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Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Charlie Cockayne       15    2   17     Gk Toby Barmby            16    2   18
Sw Édouard Gning          10    2   12     Sw Kylian Konate          13    2   15
Df Laurence Clarke        13    2   15     Df Diego Ribeiro          13    2   15
Df Pathé Sané             14    2   16     Df Hakim Aguerd           10    2   12
Df Manuel Barnetta         9    2   11     Mf Thomas Shilton         13    2   15
Mf Freddie Cockham        13    2   15     Mf Amdy Diedhiou          10    2   12
Mf Johnny Rieder           6    2    8     Fw Fabian Weber           13    2   15
Fw Kian Clarke            14    2   16     Fw Chuck Kane             11    1   12
Fw Josh Watson            13    1   14     Fw Paul Chaffersey        14    0   14
Fw Jon Dahl Lund          11    1   12     Fw Nikica Butina           8    2   10
Fw Yakubu Abdullahi        9    2   11     Fw Raul Duarte             7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 12 42 23 53        ROSTER TOTALS      18 15 27 27 60    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 12 42 23 62         T O T A L S       18 15 27 27 60    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.94 (no red card)

Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.32 (no red card)

Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.6 (no red card)

Df Pathé Sané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.78 (no red card)

Df Manuel Barnetta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.52 (no red card)

Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.98 (no red card)

Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.07 (no red card)

Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.15 (no red card)

Fw Josh Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.62 (no red card)

Fw Jon Dahl Lund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.67 (no red card)

Fw Yakubu Abdullahi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.33 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.41 (no red card)

Sw Kylian Konate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.75 (no red card)

Df Diego Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.15 (no red card)

Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.69 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.67 (no red card)

Mf Amdy Diedhiou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.77 (no red card)

Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.92 (no red card)

Fw Chuck Kane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.45 (no red card)

Fw Paul Chaffersey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.66 (no red card)

Fw Nikica Butina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.16 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.72 (no second yellow)

Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.44 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.65 (no injury) 
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.69 (no injury) 
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.4 (no injury) 
Df Pathé Sané: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.03 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Pathé Sané is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Manuel Barnetta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.36 (no injury) 
Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.25 (no injury) 
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.62 (no injury) 
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.64 (no injury) 
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.6 (no injury) 
Fw Jon Dahl Lund: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.13 (no injury) 
Fw Yakubu Abdullahi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.31 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 72.15 (no injury) 
Sw Kylian Konate: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.22 (no injury) 
Df Diego Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.76 (no injury) 
Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.71 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.66 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Thomas Shilton is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Thomas Shilton new match skill level =  7
      Thomas Shilton new match total level =  9
Mf Amdy Diedhiou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.88 (no injury) 
Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.88 (no injury) 
Fw Chuck Kane: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.0 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Chaffersey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.01 (no injury) 
Fw Nikica Butina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.69 (no injury) 
Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.67 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Pathé Sané SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Toby Barmby SL 16

     intRndPk = 76
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Paul Chaffersey SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Charlie Cockayne SL 15

     intRndPk = 55
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        17  12  42  23  62
  Queens Park Rangers      18  15  27  21  60

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 35 (62 - 27); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 36

1: Attack for Mf Johnny Rieder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 49.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 29.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 78.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 81.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
28: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      18  15  27  21  60
  Nottingham Forest        17  12  42  23  62

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 18 (60 - 42); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 62) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Fw Chuck Kane
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Chuck Kane
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 99.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Nikica Butina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Chuck Kane
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Chuck Kane
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Chuck Kane
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 66.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Chuck Kane
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 57.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 1
 
Match Notes
40% shots on target seems par for the team. Seems we were lucky to get a draw
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/17 - 7:22 PM
 
 
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