(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
FA Cup Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WATFORD OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Sebastian Ruiz 12 0 12 Gk Thomas Anderson 12 0 12 Sw Luca Werner 10 0 10 Sw Mitsuo Soma 10 0 10 Df Evan Symes 13 0 13 Df Mohammed Cherkaoui 13 0 13 Df Felipe Pérez 10 0 10 Df Gabriel Correia 13 0 13 Mf Hirving Borgetti 13 0 13 Df Mamoru Morishima 10 0 10 Mf Oribe Arellano 15 0 15 Mf Božo Rebic 10 0 10 Fw Matty Begum 13 0 13 Mf Agustin Duarte 9 0 9 Fw Jimmy Wells 13 0 13 Mf Kristijan Karacic 5 2 7 Fw Samuel Bidault 12 0 12 Fw Curtis Carr 13 0 13 Fw Julien De Boeck 10 0 10 Fw Matty Barrett 14 0 14 Fw Edgar Jimenez 5 2 7 Fw Marouane Peeters 5 2 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 12 10 23 28 55 ROSTER TOTALS 12 10 36 26 34 0 0 1 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 15 10 33 28 55 T O T A L S 12 10 36 26 34 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Sebastian Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.46 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.8 (no red card) Sw Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.96 (no red card) Df Evan Symes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.97 (no red card) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.63 (no red card) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.58 (no red card) Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.22 (no red card) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.22 (no red card) Fw Jimmy Wells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.47 (no red card) Fw Samuel Bidault: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.47 (no red card) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.79 (no red card) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.64 (no red card) ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.03 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.55 (no red card) Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.88 (no red card) Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.17 (no red card) Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.05 (no red card) Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.59 (no red card) Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.51 (no red card) Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.46 (no red card) Mf Kristijan Karacic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.07 (no red card) Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.48 (no red card) Fw Matty Barrett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.33 (no red card) Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.52 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Sebastian Ruiz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 83.41 (no injury) Sw Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.73 (no injury) Df Evan Symes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.3 (no injury) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.34 (no injury) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.14 (no injury) Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.2 (no injury) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.15 (no injury) Fw Jimmy Wells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.92 (no injury) Fw Samuel Bidault: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.94 (no injury) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.76 (no injury) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.79 (no injury) ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 95.33 (no injury) Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.03 (no injury) Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.9 (no injury) Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.1 (no injury) Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.86 (no injury) Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.47 (no injury) Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.67 (no injury) Mf Kristijan Karacic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.78 (no injury) Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.16 (no injury) Fw Matty Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.26 (no injury) Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.12 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Oribe Arellano SL 15 - Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 12 intRndPk = 13 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Matty Barrett SL 14 - Defending Gk: Sebastian Ruiz SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 15 10 33 28 55 Oldham Athletic AFC 12 10 36 26 34 Watford Fw Attacks = 19 (55 - 36); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 34) / 3; rounded up) Watford Total Attacks = 20 1: Attack for Mf Oribe Arellano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 25.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 73.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 34.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 74.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 6.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 30.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Oldham Athletic AFC 12 10 36 26 34 Watford 15 10 33 28 55 Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 1 (34 - 33); result rounded up Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 28) / 2; rounded up) Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 55) / 3; rounded up) Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WATFORD 2 - OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0
Match Notes
Olmec decides Pierre needs a baptism of fire
Roger (Bristol City FC) 01/23 - 5:28 PM
Looking at the head to head, Watford is very much the favorite.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 01/23 - 7:00 PM
Not a great start for me at MSWL, but it was my first game ever. Only a 2-0 isn't so bad afterall.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 02/03 - 5:52 AM