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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Niklas Herrmann        15    2   17     Gk Wayne Carroll          15    2   17
Sw Éder Astorga           10    0   10     Sw Toni Meyer              6    2    8
Df Robert Harrison        13    0   13     Df Hugo Simons            11    2   13
Df Jeff Stewart           10    0   10     Df Andrew Young            9    0    9
Df Edilberto Moreno        6    2    8     Df Radoslaw Kaminski       6    2    8
Mf Erik Weber             13    0   13     Df Martin Rodríguez        3    2    5
Mf Connor Patel           12    0   12     Mf Yahia El idrissi       10    2   12
Fw Gabriel Bacca          19    1   20     Mf Tomasz Lewandowski      6    2    8
Fw Liam Cleverley         12    0   12     Mf Denis Fellaini          3    2    5
Fw Alfonso Mesén          10    1   11     Fw Dafydd Chapman          6    2    8
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho     6    2    8     Fw Dario Sucic             3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 10 31 25 51        ROSTER TOTALS      17  8 35 25 13    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  5  2  0    
=======================================================================
      17 10 40 25 51         T O T A L S       18  8 40 27 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.87 (no red card)

Sw Éder Astorga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.89 (no red card)

Df Robert Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.87 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.3 (no red card)

Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.74 (no red card)

Mf Erik Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.77 (no red card)

Mf Connor Patel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.36 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.61 (no red card)

Fw Liam Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.28 (no red card)

Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.01 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.79 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 38.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 16.97 (no red card)

Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.62 (no red card)

Df Hugo Simons: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.19 (no red card)

Df Andrew Young: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.02 (no red card)

Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.93 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.43 (no red card)

Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.55 (no red card)

Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.82 (no red card)

Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.63 (no red card)

Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.21 (no red card)

Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.18 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 0.05 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Niklas Herrmann is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Niklas Herrmann new match skill level =  8
      Niklas Herrmann new match total level =  10
Sw Éder Astorga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.69 (no injury) 
Df Robert Harrison: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.46 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.36 (no injury) 
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.68 (no injury) 
Mf Erik Weber: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.32 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Erik Weber is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Erik Weber new match skill level =  7
      Erik Weber new match total level =  7
Mf Connor Patel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.08 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.64 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Cleverley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.74 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.82 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.38 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 64.93 (no injury) 
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.29 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Simons: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.59 (no injury) 
Df Andrew Young: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.67 (no injury) 
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.83 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.49 (no injury) 
Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.05 (no injury) 
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.18 (no injury) 
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.8 (no injury) 
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.94 (no injury) 
Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.68 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gabriel Bacca SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Wayne Carroll SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hugo Simons SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Herrmann SL 8

     intRndPk = 25
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          10  10  40  19  51
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    18   8  40  27  13

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 11 (51 - 40); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 9 ((40 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Robert Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 89.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Robert Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 78.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Robert Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Robert Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 54.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    18   8  40  27  13
  Chesterfield FC          10  10  40  19  51

Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 40)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((27 - 19) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Yahia El idrissi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 42.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 1  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
 
Match Notes
another toughie!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/10 - 3:15 PM
two games in a row now that keeper Carroll has come up for crosses and sent the opposing keepers flying out the game!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/10 - 9:17 PM
 
 
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