(H)
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CHESTERFIELD FC CARLISLE UNITED Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Niklas Herrmann 16 2 18 Gk Dara Hays 13 2 15 Df Jeff Stewart 15 0 15 Sw Lewis Russell 11 -1 10 Df Robert Harrison 13 0 13 Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 15 1 16 Df Sam Wood 10 2 12 Df Owen Sansom 12 1 13 Df Edilberto Moreno 9 2 11 Df Shay Finnan 9 1 10 Mf Jonatan López 13 1 14 Mf Peter Bengtsson 14 2 16 Mf Erik Weber 13 0 13 Mf Ben Ince 13 1 14 Fw Gabriel Bacca 20 1 21 Df Duško Kolomyets 11 2 13 Fw Alfonso Mesén 12 1 13 Mf Jacek Frankowski 8 2 10 Fw Francisco Viana 10 2 12 Fw Salem Bejaoui 14 1 15 Fw Gabriel Fernandinho 9 2 11 Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 0 51 27 57 ROSTER TOTALS 15 10 52 40 25 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 0 51 36 57 T O T A L S 15 10 59 40 25 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.62 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.99 (no red card) Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.75 (no red card) Df Robert Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.15 (no red card) Df Sam Wood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.04 (no red card) Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.91 (no red card) Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.96 (no red card) Mf Erik Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.05 (no red card) Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.48 (no red card) Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.38 (no red card) Fw Francisco Viana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.47 (no red card) Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.66 (no red card) ******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.58 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.55 (no red card) Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.08 (no red card) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.04 (no red card) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.08 (no red card) Df Shay Finnan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.09 (no red card) Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.51 (no red card) Mf Ben Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.99 (no red card) Df Duško Kolomyets: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.73 (no red card) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.94 (no red card) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.94 (no red card) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.23 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0 - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 30.99 (no injury) Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.71 (no injury) Df Robert Harrison: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.02 (no injury) Df Sam Wood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.41 (no injury) Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.97 (no injury) Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.52 (no injury) Mf Erik Weber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.87 (no injury) Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.19 (no injury) Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.88 (no injury) Fw Francisco Viana: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.96 (no injury) Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.01 (no injury) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 83.22 (no injury) Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.97 (no injury) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.27 (no injury) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.14 (no injury) Df Shay Finnan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.67 (no injury) Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.63 (no injury) Mf Ben Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.15 (no injury) Df Duško Kolomyets: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.65 (no injury) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.35 (no injury) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.91 (no injury) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.99 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Gabriel Bacca SL 20 - Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 13 intRndPk = 11 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick) ******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Kristoffer Lagerbäck SL 15 - Defending Gk: Niklas Herrmann SL 16 intRndPk = 7 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 7 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Chesterfield FC 18 0 51 36 57 Carlisle United 15 10 59 40 25 Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (57 - 59) Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 40) / 2; rounded up) Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 6 ((51 - 25) / 5); result rounded up Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 6 1: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Edilberto Moreno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Df Edilberto Moreno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Df Sam Wood Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 93.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 46.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Df Robert Harrison Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) ******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlisle United 15 10 59 40 25 Chesterfield FC 18 0 51 36 57 Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw! Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 51) Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 1 ((40 - 36) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Carlisle United Df Attacks = 1 ((59 - 57) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Carlisle United Total Attacks = 2 1: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Mf Jacek Frankowski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CHESTERFIELD FC 1 - CARLISLE UNITED 0
Match Notes
Squeaked out a winner somehow...
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 03/17 - 12:17 AM