(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
League Round 16
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CARLISLE UNITED DORCHESTER TOWN Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Dara Hays 14 2 16 Gk Jonas Lien 16 2 18 Sw Cristhian Dybala 14 2 16 Df Jonathan Acosta 15 2 17 Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 15 1 16 Df Benedicto Montiel 14 2 16 Df Owen Sansom 12 1 13 Df Vieira Mendes 9 2 11 Df Toshihiro Nakamura 9 2 11 Df Hugo Quintero 5 2 7 Mf Peter Bengtsson 15 2 17 Mf Ivan Vida 14 2 16 Mf Jacek Frankowski 9 2 11 Mf Harrison Harewood 13 2 15 Fw Salem Bejaoui 14 2 16 Mf Bertus De leeuw 9 2 11 Fw Noah Zimmermann 16 2 18 Fw Boris Rudenko 14 2 16 Fw Ellis Dury 11 0 11 Fw Angelo Bruno 13 2 15 Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 9 2 11 Fw Simon Schmidt 16 2 18 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 16 40 28 56 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 51 42 49 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 16 16 40 30 63 T O T A L S 21 0 51 42 49 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.93 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.56 (no red card) Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.19 (no red card) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.92 (no red card) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.19 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.0 (no second yellow) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.76 (no red card) Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.65 (no red card) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.89 (no red card) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.2 (no red card) Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.06 (no red card) Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.38 (no red card) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.98 (no red card) ******* DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 3 - Gk Hardness = 3 Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 19.4 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 7.97 (no red card) Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 94.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 48.52 (no red card) Df Benedicto Montiel: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 33.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 28.35 (no red card) Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 48.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 33.63 (no red card) Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 32.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 62.12 (no red card) Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 30.25 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 52.09 (no red card) Mf Harrison Harewood: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 98.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 55.99 (no red card) Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 59.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 7.59 (no red card) Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 38.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 58.88 (no red card) Fw Angelo Bruno: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 24.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 93.14 (no red card) Fw Simon Schmidt: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 6.11 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 51.66 (no second yellow) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75% - Gk chance of injury = 2.37% Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 27.99 (no injury) Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 14.83 (no injury) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 32.92 (no injury) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 43.56 (no injury) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 92.45 (no injury) Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 84.98 (no injury) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 59.24 (no injury) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 39.07 (no injury) Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 7.39 (no injury) Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 23.8 (no injury) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 38.41 (no injury) ******* DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3 - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 38.83 (no injury) Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.9 (no injury) Df Benedicto Montiel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.71 (no injury) Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.31 (no injury) Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.27 (no injury) Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.68 (no injury) Mf Harrison Harewood: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.7 (no injury) Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.59 (no injury) Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.45 (no injury) Fw Angelo Bruno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.3 (no injury) Fw Simon Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.82 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Noah Zimmermann SL 16 - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Simon Schmidt SL 16 - Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 14 intRndPk = 22 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlisle United 16 16 40 30 63 Dorchester Town 21 0 51 42 49 Dorchester Town is using Offside Trap! Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 6 (63 - 51) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 42) / 2; rounded up) Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 49) / 3; rounded up) Carlisle United Total Attacks = 6 1: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 59.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 13.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 92.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 8.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 59.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 20.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Dorchester Town 21 0 51 42 49 Carlisle United 16 16 40 30 63 Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 9 (49 - 40); result rounded up Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 6 ((42 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 63) / 5; rounded up) Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 15 1: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Harrison Harewood Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Harrison Harewood Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Harrison Harewood Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Harrison Harewood Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 85.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Fw Simon Schmidt Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Simon Schmidt Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 12.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CARLISLE UNITED 1 - DORCHESTER TOWN 1
Match Notes
We visit the league leaders. A tough one for us.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 03/21 - 11:04 PM
All tough at the business end of the season. A lot of draws between the two sides of late - be nice to end that in a positive way.
Dave (Carlisle United) 03/23 - 11:47 AM
Well we picked up a point but it could have been better.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 03/29 - 8:40 PM