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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dara Hays              13    2   15     Gk Thomas Anderson        15    2   17
Sw Cristhian Dybala       13    2   15     Df Gabriel Correia        13    0   13
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck   13    2   15     Df Mamoru Morishima       10    1   11
Df Owen Sansom            12    1   13     Df Ciaran Fitzgerald       9    2   11
Mf Peter Bengtsson        13    2   15     Df Ichiro Oh               7    2    9
Mf Ben Ince               13    1   14     Mf Božo Rebic             10    2   12
Fw Salem Bejaoui          13    1   14     Mf Agustin Duarte          9    0    9
Fw Noah Zimmermann        15    2   17     Mf Kyle Hughes             9    0    9
Fw Ellis Dury             11    0   11     Fw Rik Schipper           12    0   12
Fw Giorgian Fagundez      11    0   11     Fw Matty Barrett          14    0   14
Fw Alexander Schwarz       8    2   10     Fw Marouane Peeters        7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 15 28 29 63        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 44 30 35    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  7  0  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 15 35 29 65         T O T A L S       17  0 44 30 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.99 (no red card)

Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.77 (no red card)

Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.39 (no red card)

Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.29 (no red card)

Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.05 (no red card)

Mf Ben Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.05 (no red card)

Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.13 (no red card)

Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.08 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.74 (no red card)

Fw Giorgian Fagundez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.73 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Schwarz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.47 (no red card)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.03 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.02 (no red card)

Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.82 (no red card)

Df Ciaran Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.11 (no red card)

Df Ichiro Oh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.41 (no red card)

Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.62 (no red card)

Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.16 (no red card)

Mf Kyle Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.62 (no red card)

Fw Rik Schipper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.3 (no red card)

Fw Matty Barrett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.53 (no red card)

Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.05 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 21.01 (no injury) 
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.85 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.37 (no injury) 
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.13 (no injury) 
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.18 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.32 (no injury) 
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.23 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.7 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.71 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgian Fagundez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.26 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Schwarz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.34 (no injury) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 1.7 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.09 (no injury) 
Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.04 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.81 (no injury) 
Df Ichiro Oh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.98 (no injury) 
Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.74 (no injury) 
Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.5 (no injury) 
Mf Kyle Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.43 (no injury) 
Fw Rik Schipper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.4 (no injury) 
Fw Matty Barrett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.68 (no injury) 
Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.9 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Noah Zimmermann SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 15

     intRndPk = 88
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Matty Barrett SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 13

     intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          15  15  35  29  65
  Oldham Athletic AFC      17   0  44  30  35

Oldham Athletic AFC is using Offside Trap!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 11 (65 - 44) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 54.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 87.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Giorgian Fagundez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 53.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 20.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Giorgian Fagundez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 26.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      17   0  44  30  35
  Carlisle United          15  15  35  29  65

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (35 - 35)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((30 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 65) / 5;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Kyle Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 1  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0
 
Match Notes
It was only 1-0, but it could been much more.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 03/09 - 4:24 PM
 
 
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