6    1    7     Fw Armin Seuffert          2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  8 32 16 26        ROSTER TOTALS      16  8 23 23 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  4  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 11 45 16 26         T O T A L S       16  8 23 23 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.81 (no red card)

Sw Hernán Mejias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.81 (no red card)

Df Harley Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.91 (no red card)

Df Manuel Barnetta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.73 (no red card)

Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.5 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.4 (no red card)

Mf Antonee Coffman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.21 (no red card)

Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.14 (no red card)

Fw Alberto Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.83 (no red card)

Fw William Duffy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.33 (no red card)

Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.99 (no red card)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.75 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.18 (no red card)

Df Darijo Corluka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.41 (no red card)

Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.99 (no red card)

Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.04 (no red card)

Mf Min Kyung  Song: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.95 (no red card)

Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.6 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.5 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.15 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.11 (no red card)

Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.81 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 92.39 (no injury) 
Sw Hernán Mejias: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.59 (no injury) 
Df Harley Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.86 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Barnetta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.03 (no injury) 
Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.37 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.16 (no injury) 
Mf Antonee Coffman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.27 (no injury) 
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.0 (no injury) 
Fw Alberto Alves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.68 (no injury) 
Fw William Duffy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.44 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.13 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.21 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.83 (no injury) 
Df Darijo Corluka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.53 (no injury) 
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.18 (no injury) 
Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.15 (no injury) 
Mf Min Kyung  Song: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.53 (no injury) 
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.08 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.08 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Sinclair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.9 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.64 (no injury) 
Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.0 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harley Mason SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Sion Watkins SL 15

     intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Darijo Corluka SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Charlie Cockayne SL 13

     intRndPk = 37
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        14  11  45  16  26
  Brentford FC             16   8  23  23  22

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 2 (26 - 23) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 4 ((45 - 22) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Manuel Barnetta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Harley Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Kazimierz Szczesny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Martin Persson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 66.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw William Duffy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Alberto Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             16   8  23  23  22
  Nottingham Forest        14  11  45  16  26

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 45)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((23 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 26) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Alvaro Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Alvaro Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Geert De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Geert De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 21.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0  -  BRENTFORD FC 0
 
Match Notes
Lucky here against Steve's tough squad...
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/04 - 4:01 AM
No complaints here. Went T11 in the cup games and that leaves nothing for the other two games.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/04 - 8:16 AM
 
 
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