(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
League Round 4
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CARLISLE UNITED SWANSEA CITY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Dara Hays 13 1 14 Gk Michel Vargas 11 1 12 Sw Cristhian Dybala 11 1 12 Df Tony Ford 12 0 12 Df Owen Sansom 12 0 12 Df Lucas Stuhr 11 0 11 Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 11 0 11 Df Gharib Alami 9 2 11 Df Jamie Aitken 10 0 10 Df Enrique Masis 6 2 8 Mf Duško Kolomyets 13 0 13 Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene 13 0 13 Mf Ben Ince 13 0 13 Mf Jacob King 13 2 15 Fw Noah Zimmermann 15 0 15 Mf Khalid Idrissi 11 0 11 Fw Salem Bejaoui 11 0 11 Fw Maximillian Hoffmann 14 0 14 Fw Ellis Dury 11 0 11 Fw Ollie Hart 14 2 16 Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 6 2 8 Fw Gerry Maclaren 6 2 8 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 12 33 26 45 ROSTER TOTALS 12 0 42 39 38 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 14 12 33 28 52 T O T A L S 12 0 42 39 38 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.3 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.99 (no red card) Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.16 (no red card) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.73 (no red card) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.6 (no red card) Df Jamie Aitken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.36 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.91 (no second yellow) Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.01 (no red card) Mf Ben Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.3 (no red card) Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.19 (no red card) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.86 (no red card) Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.06 (no red card) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.68 (no red card) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Michel Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.02 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.07 (no red card) Df Tony Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.17 (no red card) Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.74 (no red card) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.81 (no red card) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.52 (no red card) Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.54 (no red card) Mf Jacob King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.52 (no red card) Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.36 (no red card) Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.35 (no red card) Fw Ollie Hart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.62 (no red card) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.77 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 68.76 (no injury) Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.05 (no injury) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.74 (no injury) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.96 (no injury) Df Jamie Aitken: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.95 (no injury) Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.68 (no injury) Mf Ben Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.7 (no injury) Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.7 (no injury) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.54 (no injury) Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.64 (no injury) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.15 (no injury) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Michel Vargas: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 40.21 (no injury) Df Tony Ford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.99 (no injury) Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.94 (no injury) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.82 (no injury) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.35 (no injury) Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.21 (no injury) Mf Jacob King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.49 (no injury) Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.93 (no injury) Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.12 (no injury) Fw Ollie Hart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.54 (no injury) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.13 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Noah Zimmermann SL 15 - Defending Gk: Michel Vargas SL 11 intRndPk = 31 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Maximillian Hoffmann SL 14 - Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 13 intRndPk = 26 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlisle United 14 12 33 28 52 Swansea City AFC 12 0 42 39 38 Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 10 (52 - 42); result rounded up Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 39) / 2; rounded up) Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 38) / 3; rounded up) Carlisle United Total Attacks = 10 1: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 81.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 79.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 63.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 50.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swansea City AFC 12 0 42 39 38 Carlisle United 14 12 33 28 52 Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 5 (38 - 33); result rounded up Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 6 ((39 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 52) / 5; rounded up) Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 11 1: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Jacob King Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Mf Jacob King Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 35.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 33.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CARLISLE UNITED 2 - SWANSEA CITY AFC 0