(H)
Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S HEREFORD UNITED FC DERBY COUNTY Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Damien Watkins 12 2 14 Gk Fernando Pellistri 14 1 15 Df Zacharie Ousmanou 15 0 15 Sw Artur Boniek 13 1 14 Df Rhys Degenek 12 0 12 Df Nathan Edwards 10 0 10 Df Eduardo Ortiz 9 2 11 Df Alex Hassan 7 2 9 Df Tyler Long 4 2 6 Df Rodrigo de Corona 7 2 9 Mf Nasiru Kabiru 6 2 8 Df Mikkel Iversen 3 2 5 Mf Roberto Romo 4 2 6 Mf Peder Petersen 15 0 15 Mf Benito Apuzzo 4 2 6 Mf William Gomez 7 2 9 Fw Gavin Brown 12 0 12 Mf Henry Rowles 3 2 5 Fw Jayden Richman 9 1 10 Fw Yahia El mostafa 7 -1 6 Fw Manuel Benaglio 7 2 9 Fw Erik Christiansen 3 1 4 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 0 44 20 31 ROSTER TOTALS 15 14 33 29 10 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 14 0 60 20 31 T O T A L S 15 14 35 29 10 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Damien Watkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.05 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.46 (no red card) Df Zacharie Ousmanou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.53 (no red card) Df Rhys Degenek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.84 (no red card) Df Eduardo Ortiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.57 (no red card) Df Tyler Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.1 (no red card) Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.17 (no red card) Mf Roberto Romo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.61 (no red card) Mf Benito Apuzzo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.74 (no red card) Fw Gavin Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.22 (no red card) Fw Jayden Richman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.9 (no red card) Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.89 (no red card) ******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.82 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.39 (no red card) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 12.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.89 (no red card) Df Nathan Edwards: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 60.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.38 (no red card) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 48.19 (no red card) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 38.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 93.54 (no red card) Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 60.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.1 (no red card) Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 22.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 42.68 (no red card) Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 15.74 (no red card) Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 42.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.28 (no red card) Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 13.74 (no red card) Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.05 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0 - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Damien Watkins: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 96.88 (no injury) Df Zacharie Ousmanou: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 0.33 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 5 Zacharie Ousmanou is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Zacharie Ousmanou new match skill level = 8 Zacharie Ousmanou new match total level = 8 Df Rhys Degenek: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 48.67 (no injury) Df Eduardo Ortiz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 76.45 (no injury) Df Tyler Long: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 58.4 (no injury) Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 49.12 (no injury) Mf Roberto Romo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.06 (no injury) Mf Benito Apuzzo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 28.32 (no injury) Fw Gavin Brown: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 52.04 (no injury) Fw Jayden Richman: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.93 (no injury) Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 24.42 (no injury) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0% - Gk chance of injury = 1.5% Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 9.43 (no injury) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 73.43 (no injury) Df Nathan Edwards: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.52 (no injury) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 14.37 (no injury) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 12.81 (no injury) Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.08 (no injury) Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 62.52 (no injury) Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 40.33 (no injury) Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 23.32 (no injury) Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.76 (no injury) Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.29 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Rhys Degenek SL 12 - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 14 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 17 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Peder Petersen SL 15 - Defending Gk: Damien Watkins SL 12 intRndPk = 67 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Hereford United FC 14 0 53 20 31 Derby County 15 14 35 29 10 Hereford United FC is Playing For A Draw! Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 35) Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 29) / 2; rounded up) Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 5 ((53 - 10) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 5 1: Attack for Df Rhys Degenek Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Rhys Degenek Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 98.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Df Eduardo Ortiz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Df Rhys Degenek Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 8.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Df Rhys Degenek Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) ******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Derby County 15 14 35 29 10 Hereford United FC 14 0 53 20 31 Hereford United FC is using Offside Trap! Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (10 - 53) Derby County Mf Attacks = 9 ((29 - 20) / 2) * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Derby County Df Attacks = 2 ((35 - 31) / 3); result rounded up Derby County Total Attacks = 11 1: Attack for Df Mikkel Iversen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 1.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Rodrigo de Corona Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 55.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 35.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 98.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 68.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 33.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Mf William Gomez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 98.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Mf William Gomez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 70.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 7.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E HEREFORD UNITED FC 2 - DERBY COUNTY 2