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Draft Grades, Rd 1-3
Posted by Rob Peterson on Monday, May. 2nd, 2011 at 3:22 AM

 

 

Birmingham Barons
Manager: Jonathan Miles
Draft Selection: 3rd 
Overall Draft Grade: B-

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Jose Bautista

OF/3b

B

Bautista is good for one thing and one thing only. Hitting lots of HRs. His .260 average though means that his chances of hitting HRs is not going to be good at all unless he’s facing mediocre pitching. There were better OF’s out there as well as better 3bs. I would actually rate this selection lower, but opposing managers HAVE to fear that every time Bautista makes contact, he’s going to go yard.

2

Adam Dunn

1b

A-

Dunn’s getting older. He’s always been about 3 things. Hitting homeruns, getting walks, and striking out. As he’s aged, he’s cut down on the Ks a bit, but last year saw a decrease in the number of walks he took as well. As father-time slowly takes his bat away, he cannot afford to lose those walks, else he’ll quickly fade away into Bolivian. Still, there were a LOT of 1bs taken in the first two rounds, so Dunn is a good value pick. He’s got a bad .260 avg just like Bautista

3

Mark Reynolds

3b

C-

Jonathan quickly asserted with 3 picks that he does not care how often his players actually hit the ball, just as long as when they do hit it – they crush the stuffing out of it. Reynolds’ .190 avg gives the Barons a starting avg of a mere .248 at present. With 526 Ks between the three of them (211 attributed to Reynolds), opposing pitchers will alternate between salivating at the boost to their strikeout numbers, and utter fear at the combined 124 HRs these three players bring to the plate. Reynolds can rake for sure, but the more important question is – will his bat ever find the ball? That avg suggests not.

 

Cedar Rapids Kernels
Manager: Dave Dohm
Draft Selection: 21st 
Overall Draft Grade: B+

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Hanley Ramirez

SS

A+

There are two SS’s in the league that you can actually build a team around. Han-Ram is one of them. The kid hits for average and power, and is a stolen-base threat. Not enough words to describe the brilliance that is Hanley Ramirez. Great selection @ #21.

2

Josh Johnson

SP

A

Johnson is a former Cy Young pitcher who, arguably, had a disappointing year in MLB last season, “only” pitching 28 games to a 11-6 record, and “only” getting 186 Ks. Yea… “only”. This is a stud pitcher anyone would be happy to build a rotation around.

3

Chase Utley

2b

C+

Utley is, without a question, the best 2b in the league. So why is this not an “A” grade? Well, He was hurt a good deal last year, only playing in 115 MLB games. As a result, all of his ‘counting’ numbers were off (HRs, XBH, RBIs, etc). His avg was also a career low as a starter. Additionally, he is still hurt today, and has no timetable for his return to the MLB, making him not a keeper selection for next season. With 24 teams in the league, it’s always important to build for both today AND tomorrow, as there will be 120 players not available in the player pool for next season. I started Utley’s grade as a B+, however, through writing the comments, it slow slipped to a B, then a B-, and finally rested on a C+. And I’m a fan of Utley’s, despite him being a despicable Philly!

 

Charlotte Knights
Manager: Aires Martins Jr.
Draft Selection: 22nd 
Overall Draft Grade: B-

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Mark Teixeira

1b

B+

Some might be surprised to see a Bostonian selecting a Yankee as their cornerstone player. But Teix is a solid player all-around. His .256 avg represents a career low and a near 40 point drop from last season, so there is cause for concern that he’s losing something off his bat. However, he has not hit fewer than 30 HRs since his rookie season, so he’s consistent in that regard. Assuming last year’s avg was an aberration, he’ll be a great player. However, he does get knocked on the grade for that weak avg – otherwise, this would have been an “A”.

2

Evan Longoria

3b

A

One of the best 3b in the game, and a guy you can build a roster around for years to come. A near-.300 avg should see him make a lot of contact, where he’s got power potential (22 HRs) and he’s a decent stolen base threat (15 SBs).

3

Alex Avila

C

F

I don’t understand this selection at all. Avila doesn't even rank amongst the top of his position, let alone the top 75 players in the game. His .228 avg is just bad, and is not helped with a mere .316 OBP. He doesn't hit for power (7 HRs) and it's way too early to look at his 2011 stats and think that A) he can keep these numbers up, and B) he'll be worthy of a keeper for next year. This is a complete miss in my mind. I would be very interested in learning what Aires had in mind with this pick.

  

Charlotte Stone Crabs
Manager: Mike "C-Ball" Tiberius Cabral
Draft Selection: 23rd 
Overall Draft Grade: A

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Adrian Gonzalez 1b A One of two home-town picks for C-Ball, but they are by no means 'homer picks'. Gonzalez was the anchor player for the Boston Badgers in the original incarnation of TMBL and is one of the most solid all-around players in all of baseball. He doesn't care about individual numbers, he just wants to help the team win championships. His .298 AVG, .393 OBP and .511 SLG will certainly help that out. Just a great selection at #23.

2

Adam Wainwright SP B+ I would have loved to knock this grade down even further since Wainwright plays for that miserable St. Louis team - and this is C-Ball, who can resist taking jabs at C-Ball?? But you can't argue with his numbers. 230 IP last year, with a .224 opponent AVG and a miniscule .274 OBA! The 213 Ks are just icing on the cake. The only reason this isn't an A, or an A+? Wainwright's not a keeper. Off-season Tommy John surgery has Wainwright on the shelf for the entire 2011 season. I can't award an A to a top-5 selection in the inagural draft that won't have even the potential to be a keeper for next year.
3 Jon Lester SP A+ The second home-town pickup for C-Ball. Lester is a young fireballer who racks up Ks at a huge rate. 225 Ks in 208 IP. This means that opposing managers can expect to strikeout at least once per inning against this guy. That's a little depressing to know that going into a matchup. I'm actually surprised that Lester lasted this long.

 

Clearwater Threshers
Manager: Brian Beerman
Draft Selection: 8th 
Overall Draft Grade: B+

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

11

Roy Halladay SP A+ Bar-none, the best pitcher in baseball. 250 IP and 219 Ks. He has nearly 1000 PAs - WOW.

2

Manny Ramirez OF C I had heard that there was a Manny Ramirez sighting, but I figured it would come from one of our friends from the other side of the pond - not from an American who should have baseball in his blood! Ramirez's 320 TPAs means he is not an everyday player and I can't see using a top-5 pick on a player that you won't be able to use for the entire season. His AVG and OBP are still good - Manny does know how to hit. But he's retired now, facing a steroid suspension if he comes back, so there is no keeper value here. I'm sure Beerman has his reasons for making this selection and I look forward to hearing them.

3

Ubaldo Jimenez SP A I pity the team that has to face Halladay and Jimenez back-to-back. You might as well just forfeit. 214 Ks in 221 IP and a miniscule .209 AVG against. Bring your high-OBP guys to the plate and hope for a string of walks!

 

Eugene Emeralds
Manager: John Holden
Draft Selection: 20th 
Overall Draft Grade: A

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Prince Fielder 1b A- A young thumper who hits for good power (32 HRs) and gets on base quite a bit (.401 OBP). His only knock is his .261 AVG. But, he will be a good conerstone to build an empire around up in Eugene.

2

Jered Weaver SP A+ Weaver, the younger, more talented version of big brother Jeff Weaver, finally put all of his tools together last season and wow was he good. 34 GS led to 224 IP. His .222 AVG against was a career low while his amazing 233 Ks represented a career high. The only question about Weaver is will he continue these great numbers (with only 6 GS in 2011 thusfar the answer is a resounding YES!).

3

C.J. Wilson SP A I personally like Lester better than Wilson, but that's just me. There's nothing wrong at all with the Wilson selection in Rd 3. Wilson's numbers are all-around really good - his .217 AVG against is fantastic actually. The only major question about Wilson is - can he repeat that performance? He's a converted reliever and 2010 was his first season as a major league starter. You have to have a little concern about the arm holding up. In the end, the risk is more than worth it.

 

Fresno Grizzlies
Manager: Chris McDougall
Draft Selection: 2nd 
Overall Draft Grade: A

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Albert Pujols 1b A+ .300+ AVG, .400+ OBP, 42 HRs, and 700 TPAs - in a season where Pujols was injured!

2

David Wright 3b B+ I struggled with this one. How do I objectively rate the selection of one of my favorite players from my favorite team? The answer... just be harsh. Wright's AVG is good enough (.283), but his OBP is awful for a heart-of-the-order player (.354). He strikes out way too much (161 Ks) and has yet to live up to his potential. The good news? His .503 SLG is good, he's got 30-30 potential (which he's achieved once in his career thusfar). He makes amazingly astounding fielding plays look routine, but he can also make routine plays look very difficult. He is one of the top 5 3b out there though, and that has to count for a lot.

3

Tim Lincecum SP A+ How did one of the game's best pitchers fall to the start of the 3rd round? (and the next question... why couldn't he fall another 4 spots?!?)... 212 IP with a .242 AVG against and 231 Ks. Excellent, excellent, excellent pick in the 3rd round.

 

Great Lakes Loons
Manager: Andy Bate
Draft Selection: 1st 
Overall Draft Grade: A

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Miguel Cabrera 1b A+ Any of the top 3 1b could have been the #1 pick in the TMBL draft without anyone questioning it. His .328 AVG and his .420 OBP make him a veritable force at the plate. He's still rather young and should anchor Andy's team for a number of seasons.

2

Ichiro Suzuki OF A The first of two OFs who are in their LATE 30s. However, Ichiro still hits with the best of 'em. His .315 AVG, coupled with his 42 SBs mean that the heart of the Loons lineup will always have ducks on the pond in scoring position.

3

Vladimir Guerrero OF A Is Vlad in his late 30s or late 60s? Look at the man, and you guess 60's... Look at his numbers (.300 AVG, 29 HRs), you would guess 30's. Good thing it's the numbers that count.

 

Inland Empire 66ers
Manager: Jay Patrick (don't call me Wilkens) Wilkins
Draft Selection: 24th 
Overall Draft Grade: B+

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Mariano Rivera RP C Arguably, one of the best closers still in the game, and ever. You can't argue with his numbers. A .183 AVG against and a miniscule .239 OBA means he'll induce a ton of ground outs in the latter stages of games (only 45 Ks in 60 IP suggests his cutter is not as effective anymore). I just cannot understand filling a closer's role before the majority of a lineup is filled out, let alone a single player! For the player, I would like to give an A, for the position the player was selected, I'd like to give an F, so they average out to a C.

2

Justin Morneau 1b A Morneau was the last of the top-flight 1b left. There wasn't player that Jay could have drafted here. This was it. A or F.

3

Chris Carpenter SP A Carpenter had a resurgence the last 2 seasons in St. Louis, recalling his pre-injury days. 235 IP and a .244 AVG against will be a very good set of numbers to trot out every 5th day. His 969 PAs mean he'll last long into games - always an important feature in your staff ace.

 

Jamestown Jammers
Manager: Max Sellers
Draft Selection: 4th 
Overall Draft Grade: A+

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Joey Votto 1b A+ Best #4 draft pick one could ever dream of. Votto will hit for average (.324 AVG), for power (.600 SLG w/ 37 HR), and get the occasional steal (16 SBs). His .424 OBP brings him over the top as one of the very best players in the game without discussion. By the way, he's only 27 years old. My only gripe about this pick is that Votto didn't slip to me @ #6 - he was the #1 pick on my draft board.

2

Jonathan Sanchez SP A Sanchez is a really good pitcher. With Tim Lincecum, Matt Cain, Ubaldo Jimenez, and Jon Lester still on the board, I can't give this an A+. Any one of those guys would have made this a clean-sweep for the braintrust of the Sellers family. Sanchez had really good numbers last year that represents a consistent improvement year-after-year. Opponent's AVG has consistently gone down, while Ks and IP continue to increase. Sanchez could be a very good ace here.

3

Shin-Soo Choo OF A+ Choo may be one of the most underrated players in baseball. In every fantasy baseball draft I've been in for the past 2 years, anytime he's been drafted, a lot of negative comments get made until people are forced to look at his stats. He's gone 20-20 (20+ HRs and SBs) and hit .300+ in each of the past two seasons and still has a little room to grow (he's presumably 28 years old, which in baseball terms means he should be at his peak between last season and this season).

 

Lakewook Blue Claws
Manager: Rob "Shadey" Peterson
Draft Selection: 6th 
Overall Draft Grade:  A

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Carlos Gonzalez OF A+ Just 25 years old, last year's numbers (.336 AVG, 34 HR, 26 SB) represent a glimpse into Gonzalez's potential. He's still got several years worth of improvement to grow into. "Improving" on his 2010 is a scary thought. This guy could challenge as the best player in all of baseball in a season or two... providing his slow start to 2011 is just that - a slow start.

2

Kevin Youkilis 1b B+ Youk had an off-year last year, as a result of some time off due to injury, missing 60 games. Even still, he posted a .307 AVG and a very Youk-like .411 OBP. He should be on base quite often when Gonzalez steps up to the plate. Youk was the top of the 2nd tier of first basemen, and it might have been a bit of reach to go after a 2nd tier player with some of the other talent still on the board like Tim Lincecum and Brian McCann (who was drafted with the very next pick). But overall, Youk's a great player who will give his heart for this team and will fit in very nicely somewhere in the heart of the order.

3

Matt Cain SP A Cain vs. Jimenez. That's what this pick comes down to. I had Cain rated higher (by 11 spots overall) - just a personal opinion. In truth, Jimenez has the better stats (.209 AVG against vs Cain's .221; 214 Ks vs 177), but Cain pitches for the defending World Champion Giants, and Jimenez pitches in mile-high Colorado. Cain's a great pitcher and can be a really good staff ace. But Jimenez had better numbers, so I couldn't give the A+ here.

 

Missoula Osprey
Manager: Kevin Martin
Draft Selection: 12th 
Overall Draft Grade:  B

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Roy Oswalt SP A Oswalt has not been the glamorous rock star that he was in his prime, but he's still producing numbers like he did in his prime. He boasts a .213 AVG against and a great .268 OBA. At 33 years-old, you wouldn't expect a pitcher with 10-years experience, just one year removed from the worst season in his career to post these numbers and have a near career-high 193 Ks. At some point, the wheels will fall off this bus, but in the mean-time, Kevin will ride this bus till the last stop.

2

Cole Hamels SP A- I think Kevin selected 2 Phillies in a row just to get under my skin. Really Kevin? TWO PHILLY PITCHERS?! First, he selects the #3 pitcher for the Phillies, and he follows it up with the #4 pitcher. Hamels had a career high in Ks last year (211) and a near career high in IP (208). The rest of his numbers seemed pretty on-par with the rest of his career (which are all good numbers by the way...). I knock this grade just slightly given how much higher this pick was made over other pitchers that I think would have made better selections (Lincecum, Cain, Jimenez, Lester).

3

Aubrey Huff 1b-OF C- Huff is not a "pretty" selection. You're not going to fill seats in the ballpark with this pick. I personally did not have Huff on my top-75 list. I think there are a lot of hitters that I would rather take with my 3rd pick, and first hitter. Huff will provide decent production with a .290 AVG, .385 OBP, and 26 HRs, but I don't think he's anything close to a guy you want to build your offense around (Buster Posey was still on the board! As were a bunch of guys on my Top-75 list that still have not been drafted, and thus will not be named here). I expected more from Kevin, and I have to be a bit harsh here.

 

Modesto Nuts
Manager: Al "the Godfather" Sellers
Draft Selection: 10th 
Overall Draft Grade:  A

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Cliff Lee SP A+ Who would've thought that one of the top-5 pitchers in the game would be the #2 starter on a team that didn't make it to the World Series last year. One of the greatest things about Lee's numbers? His AVG against and OBA are nearly identical... he has a .240 AVG against and a .255 OBA. What does this mean? Lee doesn't walk guys at all. In 843 PAs, Lee issued an unbelievable 18 BBs.

2

Ryan Zimmerman 3b A This guy is a liar and a cheat. I watched a Mets-Nats game where Zimmerman claimed he had no idea how he was hitting so many HRs (this was his rookie year I think back in '06 when he had about 10-15 HRs at the time). He claimed he never hit double-digit HRs ever in college or the minors. Flash-forward 5 years later, and Zimmerman's HR numbers look like this... '06=20, '07=24, '08=14, '09=33, '10=25. So, either he was lying, or he's a juicer. Either way, he should be thrown out of TMBL as we want this to be a wholesome, family-friendly league.

3

Ted Lilly SP A I know Al must have been salivating to potentially have Tim Lincecum drop down to him in the 3rd round, but alas, it was not meant to be. And he might have been a little giddy to think he might get Jimenez, until he was snatched up just two spots earlier than the Nuts. Lilly's numbers are actually quite good, but I wonder why so many people passed on Jon Lester. Lester would have been a brilliant pick here. Still, Lilly's got the numbers to make a manager happy with a .229 AVG against, .278 OBA and 166 Ks.

 

Readers Comments

I didn't understand the importance of the TPA's until it was too late (I was looking solely at OBP's and AVG's).  At least his statistical numbers are impressive, despite his lack of TPA's.  The Threshers will make the best of  the situation, I assure you of that.

Brian Beerman on Monday, May. 2nd, 2011 at 8:01 PM
 

any chance you could grade my picks, would like to see how i'm doing

Peter Babcock on Monday, May. 2nd, 2011 at 8:32 PM
 

Don't worry Peter - I'll get to everyone over the next couple days. Al just wanted to get some banter going, so I provided what I had so far.

Rob Peterson on Monday, May. 2nd, 2011 at 10:06 PM
 

Brian, you took Roy Halladay, who I had thought about taking #1 so you certainly did OK there.

Andy Bate on Monday, May. 2nd, 2011 at 10:21 PM
 

To be honest I know very little about baseball, but I do understand a home run. OK they might be hit and miss, but I'm delighted to get three out and out sluggers however low you rate them. Look out if they all have their hot day at the same time...

Jonathan Miles on Monday, May. 2nd, 2011 at 10:52 PM
 

First you have way to much time on ur hands. and 2nd, I still dont get how this draft works. avila would of bot been my pick if i could actually pick players but whatever

Aires Martins Jr. on Tuesday, May. 3rd, 2011 at 4:54 AM
 

Thanks for the analysis Rob.  My thinking is that your top 3 picks should all be on your team for at least 5 years, and certainly within the top 5 players in their position - so I am very happy with my picks.  I couldn't really go wrong at numer 2 position!  You said it yourself that David Wright is in the top 5 3B in the game, and most things that I've read have him either 2nd or 3rd.  My major decision was after Migeul Carbera who should I pick - Pujols or Votto .... and well experience won out.  From a baseball novice, I think these rounds were relatively easy however from now on is where we will struggle in not having an intimate knowledge of the players - if I get another A grade I will be v happy.

Chris McDougall on Tuesday, May. 3rd, 2011 at 10:20 AM
 

Montgomery Biscuits
Manager: James Tucker
Draft Selection: 7th
Overall Draft Grade: B

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Josh Hamilton OF B+ Since Hamilton turned his life around, he's become one of the most fearsome hitters in the game. He CRUSHES the ball. A .359 AVG and .411 OBP means he's going to hit the ball a LOT and his 32 HRs actually seems low for his ability, but he did miss 29 games last season, so that number could easily be in the mid-40's if he played a full season. He's out for 2 months this season, which would kill this grade for a lot of other players, but he'll still be a good keeper.

2

Carlos Ruiz C C- You look at Ruiz's numbers, and they're really good... Batted .302 with a .400 OBP and a decent amount of TPAs for a Catcher (433). Those are the only thing saving this from being an F. There were dozens and dozens of players that could have been selected ahead of Ruiz. Aside from Posey and McCann (and arguably Mauer too), no catcher should be drafted in the first 5 rounds. Vlad Guerrero, Tim Lincecum, Shin-Soo Choo, Matt Cain, Ubaldo Jimenez, Jon Lester and the aforementioned two catchers were all available and would have been GREAT selections here. Sorry, just like the Avila pick, I can't get on board with the non-elite catchers this early. Ruiz has never batted above .261 in his career, so there's no expectation that this was the start of Ruiz joining the elite.

3

Mat Latos SP B+ I think there were a number of SPs that I would have drafted over Latos, but there's not much wrong with Latos. In just his 2nd year in the bigs, he posted some good numbers with a .217 AVG against, a .272 OBA, and 189 Ks in 748 PAs. The only slight knock on Latos is that he's only entering his 3rd year and there's no track record to say whether or not these numbers can be expected again.

 

New Orleans Zephyrs
Manager: Dancin' Dave Budvar Dowson
Draft Selection: 19th
Overall Draft Grade:  C+

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

David Price SP C+ Positives - he's really young, pitched 200+ innings, has a ton of upside, had 188 Ks, had a good .221 AVG against. Negatives, he had a near .300 OBA, he's only got 2 full seasons in the bigs and a first-round pick is a lot to gamble on "potential". In the end, Price is a good pitcher, but there were a lot of other pitchers that were better selection.s

2

Clay Buchholz SP D+ His first full year in the bigs (the previous 2 seasons, he only played half the season before being shipped to the minors), Buchholz showed promise, but did not deliver as a 2nd round draft pick, posting only 711 PAs with 120 Ks and a .303 OBA. He did have a rather nice .226 AVG against, but the staff ace of the Red Sox was still out there, along with a number of other great pitchers.

3

Nick Swisher OF B Decent-but-not-great AVG (.288) and OBP (.359). Nice amount of HRs (29). Not a ton of upside here, and the number suggest career norms. Not a great pick, but not a bad pick.

 

Orem Owlz
Manager: Adam Meney
Draft Selection: 9th
Overall Draft Grade:  A-

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

CC Sabathia SP A+ If you ignore the .301 OBA, Sabathia's every bit the staff ace you could ask for - 197 Ks, .239 AVG against and 970 PAs. No problems with this pick at all.

2

Starlin Castro SS C I like Castro as a player - he's young with great potential and he hit .300. But that's where the positives end for his production. He only stole 10 bases, only had a .347 OBP, only had 500 TPAs, and is not a power-hitter. There were MANY players with better numbers, and Castro probably could have been had 3 or 4 rounds later. However, I give Castro a couple notches up (I had him at a D+ originally) due to his keeper-potential.

3

Billy Butler 1b A .318 AVG, .388 OBP, and nearly 200 hits (189 to be exact). He's not flashy by any means, but you don't need to be flashy to get the job done. Great pick.

 

Portland Sea Dogs
Manager: Rob Baptiste
Draft Selection: 13th
Overall Draft Grade:  A

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Matt Holliday OF A+ I think there are only 2 or 3 players I might have drafted ahead of Holliday here (Tulo, Han-Ram, and Lincecum). A .312 AVG and a .390 OBP are excellent numbers and his 28 HRs look pretty darn good too.

2

Ryan Braun OF A+ Another excellent selection by "The Other Rob". I would have been estatic to grab Braun in the 2nd round - ESPECIALLY since the .304 AVG and 25 HRs represented significant drops from his previous few seasons and he's tearing it up this season.

3

Kelly Johnson 2b B+ One of the more underrated 2bs in the league. He hit .284 and had a good OBP (.370). He also hit 26 HRs, which is pretty darned good for a 2b. Going by just the players that were selected in Round 3, I would have preferred to see Lester or Posey selected here, but I can't really fault the Johnson pick. He gets a B+ for his .175 AVG so far this season and hitting in the Arizona lineup doesn't offer him much protection.

 

Stockton Ports
Manager: James Andrew
Draft Selection: 5th
Overall Draft Grade:  A

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Felix Hernandez SP A+ One of the best pitchers in the game, and he's so young that he hasn't reached his full potential yet. 249 IP is amazing and they come with 1001 PAs, which is astounding. When you look at his .212 AVG against, .273 OBA and 232 Ks and you have to wonder if he won't be able to pitch complete games every 5th game.

2

Brian McCann C A+ Best catcher out there, offensively. His AVG won't wow you (.269), but his OBP isn't bad (.375), he doesn't strike out often, and has decent pop in his bat (21 HRs).

3

Stephen Drew SS B+ Drew has yet to live up his potential (a trait that runs in the family), having only surpassed 20 HRs and .300 AVG once in his career (in separate seasons). If he can put it all together in one season, he could be up there with Tulo and Han-Ram as SSs that can anchor a lineup. Until then, He's a B+ for potential.

 

Tacoma Rainiers
Manager: James White
Draft Selection: 15th
Overall Draft Grade: B+

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Ryan Howard 1b C+ It's a good thing Olmec can't see that HUGE whole in Howard's swing. What are these numbers? 58, 47, 48, 45, 31. Those are Howard's HR numbers over the past 5 seasons. What whole in the swing do you say? Howard hasn't flirted with a .300 AVG since 2006 (his 58 HR season btw). He's on pace for 35 HRs this season, but something tells me he's not going to get there. Enough of my personal hatred of Howard. Let's look at his impact on TMBL. 31 HRs is really good and a .505 SLG is nice. But the other numbers, a .276 AVG, .353 OBP, and 157 Ks are not so great. If a 1b was desired, Teixeira would have been a good pick, and Fielder would have been a better pick. Tulowitzki would have been a GREAT pick in this draft spot. Howard's not a bust though. He'll be a good player.

2

Rickie Weeks 2b A If Weeks ever gets his act together, he'd be one of the premier players in the game. Last season represented career highs in TPAs, HRs, XBHs and Ks (oops, that last one's not so good). He's also on pace to top those numbers this season if he can keep it up. Good pick. Good pick.

3

Michael Young 3b B+ Highest AVG (.284) of the players selected. Young's been playing in the majors for something like 30 years. He's the model of consistency with 20+ HRs, a near .300 AVG, a mid-.300 OBP... He's another no-flash guy that will get the job done. I think Lester would have been the perfect pick here, but Young's not bad.
Rob Peterson on Wednesday, May. 4th, 2011 at 3:44 AM
 

Don't know what happened with the formatting above, but it's still in a readable format. I'll try to get the last 5 teams done tomorrow.

Rob Peterson on Wednesday, May. 4th, 2011 at 3:45 AM
 

 

          

Toldeo Mud Hens
Manager: Derek Purvis
Draft Selection: 11th
Overall Draft Grade:  B

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Joe Mauer C A+ This is an A+ assuming that Mauer's current, real-life injury doesn't keep on the DL too much longer. His .327 AVG and .402 OBP are great, especially given that he is one of the elite catchers game.

2

Bronson Arroyo SP C There are quite a few pitchers that I would have picked ahead of Arroyo. Arroyo did have a good season for himself, posting career best in AVG against (.234), and coming close in hits allowed (188). His OBA is near .300, which isn't great, but not awful. He's 34 years-old, and has been a mediocre pitcher for a number of years now, so I don't know how much longer he'll be around. This is a purgatory pick... it's not good, it's not bad... it's "meh."

3

Bobby Abreu OF B- Bobby Abreu is another guy that's been around for something close to half a century. Gone are the days where you could pencil Abreu in for .300+ AVG and .400+ OBP - his .255 AVG from last season leaves a lot to be desired. But he is still a 20-20 threat, having 20 HRs and 24 SBs last season, which is always a good thing to have. Overall, Abreu's a decent pick, and his power/speed threat somewhat offsets his weak AVG/OBP.

 

Trenton Thunder
Manager: Brent Hermack
Draft Selection: 17th
Overall Draft Grade:  A+

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Robinson Cano 2b A+ A .319 AVG and 29 HRs are great for a 2b. Add a near .400 OBP (.381), 200 hits, and a mere 77 Ks and you have yourself a bonafide cornerstone player. He's young, and a premier player at his position. Tremendous value at pick #17.

2

Clayton Kershaw SP A+ The sky's the limit for this kid. 204 IP = 848 PAs and with that comes a .214 AVG against and 212 Ks. And he's a lefty. I probably would have drafted Lincecum over Kershaw, but he's a solid staff ace.

3

Buster Posey C A+ We'll see how he does this season as a full-time catcher, but his rookie season was a huge success, posting a .305 AVG with 18 HRs and only 55 Ks. He barely ever took a walk, so his OBP isn't that great, but he's already being talked about as being an elite catcher, so I suppose that can be overlooked. Great pickup - one of the only 3 catchers I wouldn't lambast for drafting this early.

 

Tri City Dust Devils
Manager: Peter Babcock
Draft Selection: 14th
Overall Draft Grade:  B-

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Paul Konerko 1b A- Konerko's in the twilight of his career. There can't be too much gas left in the tank. However, the gas that is there is still super-powered. Konerko hit .312 with a .393 OBP and 39 HRs last season. His near .600 SLG means that he still crushes the ball - a lot. With the first pick in a dynasty, I would have preferred to go with a much younger player like Tulo, Cano, or Han-Ram, but Konerko will be really good for Season 1, and probably still useful for Season 2. Beyond that, I can't see him sticking around much.

2

Dan Uggla 2b B- Uggla's AVG hasn't been north of .260 since his rookie season, so his career highs in AVG (.287) and OBP (.369) give big pause for concern, especially since he's hitting a whopping .209 currently with a .266 OBP. Uggla is always one of the most powerful 2bs out there, and that was evident last season with his 33 HRs. He doesn't seem to be adapting to the ATL lineup very well, which is troublesome. He's a GREAT one-season player, but I would be very afraid if I had to count on this guy as a keeper, which, as a 2nd round pick, one should expect a lot of keeper value.

3

Omar Infante 2b/3b/OF D+ Peter's 3rd round pick is Uggla's 2b replacement in FLA... interesting side-note. Infante's been around for a while, and never really did much with his opportunities until recently. Ever since he went from the Tigers to the Marlins, he's matured a lot as a hitter. Perhaps he just didn't like the Motor City. His AVG went up significantly in each of the past 4 seasons and his OBP has been consistently respectable. He does not have any power in his bat and he's not a SB threat. Still, with a good average, he'll set the table nicely for Konerko and Uggla. Overall, though, I think this was completely the wrong pick. Grabbing Buster Posey to give a strong AVG and provide the team with a solid player to construct the future would have been a great grab from a hitters' standpoint. However, with 2 power hitters already locked in, I think a pitcher would have been the best pick - Jon Lester.

 

Vermont Lake Monsters
Manager: Roy Rolsten
Draft Selection: 16th
Overall Draft Grade:  B

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Troy Tulowitzki SS A+ Tulo is the best SS in the game - there's little argument in that. He hits for great average (.315) and has a really good OBP (.381). He had a good number of HRs (27) and enough SBs (11) to make him a credible threat. His only knock, and this has been a knock on him his entire career - he can't stay healthy! Since 2007, he's played 155, 101, 151, and 122 games. With only 529 TPAs, Roy may need a 2nd SS, but I'd gladly take that need if it meant I had Tulo on my squad.

2

Jaime Garcia SP C- I'll really leave it to Al to comment further on Garcia if he wants, but I believe Cardinals fans have a LOT of hope that Garcia will be a solid pitcher for St. Louis for a number of years. Posting a .243 AVG is good for his first full season. However, a .315 OBA and only 132 Ks give room for pause for your #1 pitcher. There were a number of SPs out there that I feel would have been better selections than Garcia. With 695 PAs, Roy may have to keep an eye on Garcia's availability towards the end of the season.

3

Luke Scott 1B B+ Buster Posey, Daric Barton, Lance Berkman, David Ortiz, and possibly Ike Davis. Those are the names of 1B-eligible players that I originally thought could have been better 1b selections, but after looking at Scott's numbers again, I think this was a wise choice. Scott posted a respectable .284 AVG with a nice .368 OBP. His 27 HRs matches Tulo's homer-rate. Scott's only bad-mark, he only has 517 TPAs. He will most likely need a sub every once and a while.

 

Wichita Wingnuts
Manager: Phil McIntosh
Draft Selection: 18th
Overall Draft Grade:  B-

Round

Player

Pos

Grade

Comments

1

Adrian Beltre 3b B+ There's a common thread amongst Phil's selections. Players who have shown glimpses of their star-quality at times, but have never actually become stars. Adrian Beltre always shows up during contract years, and then goes MIA for a number of years. Beltre has hit .300+ only twice in his career. The first time in 2004, right before he signed with Seattle, and again last season, right before he signed with Texas. Lucky for Phil, Beltre signed a 1-yr deal with Texas... oh wait, he didn't - he signed a 5-yr deal. Well, at least Phil can enjoy that .321 AVG, 189 Hits, and 28 HRs for Season 1, before his #1 pick goes back to hitting somewhere around the .265 range (though the 20-25 HR range is still good). Phil was probably thinking about bagging another inagural title and then resting on his laurels for 15-20 seasons.

2

Jayson Werth OF B Since becoming a full-time player, Werth has hit for decent power, with 24, 36, and 27 HRs in the past 3 seasons. In his entire career though, he's only sniffed a .300 AVG twice, luckily for Phil, one of those was last year. One thing in Werth's favor is that he's always had really good OBP, with a .388 last year. A steadily rising OPS over the past 3 seasons (.861, .879, .921) suggests that Werth does have good tools. However, with all the money that Washington threw at him this off-season, he may be falling into Beltre-territory, suggested by his .226 AVG, .322 OBP, .843 OPS, and only 4 HRs thusfar this season. Caveat Emptor.

3

Vernon Wells OF C What are these numbers? 32, 16, 20, 15, 31, 2. Those are Well's HR numbers since 2006, including his 2 HRs for this season (which projects to 11 HRs this season). His AVG over that same span, .303, .245, .300, .260, .273, .176. Wells is a roller-coaster roaming the outfield. Last year was an "up" year for Wells. This year, looks like it's a "down" year. Phil's got a LOT of talen for "this" season, but he may be looking to make a lot of trades mid-way through the season if he wants to field anything resembling a competitive team next season.

 

          

Rob Peterson on Thursday, May. 5th, 2011 at 2:50 AM
 

 

#1....GREAT JOB ROB!!!!

A few thoughts…

I thought Arroyo would place higher than a C?

Bobby Abreu?  Yes, he is an A+…in 2002?  :-)

Hopefully that's just pure gamesmanship in giving Brent an A+?  :-)  But I fear its not.   

Dust Devils?  Peter?  How about a photo that was taken THIS MILLENNIUM?  

I love the Vermont Lake Monsters team name.   I think the Jaime Garcia pickup is a decent one…perhaps not in round 2, but yes, he could be a keeper for many years if he stays healthy.  

Allan Sellers on Friday, May. 6th, 2011 at 12:29 AM