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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alonso Lopez           11    2   13     Gk Anton Rogic            13    1   14
Df Kenzie Fraser          12    1   13     Sw Ilija Livaja           12    1   13
Df Manuel Ortiz           10    1   11     Df Kim Yong               10    2   12
Df Kjell Karlsson          7    1    8     Df Abdul Otu               6    2    8
Mf Hywel Cross            11    1   12     Mf Angus McKay            13    1   14
Mf Emil Kristoffersen     10    1   11     Mf Leif Andersen           6    2    8
Fw Seny Sonko             10    1   11     Fw Quique Diez            14    1   15
Fw Harry Brudenell         9    1   10     Fw Owen Bennett           16    1   17
Fw Valon Fassnacht         7    1    8     Fw Ousmane Fauché         10    2   12
Fw Roman Radomski          5    2    7     Fw Eduardo Luna            6    2    8
Fw Jamie Behich            2    2    4     Fw Heorhiy Kozak           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  0 32 23 40        ROSTER TOTALS      14 13 20 22 60    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  0 32 23 49         T O T A L S       14 13 20 22 60    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 95.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 27.23 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.17 (no red card)

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.03 (no red card)

Df Kjell Karlsson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.23 (no red card)

Mf Hywel Cross: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.09 (no red card)

Mf Emil Kristoffersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.06 (no red card)

Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.62 (no red card)

Fw Harry Brudenell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.13 (no red card)

Fw Valon Fassnacht: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.55 (no red card)

Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.13 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.11 (no second yellow)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Anton Rogic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.2 (no red card)

Sw Ilija Livaja: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.32 (no red card)

Df Kim Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.37 (no red card)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.04 (no red card)

Mf Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.37 (no red card)

Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.04 (no red card)

Fw Quique Diez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.76 (no red card)

Fw Owen Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.72 (no red card)

Fw Ousmane Fauché: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.58 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.27 (no red card)

Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.44 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 29.59 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.74 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.51 (no injury) 
Df Kjell Karlsson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.04 (no injury) 
Mf Hywel Cross: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.11 (no injury) 
Mf Emil Kristoffersen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.07 (no injury) 
Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.6 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Brudenell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.21 (no injury) 
Fw Valon Fassnacht: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.75 (no injury) 
Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.93 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.84 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Anton Rogic: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 21.64 (no injury) 
Sw Ilija Livaja: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.24 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Ilija Livaja is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ilija Livaja new match skill level =  6
      Ilija Livaja new match total level =  7
Df Kim Yong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.56 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.3 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Abdul Otu is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.56 (no injury) 
Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.17 (no injury) 
Fw Quique Diez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.37 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Bennett: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.07 (no injury) 
Fw Ousmane Fauché: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.64 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.2 (no injury) 
Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.56 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kenzie Fraser SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Anton Rogic SL 13

     intRndPk = 26
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Owen Bennett SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          14   0  32  23  49
  Preston North End FC     14   7  20  22  60

Southend United Fw Attacks = 29 (49 - 20); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 60) / 5;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 30

1: Attack for Mf Emil Kristoffersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Valon Fassnacht
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Valon Fassnacht
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Valon Fassnacht
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 78.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Harry Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Harry Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Harry Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 96.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Harry Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 7.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Valon Fassnacht
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Harry Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 14.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Valon Fassnacht
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Harry Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Harry Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Valon Fassnacht
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Harry Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 45.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Valon Fassnacht
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Harry Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 55.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 83.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     14   7  20  22  60
  Southend United          14   0  32  23  49

Southend United is using Offside Trap!
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 14 (60 - 32) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Fw Ousmane Fauché
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 10.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 73.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Quique Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 8.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 69.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Ousmane Fauché
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Ousmane Fauché
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 84.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Quique Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 15.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Quique Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Ousmane Fauché
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 63.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 73.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 51.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 91.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 3  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 4
 
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